Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401603 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
111 542.46 ₸
at 27 885.61
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸+42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 126 414.93 ₸ · little data, days: 0
×1
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
104 140.98 ₸
at 104 140.98
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 135 568.49 ₸+31 427.51 ₸ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 202 288.71 ₸ · among lots up to 224 957.01 ₸
Set · 5 pcs215 683.44 ₸
−31 999.01
(−14.8%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −75 764 ₸
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −75 764 ₸: ★ Butterfly Knife, ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) and 5 more
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
27 885.61 ₸
at 27 885.61
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸+42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 126 414.93 ₸ · little data, days: 0
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
416 563.92 ₸
at 104 140.98
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 135 568.49 ₸+31 427.51 ₸ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 202 288.71 ₸ · among lots up to 224 957.01 ₸
Set · 5 pcs444 449.54 ₸
+30 751.40
(+6.9%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −84 379 ₸
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −84 379 ₸: ★ Butterfly Knife, ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) and 5 more
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
55 771.23 ₸
at 27 885.61
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸+42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 126 414.93 ₸ · little data, days: 0
×3
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
312 422.94 ₸
at 104 140.98
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 135 568.49 ₸+31 427.51 ₸ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 202 288.71 ₸ · among lots up to 224 957.01 ₸
Set · 5 pcs368 194.17 ₸
+9 834.61
(+2.7%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
83 656.84 ₸
at 27 885.61
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸+42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 126 414.93 ₸ · little data, days: 0
×2
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
208 281.96 ₸
at 104 140.98
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 135 568.49 ₸+31 427.51 ₸ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 202 288.71 ₸ · among lots up to 224 957.01 ₸
Steam★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 108 573.59 ₸sells 10 a weeknow 124 859.63 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 150 482.69 ₸sell now to a buy order: 118 808.80 ₸
(you get 103 311.96 ₸)) · buy orders: 576
sell on Market.CSGO: 111 396.01 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 122 144.80 · lots 15price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 99 594.54 ₸listings: 118
on CS.Money: ~ 110 907.57 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 110 192.32 ₸listings: 65
month average 110 523.29 ₸, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 90 524.39 ₸
(you get 78 716.85 ₸)) · buy orders: 322
sell on Market.CSGO: 80 730.72 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 88 520.53 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 74 175.30 ₸listings: 37
on CS.Money: ~ 83 016.62 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 78 285.83 ₸listings: 39
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 89 991.47 ₸sell now to a buy order: 89 961.83 ₸
(you get 78 227.68 ₸)) · buy orders: 165
sell on Market.CSGO: 108 253.53 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 118 699.07 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 95 963.91 ₸listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 90 744.23 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 97 417.07 ₸listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 74 484.56 ₸no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 82 358.62 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 90 305.51 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 81 785.26 ₸listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 73 690.91 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 82 799.31 ₸listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the lowest sale 178 081.71 ₸sell now to a buy order: 155 212.13 ₸
(you get 134 967.06 ₸)) · buy orders: 167
sell on Market.CSGO: 170 935.05 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 187 428.78 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 143 547.43 ₸listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 155 580.27 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 159 613.86 ₸listings: 21
Steam★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 67 518.82 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 68 896.80 ₸listings 3 · you get 67 518.82 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 68 896.80 ₸listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 80 266.29 ₸sell now to a buy order: 79 212.65 ₸
(you get 68 880.54 ₸)) · buy orders: 100Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 96 670.10 ₸
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 247 104.31 ₸sell now to a buy order: 243 917.12 ₸
(you get 212 101.84 ₸)) · buy orders: 44Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 394 996.56 ₸listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 453 829.79 ₸listings: 6
Steam★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 117 282.91 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 119 676.46 ₸listings 4 · you get 117 282.91 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 83 282.24 ₸
(you get 72 419.29 ₸)) · buy orders: 57not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 119 676.46 ₸listings: 4
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 76 327.97 ₸sell now to a buy order: 76 308.68 ₸
(you get 66 355.34 ₸)) · buy orders: 85Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 72 178.92 ₸listings: 5
Steam★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 69 254.03 ₸
(you get 60 220.88 ₸)) · buy orders: 114Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 129 685.69 ₸listings: 7
Steam★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 90 524.39 ₸
(you get 78 716.85 ₸)) · buy orders: 104Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Classic Knifenet 86 257.97 ₸sells 13 a weeknow 99 196.65 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 108 393.57 ₸sell now to a buy order: 85 532.42 ₸
