Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401659 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(2% of this wear's listings)
21 295.13 ₽
at 21 295.13
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 24 550.74 ₽+3 255.61 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0075
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 40 153.87 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 95 · from 41 448.11 ₽ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(1% of this wear's listings)
74 069.96 ₽
at 18 517.49
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 24 105.67 ₽+5 588.18 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0138
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 35 969.31 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 117 · from 27 012.79 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs95 365.09 ₽
−12 677.03
(−13.3%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 20.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(7% of this wear's listings)
85 180.52 ₽
at 21 295.13
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 24 550.74 ₽+3 255.61 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0112
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.011261wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 42 506.69 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 95 · from 41 448.11 ₽ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×1
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(1% of this wear's listings)
18 517.49 ₽
at 18 517.49
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 24 105.67 ₽+5 588.18 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0207
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.022522wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 35 969.31 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 5 of 117 · from 27 012.79 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs103 698.01 ₽
−78 269.76
(−75.5%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 16.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(7% of this wear's listings)
63 885.39 ₽
at 21 295.13
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 24 550.74 ₽+3 255.61 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0096
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 42 506.69 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 95 · from 41 448.11 ₽ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×2
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(1% of this wear's listings)
37 034.98 ₽
at 18 517.49
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 24 105.67 ₽+5 588.18 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0177
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.019304wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 35 969.31 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 4 of 117 · from 27 012.79 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Set · 5 pcs100 920.37 ₽
−56 405.51
(−55.9%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(2% of this wear's listings)
42 590.26 ₽
at 21 295.13
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 24 550.74 ₽+3 255.61 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0084
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 40 153.87 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 2 of 95 · from 41 448.11 ₽ (float 0.0072) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
×3
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(1% of this wear's listings)
55 552.47 ₽
at 18 517.49
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 24 105.67 ₽+5 588.18 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0155
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.016891wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 35 969.31 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽
Lis-Skins: suitable 3 of 117 · from 27 012.79 ₽ (float 0.0054) · craft not before 31.10 · data 24.10 13:43 MSK
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 149 094.38 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 152 137.13 ₽listings 283 · you get 149 094.38 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 178 433.51 ₽
(you get 155 159.57 ₽)) · buy orders: 3579
sell on Market.CSGO: 165 431.67 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 181 394.38 · lots 16price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 152 137.13 ₽listings: 283
on CS.Money: ~ 170 805.72 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 163 287.41 ₽listings: 181
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 113 630.51 ₽sell now to a buy order: 112 261.35 ₽
(you get 97 618.56 ₽)) · buy orders: 1330
sell on Market.CSGO: 99 982.11 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 109 629.51 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 94 228.42 ₽listings: 144
on CS.Money: ~ 117 729.18 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 97 405.59 ₽listings: 66
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 79 733.93 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 81 361.16 ₽listings 10 · you get 79 733.93 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 71 433.96 ₽
(you get 62 116.48 ₽)) · buy orders: 500Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 81 361.16 ₽listings: 10
on CS.Money: ~ 98 634.77 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 99 261.83 ₽listings: 14
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 80 807.53 ₽sell now to a buy order: 80 274.22 ₽
(you get 69 803.66 ₽)) · buy orders: 357Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 63 591.71 ₽listings: 6
on CS.Money: ~ 75 981.63 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 75 257.97 ₽listings: 13
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 102 827.79 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 104 926.32 ₽listings 24 · you get 102 827.79 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 129 709.37 ₽
(you get 112 790.75 ₽)) · buy orders: 406
sell on Market.CSGO: 145 561.48 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 159 606.89 · lots 4
on CSFloat: from 104 926.32 ₽listings: 24
on CS.Money: ~ 105 402.86 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 112 967.05 ₽listings: 25
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 55 233.55 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 56 360.77 ₽listings 5 · you get 55 233.55 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 55 532.31 ₽
(you get 48 288.96 ₽)) · buy orders: 127
sell on Market.CSGO: 69 347.79 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 76 039.25 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 56 360.77 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 49 175.71 ₽listings: 6
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 70 048.33 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 71 477.89 ₽listings 4 · you get 70 048.33 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 71 855.70 ₽
