Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401622 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
31 356.24 ₴
at 10 452.08
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 606.29 ₴+3 154.21 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0155
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.016891wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 20 302.65 ₴ · among lots up to 22 577.74 ₴ · little data, days: 3
×2
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(3% of this wear's listings)
14 148.47 ₴
at 7 074.23
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 10 015.71 ₴+2 941.48 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0084
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 28 222.18 ₴ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs45 504.70 ₴
−8 210.35
(−18.0%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
10 452.08 ₴
at 10 452.08
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 606.29 ₴+3 154.21 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0207
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.022522wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 20 302.65 ₴ · among lots up to 22 577.74 ₴ · little data, days: 3
×4
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(10% of this wear's listings)
28 296.94 ₴
at 7 074.23
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 10 015.71 ₴+2 941.48 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0112
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.011261wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 11 189.66 ₴ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs38 749.01 ₴
−21 606.37
(−55.8%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
20 904.16 ₴
at 10 452.08
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 606.29 ₴+3 154.21 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0177
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.019304wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 20 302.65 ₴ · among lots up to 22 577.74 ₴ · little data, days: 3
×3
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(3% of this wear's listings)
21 222.70 ₴
at 7 074.23
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 10 015.71 ₴+2 941.48 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0096
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 28 222.18 ₴ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs42 126.86 ₴
−14 908.36
(−35.4%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
41 808.32 ₴
at 10 452.08
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 606.29 ₴+3 154.21 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0138
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 20 302.65 ₴ · among lots up to 22 577.74 ₴ · little data, days: 3
×1
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(3% of this wear's listings)
7 074.23 ₴
at 7 074.23
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 10 015.71 ₴+2 941.48 ₴ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0075
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 28 222.18 ₴ · little data, days: 0
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 84 155.37 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 85 872.83 ₴listings 283 · you get 84 155.37 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 100 715.65 ₴
(you get 87 578.83 ₴)) · buy orders: 3579
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 45 005.31 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 45 923.79 ₴listings 10 · you get 45 005.31 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 40 320.44 ₴
(you get 35 061.25 ₴)) · buy orders: 500
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 58 040.49 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 59 224.99 ₴listings 24 · you get 58 040.49 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 73 213.63 ₴
(you get 63 664.02 ₴)) · buy orders: 406
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 31 176.22 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 31 812.48 ₴listings 5 · you get 31 176.22 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 31 344.86 ₴
(you get 27 256.39 ₴)) · buy orders: 127
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 39 538.33 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 40 345.24 ₴listings 4 · you get 39 538.33 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 40 558.49 ₴
(you get 35 268.25 ₴)) · buy orders: 132
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 196 506.35 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 200 516.69 ₴listings 3 · you get 196 506.35 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 90 856.55 ₴
(you get 79 005.70 ₴)) · buy orders: 173
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 57 648.66 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 58 825.16 ₴listings 6 · you get 57 648.66 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 54 513.73 ₴
(you get 47 403.24 ₴)) · buy orders: 155
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 37 847.65 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 38 620.06 ₴listings 6 · you get 37 847.65 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 38 199.39 ₴
(you get 33 216.86 ₴)) · buy orders: 252
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 41 855.05 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 42 709.24 ₴listings 9 · you get 41 855.05 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 34 818.41 ₴
(you get 30 276.87 ₴)) · buy orders: 142
month average 68 529.84 ₴, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 57 448.11 ₴
(you get 49 954.87 ₴)) · buy orders: 3397
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 11 570.33 ₴The Falchion Collectionsells 8 a weekmonth average 13 305.88 ₴, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 11 444.56 ₴
(you get 9 951.78 ₴)) · buy orders: 381
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Night (Factory New)net 13 357.99 ₴The Falchion Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 13 630.61 ₴listings 3 · you get 13 357.99 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 10 172.94 ₴
(you get 8 846.03 ₴)) · buy orders: 98
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 6 454.58 ₴The Falchion Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 6 586.31 ₴listings 3 · you get 6 454.58 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 4 243.64 ₴
(you get 3 690.12 ₴)) · buy orders: 109
Steam★ Falchion Knifenet 4 768.12 ₴The Falchion Collectionsells 16 a weeknow 5 483.34 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 6 084.37 ₴no buy orders
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 312% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.2631 356.24 → 70 865.09 ₴
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 212% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.2114 148.47 → 31 268.11 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Breakout Collection + The Falchion Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−9 353.65 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−8 431.36 ₴historical median
5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.