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The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −104.68$

Invest at least 224.67$

Average return 119.99$

ROI −46.6%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 224.67 $, profit at most −104.68 $

float premium: at least 99 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +61.55 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −57 $

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −10.42 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

12.42 $

at 6.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire (Factory New) — 7.93 $ +1.72 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0489
StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 8.02 $ +1.81 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0550
StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) — 11.84 $ +5.62 $ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0700–0.1222

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

55.52 $

at 7.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 8.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0045
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 11.16 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0000–0.0061
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 31.98 $ +24.04 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0080

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1632

25.76 $

at 25.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ · on the market 12 · buy 0.1500–0.1632
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear) — 32.21 $ +6.45 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0767

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 93.70 $ +26.29 (+28.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −42 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 8 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×8

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0073

63.45 $

at 7.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 8.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0082
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 11.16 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0000–0.0111
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 31.98 $ +24.04 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0146

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1740

51.51 $

at 25.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ · on the market 12 · buy 0.1500–0.1740
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear) — 32.21 $ +6.45 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0784

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 114.97 $ +45.41 (+39.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −63 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×2

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

15.86 $

at 7.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 8.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0069
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 11.16 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0000–0.0094
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 31.98 $ +24.04 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

64.41 $

at 32.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ cheaper by 6.45 $ · on the market 13 · buy 0.1500–0.1654
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ cheaper by 6.45 $ · on the market 12 · buy 0.1500–0.1654

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

276.05 $

at 46.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 50.66 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0770
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 111.99 $ +65.98 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0600–0.0627

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 356.33 $ +46.35 (+13.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −51 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

7.93 $

at 7.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 8.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0059
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 11.16 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0000–0.0080
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 31.98 $ +24.04 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1672

51.51 $

at 25.76

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ · on the market 12 · buy 0.1500–0.1672
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Minimal Wear) — 32.21 $ +6.45 $ per item · on the market 21 · buy 0.0700–0.0773

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

322.06 $

at 46.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 50.66 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0760
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 111.99 $ +65.98 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0600–0.0625

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 381.51 $ +61.55 (+16.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −43 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 6 шт., годных ≈0, цена занижена

×6

StatTrak™ MP7 | Impire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

47.59 $

at 7.93

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) — 8.02 $ +0.09 $ per item · on the market 26 · buy 0.0000–0.0047
StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Factory New) — 11.16 $ +3.23 $ per item · on the market 36 · buy 0.0000–0.0064
StatTrak™ FAMAS | Valence (Factory New) — 31.98 $ +24.04 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ P250 | Splash

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

96.62 $

at 32.21

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ cheaper by 6.45 $ · on the market 13 · buy 0.1500–0.1515
StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT (Field-Tested) — 25.76 $ cheaper by 6.45 $ · on the market 12 · buy 0.1500–0.1515

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Orange DDPAT

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

46.01 $

at 46.01

if this one runs out, you can take

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Orange DDPAT (Minimal Wear) — 50.66 $ +4.65 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy 0.0700–0.0748
StatTrak™ P250 | Splash (Factory New) — 111.99 $ +65.98 $ per item · on the market 7 · buy 0.0600–0.0624

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 190.22 $ +50.92 (+26.8%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Factory New

float up to 0.045454

83.55 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.034545

119.80 $ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.027272

71.31 $ 30.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Red Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.093636

267.51 $ 5.00%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

749.25 $ 5.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

Variant 2 only The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.82 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.69 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Wildfire Collection and The eSports 2013 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The eSports 2013 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build