(you get 62 483.21 ₽)) · buy orders: 132Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 71 477.89 ₽listings: 4
on Lis-Skins: from 71 352.31 ₽listings: 10
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 348 141.69 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 355 246.63 ₽listings 3 · you get 348 141.69 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 160 966.57 ₽
(you get 139 970.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 173Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 355 246.63 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 350 741.28 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 364 291.14 ₽listings: 8
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 102 133.60 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 104 217.96 ₽listings 6 · you get 102 133.60 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 96 579.58 ₽
(you get 83 982.24 ₽)) · buy orders: 155not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 104 217.96 ₽listings: 6Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 67 053.03 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 68 421.46 ₽listings 6 · you get 67 053.03 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 67 676.18 ₽
(you get 58 848.85 ₽)) · buy orders: 252not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 68 421.46 ₽listings: 6Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)The Breakout Collectionsell now to a buy order: 41 322.12 ₽
(you get 35 932.27 ₽)) · buy orders: 125not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on Lis-Skins: from 57 758.18 ₽listings: 9
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 74 152.75 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 75 666.08 ₽listings 9 · you get 74 152.75 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 61 686.25 ₽
(you get 53 640.21 ₽)) · buy orders: 142not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 75 666.08 ₽listings: 9
on Lis-Skins: from 87 227.70 ₽listings: 3
month average 121 411.31 ₽, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 101 778.30 ₽
(you get 88 502.86 ₽)) · buy orders: 3397
sell on Market.CSGO: 100 839.15 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 110 569.25 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 85 325.58 ₽listings: 77
on CS.Money: ~ 101 151.87 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 91 716.15 ₽listings: 92
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New)net 11 801.31 ₽sells 9 a weeknow 13 571.51 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 14 889.31 ₽sell now to a buy order: 12 161.89 ₽
(you get 10 575.55 ₽)) · buy orders: 634
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 790.66 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 11 831.87 · lots 20price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 9 848.67 ₽listings: 79
on CS.Money: ~ 10 199.63 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 9 909.84 ₽listings: 81
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Factory New)net 8 635.20 ₽sells 2 a weekmonth average 9 930.48 ₽, sold 18 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averageno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 343.36 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 8 051.94 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 7 527.17 ₽listings: 32
on CS.Money: ~ 7 771.87 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 7 567.41 ₽listings: 57
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 640.06 ₽sell now to a buy order: 11 265.24 ₽
(you get 9 795.86 ₽)) · buy orders: 140
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 538.35 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 941.18 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 12 983.98 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 12 764.22 ₽listings: 6
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 971.31 ₽no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 11 519.76 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 13 578.84 ₽
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 15 489.91 ₽sell now to a buy order: 15 486.22 ₽
(you get 13 466.27 ₽)) · buy orders: 172not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 19 479.19 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 17 560.97 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 19 324.64 ₽listings: 7
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 502.26 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 403.83 ₽
(you get 6 438.11 ₽)) · buy orders: 104Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 20 128.93 ₽
(you get 17 503.41 ₽)) · buy orders: 139
sell on Market.CSGO: 911 999.08 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 999 999.00 · lots 3CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 38 538.19 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 327.70 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 186.73 ₽
(you get 3 640.63 ₽)) · buy orders: 90not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 276.75 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 182.15 ₽
(you get 6 245.34 ₽)) · buy orders: 121Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 13 684.29 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 10 411.33 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 898.02 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 894.60 ₽
(you get 8 604.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 52Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 9 578.20 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 10 099.81 ₽listings: 4
now 6 199.66 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 6 657.53 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 567.29 ₽
(you get 4 841.12 ₽)) · buy orders: 1031
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 974.23 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 5 454.21 · lots 21
on CSFloat: from 4 934.39 ₽listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 5 191.98 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 4 804.80 ₽listings: 68
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) × 111% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1621 295.13 → 45 997.48 ₽
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 411% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3774 069.96 → 175 175.46 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Shadow Collection + The Breakout Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−15 080.94 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−13 091.84 ₽historical median
6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401660
· The Breakout Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −12 677.03₽
· invest 95 365.09₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.