The Breakout Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −54 159.29₴

Invest at least 92 592.34₴

Average return 38 433.04₴

ROI −58.5%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 92 592.34 ₴, profit at most −54 159.29 ₴

float premium: at least 50 912 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +1 215.57 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 5.4% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −30 975.96 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2

×3

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

31 356.24 ₴

at 10 452.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 606.29 ₴ +3 154.21 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0155

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Stalker

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

9 831.33 ₴

at 4 915.67

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) — 22 983.24 ₴ +18 067.57 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 41 187.57 ₴ −2 754.52 (−6.7%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 596 ₴

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×4

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

41 808.32 ₴

at 10 452.08

if this one runs out, you can take

P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 13 606.29 ₴ +3 154.21 ₴ per item · on the market 33 · buy 0.0000–0.0138

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Stalker

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

4 915.67 ₴

at 4 915.67

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) — 22 983.24 ₴ +18 067.57 ₴ per item · on the market 8 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 46 723.98 ₴ +1 215.57 (+2.6%)

What you get 65 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 47%
About break-even 15%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

85 872.83 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

64 138.02 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

45 923.79 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

45 611.29 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

59 224.99 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31 812.48 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 345.24 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200 516.69 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

58 825.16 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 620.06 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42 709.24 ₴ 4.62%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife

no wear

68 529.84 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 700.41 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

6 271.25 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

6 776.66 ₴ 0.77%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 032.46 ₴ 0.77%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

8 477.46 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 729.57 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 037.46 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 157.04 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 200.66 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 134.86 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 657.93 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 513.92 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 816.58 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

7 694.53 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 071.49 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 885.23 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

9 703.47 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 346.47 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 361.15 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 555.15 ₴ 0.77%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 990.10 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 217.22 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 178.36 ₴ 0.77%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 051.66 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

15 469.09 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

13 800.01 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

11 916.36 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

10 608.42 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 711.38 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 358.31 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 710.00 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 456.09 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 671.23 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 693.56 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 653.07 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 065.98 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

23 179.03 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

22 578.87 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

19 026.61 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 648.48 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

30 558.53 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 207.98 ₴ 0.77%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 020.53 ₴ 0.77%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 484.44 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 337.63 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 771.74 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 301.97 ₴ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Paracord Knife

no wear

2 431.25 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife

no wear

2 574.61 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife

no wear

6 588.91 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife

no wear

10 537.30 ₴ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 3 12% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 31 356.24 → 70 865.09 ₴

MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) × 2 12% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 9 831.33 → 21 727.24 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection Variant 6 The Danger Zone Collection instead of The Shattered Web Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4 174.73 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −3 001.16 ₴ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Shattered Web Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 65 outcomes

More

How to build