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The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +37.61$

Invest 25.51$

Average return 63.12$

ROI +147.4%

Chance of profit 34%

With float: invest at least 65.39 $, profit at most −2.28 $

float premium: at least 39 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 9 шт., годных ≈15, цена занижена

×9

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

21.91 $

at 2.43

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Factory New) — 3.12 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 482 · buy 0.0000–0.0098
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0084
Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) — 10.95 $ +8.51 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0873

3.60 $

at 3.60

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 4.73 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 7.72 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.0729
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 10.08 $ +6.48 $ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.1000–0.1028

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 25.51 $ +37.61 (+147.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈15, цена занижена

×8

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

19.47 $

at 2.43

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Factory New) — 3.12 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 482 · buy 0.0000–0.0092
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0079
Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) — 10.95 $ +8.51 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0092

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0868

7.21 $

at 3.60

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 4.73 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 7.72 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.0721
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 10.08 $ +6.48 $ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.1000–0.1026

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26.68 $ +33.81 (+126.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −23 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 7 шт., годных ≈14, цена занижена

×7

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0064

17.04 $

at 2.43

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Factory New) — 3.12 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 482 · buy 0.0000–0.0086
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0074
Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) — 10.95 $ +8.51 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0086

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0864

10.81 $

at 3.60

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 4.73 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 7.72 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.0713
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 10.08 $ +6.48 $ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.1000–0.1024

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 27.85 $ +30.01 (+107.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈13, цена занижена

×6

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0060

14.60 $

at 2.43

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Factory New) — 3.12 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 482 · buy 0.0000–0.0081
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) — 10.95 $ +8.51 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0081

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0860

14.41 $

at 3.60

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 4.73 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0057
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 7.72 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.0700–0.0706
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 10.08 $ +6.48 $ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.1000–0.1023

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 29.01 $ +26.21 (+90.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 5 шт., годных ≈12, цена занижена

×5

XM1014 | Run Run Run

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

12.17 $

at 2.43

if this one runs out, you can take

UMP-45 | Late Night Transit (Factory New) — 3.12 $ +0.69 $ per item · on the market 482 · buy 0.0000–0.0076
FAMAS | 2A2F (Factory New) — 3.91 $ +1.48 $ per item · on the market 265 · buy 0.0000–0.0065
Glock-18 | Green Line (Factory New) — 10.95 $ +8.51 $ per item · on the market 180 · buy 0.0000–0.0076

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Red Python

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0800–0.0857

18.01 $

at 3.60

if this one runs out, you can take

CZ75-Auto | Hexane (Factory New) — 4.73 $ +1.12 $ per item · on the market 57 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
MAC-10 | Ultraviolet (Minimal Wear) — 7.72 $ +4.12 $ per item · on the market 43 · buy 0.070000–0.070076
SSG 08 | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) — 10.08 $ +6.48 $ per item · on the market 151 · buy 0.1000–0.1021

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.18 $ +22.41 (+74.2%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 66%

at a loss

worst

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

float up to 0.007446

9.90 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Factory New

float up to 0.010638

15.35 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

201.59 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Blue Streak

Factory New

float up to 0.067872

11.75 $ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.067872

146.54 $ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Steel Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.002127

41.18 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Ocean Foam

Factory New

float up to 0.000851

11.20 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Virus

Factory New

float up to 0.067872

16.07 $ 2.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +25.91 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +33.33 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Train 2025 Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3397182 · The Overpass Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 39.97$ · invest 31.20$
profit on prices without salesat least −29 $ rare inputs

Souvenir XM1014 | VariCamo Blue (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007369
Craft 3400937 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection · profit 38.54$ · invest 26.92$
profit on prices without salesat least −24 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Memento (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006439 instead of 0.007369
Craft 3376477 · The Bravo Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 38.28$ · invest 27.62$
profit on prices without salesat least −24 $ rare inputs

SG 553 | Wave Spray (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006828 instead of 0.007369
Craft 3372426 · The Ancient Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 38.05$ · invest 25.63$
profit on prices without salesat least −22 $ rare inputs

Souvenir FAMAS | Dark Water (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006439 instead of 0.007369
Craft 3370078 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 37.51$ · invest 25.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −23 $ rare inputs

Souvenir M249 | Humidor (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007568 instead of 0.007369
Craft 3392784 · The Glove Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 36.25$ · invest 26.61$
profit on prices without salesat least −20 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Sonar (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.007451 instead of 0.007369
Craft 3374212 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 36.19$ · invest 27.15$
profit on prices without salesat least −23 $ rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.006828 instead of 0.007369
Craft 3373031 · The Anubis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 36.11$ · invest 25.85$
profit on prices without salesat least −21 $ rare inputs

MAG-7 | Copper Coated (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Red Python (Minimal Wear); XM1014 | Run Run Run (Factory New): float at most 0.008148 instead of 0.007369

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build