Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401604 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
230.04 $
at 230.04
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 299.46 $+69.42 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 446.85 $ · among lots up to 496.92 $ · little data, days: 3
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
246.39 $
at 61.60
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 155.29 $+93.69 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 279.25 $ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs476.44 $
−70.68
(−14.8%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −167 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −167 $: ★ Butterfly Knife, ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) and 5 more
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
920.17 $
at 230.04
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 299.46 $+69.42 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 446.85 $ · among lots up to 496.92 $ · little data, days: 3
×1
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
61.60 $
at 61.60
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 155.29 $+93.69 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 279.25 $ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs981.77 $
+67.93
(+6.9%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −186 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −186 $: ★ Butterfly Knife, ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New), ★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) and 5 more
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
690.13 $
at 230.04
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 299.46 $+69.42 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 446.85 $ · among lots up to 496.92 $ · little data, days: 3
×2
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
123.20 $
at 61.60
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 155.29 $+93.69 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 279.25 $ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs813.32 $
+21.72
(+2.7%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
460.09 $
at 230.04
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 299.46 $+69.42 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 446.85 $ · among lots up to 496.92 $ · little data, days: 3
×3
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(1% of this wear's listings)
184.79 $
at 61.60
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 155.29 $+93.69 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0193
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.013513wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 279.25 $ · little data, days: 0
Steam★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 239.83 $The CS20 Collectionsells 10 a weeknow 275.81 $ — cheaper than the month average 332.41 $sell now to a buy order: 262.44 $
(you get 228.21 $)) · buy orders: 576
month average 244.14 $, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 199.96 $
(you get 173.88 $)) · buy orders: 322
Steam★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 149.15 $The CS20 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 152.19 $listings 3 · you get 149.15 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 259.07 $The CS20 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 264.36 $listings 4 · you get 259.07 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 183.97 $
(you get 159.97 $)) · buy orders: 57
Steam★ Classic Knifenet 190.54 $The CS20 Collectionsells 13 a weeknow 219.12 $ — cheaper than the month average 239.44 $sell now to a buy order: 188.94 $
(you get 164.29 $)) · buy orders: 1042
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 1 852.20 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 890.00 $listings 283 · you get 1 852.20 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 2 216.68 $
(you get 1 927.55 $)) · buy orders: 3579
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 990.53 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 010.75 $listings 10 · you get 990.53 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 887.42 $
(you get 771.67 $)) · buy orders: 500
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 1 277.43 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 303.50 $listings 24 · you get 1 277.43 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 611.38 $
(you get 1 401.20 $)) · buy orders: 406
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 686.17 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 700.17 $listings 5 · you get 686.17 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 689.88 $
(you get 599.89 $)) · buy orders: 127
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 870.21 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 887.97 $listings 4 · you get 870.21 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 892.66 $
(you get 776.23 $)) · buy orders: 132
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 4 324.97 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 4 413.23 $listings 3 · you get 4 324.97 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 999.69 $
(you get 1 738.86 $)) · buy orders: 173
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 1 268.81 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 294.70 $listings 6 · you get 1 268.81 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 199.81 $
(you get 1 043.31 $)) · buy orders: 155
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 833.00 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 850.00 $listings 6 · you get 833.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 840.74 $
(you get 731.08 $)) · buy orders: 252
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 921.20 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 940.00 $listings 9 · you get 921.20 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 766.33 $
(you get 666.37 $)) · buy orders: 142
month average 1 508.29 $, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 1 264.39 $
(you get 1 099.47 $)) · buy orders: 3397
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 110% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16230.04 → 496.89 $
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 410% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37246.39 → 582.72 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Breakout Collection + The CS20 Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−93.43 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−74.15 $historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The CS20 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401603
· The CS20 Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −70.68$
· invest 476.44$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.