Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401637 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0087
(1% of this wear's listings)
306.92 $
at 76.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 800.15 $+723.42 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.0000–0.0112
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008758f′ (normalized) 0.012512wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 85 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 251.04 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 193 · from 87.40 $ (float 0.0081) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0087
(1% of this wear's listings)
230.04 $
at 230.04
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 299.46 $+69.42 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0161
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008758f′ (normalized) 0.017517wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 446.85 $ · among lots up to 496.92 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 117 · from 335.58 $ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs536.97 $
−131.87
(−24.6%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 16.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0081
(0% of this wear's listings)
230.19 $
at 76.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 800.15 $+723.42 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.0000–0.0104
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008154f′ (normalized) 0.011649wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 85 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 193 · from 87.40 $ (float 0.0081) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0081
(1% of this wear's listings)
460.09 $
at 230.04
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 299.46 $+69.42 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0150
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008154f′ (normalized) 0.016309wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 446.85 $ · among lots up to 496.92 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 117 · from 335.58 $ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs690.28 $
−70.37
(−10.2%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0076
(0% of this wear's listings)
153.46 $
at 76.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 800.15 $+723.42 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.0000–0.0098
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007628f′ (normalized) 0.010897wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 85 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 193 · from 189.08 $ (float 0.0007) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0076
(1% of this wear's listings)
690.13 $
at 230.04
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 299.46 $+69.42 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0140
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007628f′ (normalized) 0.015257wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 446.85 $ · among lots up to 496.92 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 117 · from 335.58 $ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs843.59 $
−8.87
(−1.1%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −194 $
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −194 $: ★ Butterfly Knife, ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New), ★ Huntsman Knife | Night (Factory New) and 7 more
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0071
(0% of this wear's listings)
76.73 $
at 76.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 800.15 $+723.42 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.0000–0.0092
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007166f′ (normalized) 0.010237wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 85 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one
Lis-Skins: suitable 1 of 193 · from 189.08 $ (float 0.0007) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0071
(1% of this wear's listings)
920.17 $
at 230.04
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 299.46 $+69.42 $ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0131
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007166f′ (normalized) 0.014332wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 446.85 $ · among lots up to 496.92 $
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 117 · from 335.58 $ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 01.11 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
now 279.92 $ — cheaper than the month average 293.71 $sell now to a buy order: 239.94 $
(you get 208.64 $)) · buy orders: 1074
sell on Market.CSGO: 203.94 $ to your card
cheapest lot 223.61 · lots 28price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 189.96 $listings: 105
on CS.Money: ~ 215.33 $
on Lis-Skins: from 206.18 $listings: 70
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the lowest sale 302.14 $sell now to a buy order: 289.96 $
(you get 252.14 $)) · buy orders: 413
sell on Market.CSGO: 244.72 $ to your card
cheapest lot 268.34 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 233.21 $listings: 44
on CS.Money: ~ 247.57 $
on Lis-Skins: from 236.54 $listings: 48
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 286.23 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 329.17 $sell now to a buy order: 329.09 $
(you get 286.16 $)) · buy orders: 140not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 473.57 $listings: 4
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 290.80 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 292.81 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 336.73 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 384.76 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 375.05 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 152.39 $sell now to a buy order: 150.38 $
(you get 130.77 $)) · buy orders: 130not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 146.90 $
(you get 127.74 $)) · buy orders: 65not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 443.83 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 510.41 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 555.16 $ to your card
cheapest lot 608.73 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 682.00 $listings: 6
on Lis-Skins: from 659.94 $listings: 4
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Night (Factory New)net 370.63 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 426.23 $sell now to a buy order: 420.62 $
(you get 365.75 $)) · buy orders: 92Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 216.80 $
(you get 188.52 $)) · buy orders: 63not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 151.98 $
(you get 132.16 $)) · buy orders: 74not listed on Market.CSGO right nowLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knifenet 108.37 $sells 10 a weeknow 124.63 $ — cheaper than the month average 160.07 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 105.85 $ to your card
cheapest lot 116.06 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 106.58 $listings: 27
on CS.Money: ~ 119.11 $
on Lis-Skins: from 105.73 $listings: 46
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 1 852.20 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 890.00 $listings 283 · you get 1 852.20 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 2 216.68 $
(you get 1 927.55 $)) · buy orders: 3579
sell on Market.CSGO: 2 055.16 $ to your card
cheapest lot 2 253.46 · lots 16price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 1 890.00 $listings: 283
on CS.Money: ~ 2 121.92 $
on Lis-Skins: from 2 028.52 $listings: 181
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 1 411.63 $sell now to a buy order: 1 394.62 $
(you get 1 212.72 $)) · buy orders: 1330
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 242.08 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 361.93 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 1 170.60 $listings: 144
on CS.Money: ~ 1 462.55 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 210.07 $listings: 66
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 990.53 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 010.75 $listings 10 · you get 990.53 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 887.42 $
(you get 771.67 $)) · buy orders: 500Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 1 010.75 $listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 1 225.34 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 233.13 $listings: 14
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 1 003.87 $sell now to a buy order: 997.25 $
(you get 867.17 $)) · buy orders: 357Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 790.00 $listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 943.92 $
on Lis-Skins: from 934.93 $listings: 13
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 1 277.43 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 303.50 $listings 24 · you get 1 277.43 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 611.38 $
(you get 1 401.20 $)) · buy orders: 406
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 808.31 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 982.80 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 1 303.50 $listings: 24
on CS.Money: ~ 1 309.42 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 403.39 $listings: 25
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 686.17 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 700.17 $listings 5 · you get 686.17 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 689.88 $
(you get 599.89 $)) · buy orders: 127
sell on Market.CSGO: 861.51 $ to your card
cheapest lot 944.64 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 700.17 $listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 610.91 $listings: 6
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 870.21 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 887.97 $listings 4 · you get 870.21 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 892.66 $
(you get 776.23 $)) · buy orders: 132Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 887.97 $listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 886.41 $listings: 10
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 4 324.97 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 4 413.23 $listings 3 · you get 4 324.97 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 999.69 $
(you get 1 738.86 $)) · buy orders: 173Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 4 413.23 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 4 357.26 $
on Lis-Skins: from 4 525.59 $listings: 8
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 1 268.81 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 294.70 $listings 6 · you get 1 268.81 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 199.81 $
(you get 1 043.31 $)) · buy orders: 155not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 1 294.70 $listings: 6Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 833.00 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 850.00 $listings 6 · you get 833.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 840.74 $
(you get 731.08 $)) · buy orders: 252not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 850.00 $listings: 6Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)The Breakout Collectionsell now to a buy order: 513.34 $
(you get 446.39 $)) · buy orders: 125not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on Lis-Skins: from 717.53 $listings: 9
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 921.20 $The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 940.00 $listings 9 · you get 921.20 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 766.33 $
(you get 666.37 $)) · buy orders: 142not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 940.00 $listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 1 083.63 $listings: 3
month average 1 508.29 $, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 1 264.39 $
(you get 1 099.47 $)) · buy orders: 3397
sell on Market.CSGO: 1 252.73 $ to your card
cheapest lot 1 373.60 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 1 060.00 $listings: 77
on CS.Money: ~ 1 256.61 $
on Lis-Skins: from 1 139.39 $listings: 92
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) × 413% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37306.92 → 725.87 $
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 113% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16230.04 → 496.89 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Huntsman Collection + The Breakout Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−146.45 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−135.28 $historical median
8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401638
· The Breakout Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −131.87$
· invest 536.97$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.