Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401671 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0081
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
28 742.88 ₽
at 7 185.72
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 41 278.52 ₽+34 092.80 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0127
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008189f′ (normalized) 0.012796wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0081
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
18 517.49 ₽
at 18 517.49
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 24 105.67 ₽+5 588.18 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0150
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008189f′ (normalized) 0.016379wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 35 969.31 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽ · little data, days: 3
Set · 5 pcs47 260.37 ₽
−19 130.12
(−40.5%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 16.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
21 557.16 ₽
at 7 185.72
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 41 278.52 ₽+34 092.80 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0121
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007777f′ (normalized) 0.012152wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
37 034.98 ₽
at 18 517.49
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 24 105.67 ₽+5 588.18 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0143
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007777f′ (normalized) 0.015555wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 35 969.31 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽ · little data, days: 3
Set · 5 pcs58 592.14 ₽
−12 050.78
(−20.6%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0074
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
14 371.44 ₽
at 7 185.72
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 41 278.52 ₽+34 092.80 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0115
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007404f′ (normalized) 0.011569wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0074
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
55 552.47 ₽
at 18 517.49
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 24 105.67 ₽+5 588.18 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0136
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007404f′ (normalized) 0.014809wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 35 969.31 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽ · little data, days: 3
Set · 5 pcs69 923.91 ₽
−4 971.45
(−7.1%)
!
The gain is understated:4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Profit on prices without sales:without them at least −16 249 ₽
If these items are never sold, the profit is at least −16 249 ₽: ★ Butterfly Knife, ★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Factory New), ★ Butterfly Knife | Stained (Factory New), ★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New), ★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New) and 5 more
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0070
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
7 185.72 ₽
at 7 185.72
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 41 278.52 ₽+34 092.80 ₽ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0110
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007065f′ (normalized) 0.011040wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
M4A1-S | Cyrex
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0070
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
74 069.96 ₽
at 18 517.49
if this one runs out, you can take
P90 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 24 105.67 ₽+5 588.18 ₽ per item · on the market 33 · buy0.0000–0.0130
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007065f′ (normalized) 0.014131wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 120 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 35 969.31 ₽ · among lots up to 40 000.00 ₽ · little data, days: 3
month average 21 121.26 ₽, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 15 064.48 ₽
(you get 13 099.54 ₽)) · buy orders: 365
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 11 041.26 ₽sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 12 697.45 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 11 178.73 ₽
(you get 9 720.63 ₽)) · buy orders: 132
Steam★ Bowie Knifenet 6 199.63 ₽sells 18 a weeknow 7 129.58 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 8 187.93 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 840.61 ₽
(you get 5 948.35 ₽)) · buy orders: 1134
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 149 094.38 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 152 137.13 ₽listings 283 · you get 149 094.38 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 178 433.51 ₽
(you get 155 159.57 ₽)) · buy orders: 3579
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 79 733.93 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 81 361.16 ₽listings 10 · you get 79 733.93 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 71 433.96 ₽
(you get 62 116.48 ₽)) · buy orders: 500
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 102 827.79 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 104 926.32 ₽listings 24 · you get 102 827.79 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 129 709.37 ₽
(you get 112 790.75 ₽)) · buy orders: 406
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 55 233.55 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 56 360.77 ₽listings 5 · you get 55 233.55 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 55 532.31 ₽
(you get 48 288.96 ₽)) · buy orders: 127
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)net 70 048.33 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 71 477.89 ₽listings 4 · you get 70 048.33 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 71 855.70 ₽
(you get 62 483.21 ₽)) · buy orders: 132
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 348 141.69 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 355 246.63 ₽listings 3 · you get 348 141.69 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 160 966.57 ₽
(you get 139 970.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 173
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Night (Factory New)net 102 133.60 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 104 217.96 ₽listings 6 · you get 102 133.60 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 96 579.58 ₽
(you get 83 982.24 ₽)) · buy orders: 155
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 67 053.03 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 68 421.46 ₽listings 6 · you get 67 053.03 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 67 676.18 ₽
(you get 58 848.85 ₽)) · buy orders: 252
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 74 152.75 ₽The Breakout Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 75 666.08 ₽listings 9 · you get 74 152.75 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 61 686.25 ₽
(you get 53 640.21 ₽)) · buy orders: 142
month average 121 411.31 ₽, sold 11 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 101 778.30 ₽
(you get 88 502.86 ₽)) · buy orders: 3397
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 412% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3728 742.88 → 67 976.91 ₽
M4A1-S | Cyrex (Factory New) × 112% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1618 517.49 → 39 997.78 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Wildfire Collection + The Breakout Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−20 738.00 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−19 453.07 ₽historical median
8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401672
· The Breakout Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −19 130.12₽
· invest 47 260.37₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.