The Breakout Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −59 699.49₸

Invest 243 085.90₸

Average return 183 386.42₸

ROI −24.6%

Chance of profit 18%

With float: invest at least 553 549.24 ₸, profit at most −370 162.83 ₸

float premium: at least 303 960 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +23 826.27 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 20.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −150 410.76 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

104 140.98 ₸

at 104 140.98

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 135 568.49 ₸ +31 427.51 ₸ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0161

Steam

×4

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

138 944.92 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0112

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 243 085.90 ₸ −59 699.49 (−24.6%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −87 700 ₸

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×4

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

416 563.92 ₸

at 104 140.98

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 135 568.49 ₸ +31 427.51 ₸ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0131

Steam

×1

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

34 736.23 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0092

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 451 300.15 ₸ +23 826.27 (+5.3%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 62%
Above the Steam cap 20%

Order

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

126 718.85 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

136 781.46 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

149 015.35 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

131 644.51 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

152 440.21 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68 985.26 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

231 063.41 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

192 953.33 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41 765.97 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

56 420.68 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

855 607.85 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

639 049.50 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

457 569.09 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

454 455.51 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

590 097.79 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

316 968.76 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

401 986.31 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 997 880.51 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

586 114.02 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

384 797.18 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

425 540.38 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

682 808.14 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −66 296.97 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −61 241.62 ₸ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3401637 · The Huntsman Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −59 699.49₸ · invest 243 085.90₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build