(you get 74 376.02 ₸)) · buy orders: 1042
sell on Market.CSGO: 77 834.34 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 85 344.70 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 78 996.58 ₸listings: 36
on CS.Money: ~ 85 076.38 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 74 510.32 ₸listings: 45
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 838 495.66 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 855 607.85 ₸listings 283 · you get 838 495.66 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 003 496.73 ₸
(you get 872 605.83 ₸)) · buy orders: 3579
sell on Market.CSGO: 930 375.35 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 1 020 148.44 · lots 16price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 855 607.85 ₸listings: 283
on CS.Money: ~ 960 598.61 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 918 316.20 ₸listings: 181
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 639 049.50 ₸sell now to a buy order: 631 349.45 ₸
(you get 548 999.49 ₸)) · buy orders: 1330
sell on Market.CSGO: 562 291.92 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 616 548.18 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 529 933.60 ₸listings: 144
on CS.Money: ~ 662 100.11 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 547 801.76 ₸listings: 66
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 448 417.67 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 457 569.09 ₸listings 10 · you get 448 417.67 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 401 739.25 ₸
(you get 349 338.44 ₸)) · buy orders: 500Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 457 569.09 ₸listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 554 714.58 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 558 241.12 ₸listings: 14
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 454 455.51 ₸sell now to a buy order: 451 456.22 ₸
(you get 392 570.57 ₸)) · buy orders: 357Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 357 635.03 ₸listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 427 315.01 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 423 245.20 ₸listings: 13
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 578 295.81 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 590 097.79 ₸listings 24 · you get 578 295.81 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 729 475.81 ₸
(you get 634 326.75 ₸)) · buy orders: 406
sell on Market.CSGO: 818 626.89 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 897 617.23 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 590 097.79 ₸listings: 24
on CS.Money: ~ 592 777.81 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 635 318.25 ₸listings: 25
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 310 629.36 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 316 968.76 ₸listings 5 · you get 310 629.36 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 312 309.56 ₸
(you get 271 573.50 ₸)) · buy orders: 127
sell on Market.CSGO: 390 006.79 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 427 639.06 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 316 968.76 ₸listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 276 560.52 ₸listings: 6
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 393 946.58 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 401 986.31 ₸listings 4 · you get 393 946.58 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 404 111.09 ₸
(you get 351 400.91 ₸)) · buy orders: 132Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 401 986.31 ₸listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 401 280.06 ₸listings: 10
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 1 957 922.86 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 997 880.51 ₸listings 3 · you get 1 957 922.86 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 905 263.97 ₸
(you get 787 186.05 ₸)) · buy orders: 173Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 997 880.51 ₸listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 1 972 542.76 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 2 048 746.16 ₸listings: 8
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 574 391.74 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 586 114.02 ₸listings 6 · you get 574 391.74 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 543 156.34 ₸
(you get 472 309.84 ₸)) · buy orders: 155not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 586 114.02 ₸listings: 6Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 377 101.23 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 384 797.18 ₸listings 6 · you get 377 101.23 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 380 605.78 ₸
(you get 330 961.54 ₸)) · buy orders: 252not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 384 797.18 ₸listings: 6Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)The Breakout Collectionsell now to a buy order: 232 392.52 ₸
(you get 202 080.40 ₸)) · buy orders: 125not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on Lis-Skins: from 324 827.69 ₸listings: 9
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 417 029.53 ₸The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 425 540.38 ₸listings 9 · you get 417 029.53 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 346 918.86 ₸
(you get 301 668.53 ₸)) · buy orders: 142not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 425 540.38 ₸listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 490 562.07 ₸listings: 3
month average 682 808.14 ₸, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 572 393.56 ₸
(you get 497 733.47 ₸)) · buy orders: 3397
sell on Market.CSGO: 567 111.85 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 621 833.20 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 479 864.69 ₸listings: 77
on CS.Money: ~ 568 870.56 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 515 804.78 ₸listings: 92
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 410% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37111 542.46 → 263 797.92 ₸
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 110% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16104 140.98 → 224 944.52 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−42 294.79 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−33 568.03 ₸historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401604
· The Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −31 999.03₸
· invest 215 683.44₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.