The Clutch Collection + The Breakout Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −17 279.39₴

Invest at least 58 556.83₴

Average return 41 277.44₴

ROI −29.5%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 58 556.83 ₴, profit at most −17 279.39 ₴

float premium: at least 32 662 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −14 418.74 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

15 213.67 ₴

at 3 803.42

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 732.62 ₴ +929.20 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

10 452.08 ₴

at 10 452.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 606.29 ₴ +3 154.21 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0152

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 25 665.75 ₴ +15 611.69 (+60.8%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

11 410.26 ₴

at 3 803.42

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 732.62 ₴ +929.20 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

×2

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0078

20 904.16 ₴

at 10 452.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 606.29 ₴ +3 154.21 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0144

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 32 314.41 ₴ +13 005.18 (+40.2%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −990 ₴

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

7 606.84 ₴

at 3 803.42

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 732.62 ₴ +929.20 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0103

Steam

×3

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

31 356.24 ₴

at 10 452.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 606.29 ₴ +3 154.21 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 38 963.07 ₴ +10 398.68 (+26.7%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 865 ₴

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

3 803.42 ₴

at 3 803.42

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 4 732.62 ₴ +929.20 ₴ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×4

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

41 808.32 ₴

at 10 452.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 606.29 ₴ +3 154.21 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0130

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 45 611.73 ₴ +7 792.17 (+17.1%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 47%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 2%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 079.22 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 263.22 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 120.40 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 755.97 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 932.42 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 986.10 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 541.68 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 710.00 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 199.71 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

86 606.61 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 587.72 ₴ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 653.13 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 054.12 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 590.83 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 118.16 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28 932.83 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 419.36 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

245 402.28 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 734.83 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 575.80 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 199.46 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 860.79 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 663.89 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 349.24 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

85 872.83 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

64 138.02 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

45 923.79 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

45 611.29 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

59 224.99 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31 812.48 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 345.24 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200 516.69 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

58 825.16 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 620.06 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 709.24 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

68 529.84 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Clutch Collection + The Breakout Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Clutch Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 only The Clutch Collection Variant 6 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13 768.94 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +15 375.46 ₴ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Clutch Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3401612 · The Breakout Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 15 611.68₴ · invest 25 665.75₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Clutch Collection + The Breakout Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build