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Crafts · The Vanguard Collection

prices updated 24.10 13:23 MSK

₽

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +323.78₽

Invest 1 449.23₽

Average return 1 773.01₽

ROI +22.3%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 3 519.91 ₽, profit at most −1 746.91 ₽

float premium: at least 1 992 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

196.66 ₽

at 98.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 123.36 ₽ +25.03 ₽ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1129
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 139.10 ₽ +40.77 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1311
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +70.17 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0613

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

973.70 ₽

at 139.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +29.40 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0132
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 172.21 ₽ +33.11 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0828
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 176.23 ₽ +37.13 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0244

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

278.87 ₽

at 278.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 351.81 ₽ +72.94 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 395.27 ₽ +116.40 ₽ per item · on the market 114 · buy 0.0000–0.0023
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 450.00 ₽ +171.13 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0033

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 449.23 ₽ +323.78 (+22.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −298 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1666

294.99 ₽

at 98.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 123.36 ₽ +25.03 ₽ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1141
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 139.10 ₽ +40.77 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1319
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +70.17 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0620

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

139.10 ₽

at 139.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +29.40 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0136
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 172.21 ₽ +33.11 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0834
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 176.23 ₽ +37.13 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0250

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

1 673.22 ₽

at 278.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 351.81 ₽ +72.94 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0063
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 395.27 ₽ +116.40 ₽ per item · on the market 114 · buy 0.0000–0.0025
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 450.00 ₽ +171.13 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0035

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 107.31 ₽ +60.71 (+2.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −24 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

98.33 ₽

at 98.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 123.36 ₽ +25.03 ₽ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1126
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 139.10 ₽ +40.77 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1310
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +70.17 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0612

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

834.60 ₽

at 139.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +29.40 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0132
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 172.21 ₽ +33.11 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0827
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 176.23 ₽ +37.13 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0243

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

508.44 ₽

at 254.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) — 278.87 ₽ +24.65 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0602
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Minimal Wear) — 365.72 ₽ +111.50 ₽ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0700–0.0753
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 395.27 ₽ +141.05 ₽ per item · on the market 114 · buy 0.0000–0.0301

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

278.87 ₽

at 278.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 351.81 ₽ +72.94 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0058
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 395.27 ₽ +116.40 ₽ per item · on the market 114 · buy 0.0000–0.0023
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 450.00 ₽ +171.13 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0032

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 720.24 ₽ +210.77 (+12.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −110 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

196.66 ₽

at 98.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 123.36 ₽ +25.03 ₽ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1116
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 139.10 ₽ +40.77 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1303
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +70.17 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0606

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

556.40 ₽

at 139.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +29.40 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0129
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 172.21 ₽ +33.11 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0822
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 176.23 ₽ +37.13 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0237

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

254.22 ₽

at 254.22

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New) — 278.87 ₽ +24.65 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0599
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Nightshade (Minimal Wear) — 365.72 ₽ +111.50 ₽ per item · on the market 46 · buy 0.0700–0.0749
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 395.27 ₽ +141.05 ₽ per item · on the market 114 · buy 0.0000–0.0299

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

836.61 ₽

at 278.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 351.81 ₽ +72.94 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0054
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 395.27 ₽ +116.40 ₽ per item · on the market 114 · buy 0.0000–0.0021
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 450.00 ₽ +171.13 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0030

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 843.89 ₽ +166.12 (+9.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −196 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

294.99 ₽

at 98.33

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Minimal Wear) — 123.36 ₽ +25.03 ₽ per item · on the market 31 · buy 0.0700–0.1107
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) — 139.10 ₽ +40.77 ₽ per item · on the market 52 · buy 0.0700–0.1298
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +70.17 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0601

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

278.20 ₽

at 139.10

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Murky (Factory New) — 168.50 ₽ +29.40 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0000–0.0126
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Minimal Wear) — 172.21 ₽ +33.11 ₽ per item · on the market 32 · buy 0.0700–0.0817
StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart (Factory New) — 176.23 ₽ +37.13 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0233

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

1 394.35 ₽

at 278.87

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Water Sigil (Factory New) — 351.81 ₽ +72.94 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0051
StatTrak™ P250 | Steel Disruption (Factory New) — 395.27 ₽ +116.40 ₽ per item · on the market 114 · buy 0.0000–0.0020
StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Azure Zebra (Factory New) — 450.00 ₽ +171.13 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0028

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 967.54 ₽ +121.48 (+6.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

707.64 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 479.63 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

4 098.14 ₽ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

507.00 ₽ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.053249

4 508.61 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

1 204.67 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

More

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −1.74 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +242.02 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3400978 · The Vanguard Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 314.43₽ · invest 1 306.17₽
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo (Factory New); StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161857 instead of 0.165571; StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074124 instead of 0.075416

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

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