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The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −335 395.66₸

Invest at least 655 764.59₸

Average return 320 368.93₸

ROI −51.1%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 655 764.59 ₸, profit at most −335 395.66 ₸

float premium: at least 378 439 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −224 147.73 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

35 319.38 ₸

at 11 773.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 34 305.89 ₸ +22 532.76 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0605
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 45 280.53 ₸ +33 507.40 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0403

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

194 703.33 ₸

at 32 450.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 34 305.89 ₸ +1 855.33 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 45 280.53 ₸ +12 829.97 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0046

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

40 387.71 ₸

at 40 387.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 53 235.06 ₸ +12 847.35 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 76 048.46 ₸ +35 660.75 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1000–0.1028

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 270 410.42 ₸ +49 958.51 (+18.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −34 698 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0807

35 319.38 ₸

at 11 773.13

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 34 305.89 ₸ +22 532.76 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0605
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 45 280.53 ₸ +33 507.40 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0403

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

162 252.78 ₸

at 32 450.56

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ P250 | Cartel (Factory New) — 34 305.89 ₸ +1 855.33 ₸ per item · on the market 9 · buy 0.0000–0.0070
StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Factory New) — 45 280.53 ₸ +12 829.97 ₸ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0046

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0093

80 775.43 ₸

at 40 387.71

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Guardian (Factory New) — 53 235.06 ₸ +12 847.35 ₸ per item · on the market 29 · buy 0.0000–0.0046
StatTrak™ AWP | Redline (Minimal Wear) — 76 048.46 ₸ +35 660.75 ₸ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.1000–0.1028

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 278 347.58 ₸ +21 402.35 (+7.7%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

621 556.11 ₸ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

83 778.43 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.205230

257 512.45 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.012307

52 523.30 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +41 389.33 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +48 918.65 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3400991 · The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 55 282.08₸ · invest 257 620.04₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079873 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008638 instead of 0.009367
Craft 3374224 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 55 171.78₸ · invest 259 114.48₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077737 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.006770 instead of 0.009367
Craft 3400976 · The Vanguard Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 51 953.33₸ · invest 269 356.50₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ P250 | Mehndi (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.080062 instead of 0.080705; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008804 instead of 0.009367

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build