The Fever Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −39 903.80₴

Invest at least 50 716.33₴

Average return 10 812.53₴

ROI −78.7%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 50 716.33 ₴, profit at most −39 903.80 ₴

float premium: at least 26 996 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: −9 378.46 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 17 outcomes have no price, that is 5.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −14 068.18 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3

×4

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0126

15 960.84 ₴

at 3 990.21

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Printstream (Factory New) — 8 393.36 ₴ +4 403.15 ₴ per item · on the market 58 · buy 0.0000–0.0126

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Victoria

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0126

6 004.14 ₴

at 6 004.14

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 21 964.98 ₴ −11 152.45 (−50.8%)

What you get 93 outcomes

Profitable outcome 12%
Losing outcome 83%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 133.76 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 525.85 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 171.51 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 734.73 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

2 527.92 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 388.98 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 452.08 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 407.82 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 953.81 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 724.19 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

2 034.98 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 356.46 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

21 377.73 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

1 336.09 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 316.00 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

8 229.43 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

5 295.19 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 235.14 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

31 538.65 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

21 675.84 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

15 999.42 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

13 133.58 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

6 859.27 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 720.90 ₴ 2.86%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife

no wear

2 431.25 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife

no wear

2 574.61 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife

no wear

6 588.91 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife

no wear

10 537.30 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

16 422.41 ₴ 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

18 874.06 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

21 347.73 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 081.63 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Bayonet | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

27 458.70 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bayonet | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bayonet | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bayonet | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bayonet | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bayonet | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 350.06 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bayonet | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

18 270.14 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

14 256.56 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 477.41 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

9 939.50 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

17 214.13 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 640.15 ₴ 0.31%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 543.42 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 400.03 ₴ 0.31%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Flip Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 218.40 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 053.55 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 867.12 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 209.39 ₴ 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

5 453.26 ₴ 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

10 466.70 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 971.40 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

10 046.17 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 268.85 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Gut Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 658.76 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 587.29 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Gut Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Gut Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 678.61 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

66 475.57 ₴ 0.31%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

52 541.98 ₴ 0.31%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

59 444.75 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

32 298.63 ₴ 0.31%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

65 972.14 ₴ 0.31%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Karambit | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Karambit | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Karambit | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

124 947.24 ₴ 0.31%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31 100.01 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 511.38 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 742.73 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ M9 Bayonet | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

46 451.82 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

42 811.41 ₴ 0.31%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ M9 Bayonet | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

20 814.39 ₴ 0.31%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ M9 Bayonet | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

56 624.25 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31 759.32 ₴ 0.31%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ M9 Bayonet | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

264 659.60 ₴ 0.31%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ M9 Bayonet | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

45 389.92 ₴ 0.31%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ M9 Bayonet | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ M9 Bayonet | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 930.09 ₴ 0.31%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet

no wear

11 657.50 ₴ 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife

no wear

8 279.41 ₴ 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife

no wear

3 310.42 ₴ 0.31%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit

no wear

59 077.29 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ M9 Bayonet

no wear

33 429.52 ₴ 0.31%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) × 4 18% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 15 960.84 → 37 747.39 ₴

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) × 1 18% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 6 004.14 → 12 968.94 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Fever Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −12 143.94 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −11 375.01 ₴ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Fever Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3401548 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −11 152.45₴ · invest 21 964.98₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3402309 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −11 283.16₴ · invest 22 095.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New); FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.012668
Craft 3402310 · The Fever Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit −11 283.16₴ · invest 22 095.69₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New); FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.012668

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 93 outcomes

More

How to build