The Dead Hand Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −12 452.33₸

Invest 203 377.90₸

Average return 190 925.57₸

ROI −6.1%

Chance of profit 23%

With float: invest at least 462 162.48 ₸, profit at most −271 236.91 ₸

float premium: at least 247 725 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +108 938.25 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −130 756.66 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×1

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

91 835.44 ₸

at 91 835.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 119 991.28 ₸ +28 155.84 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

111 542.46 ₸

at 27 885.61

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸ +42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0203

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 203 377.90 ₸ −12 452.33 (−6.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.7% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

367 341.75 ₸

at 91 835.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 119 991.28 ₸ +28 155.84 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0112

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

27 885.61 ₸

at 27 885.61

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸ +42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0255

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 395 227.37 ₸ +108 938.25 (+27.6%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.9% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

275 506.31 ₸

at 91 835.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 119 991.28 ₸ +28 155.84 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

55 771.23 ₸

at 27 885.61

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸ +42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0233

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 331 277.54 ₸ +68 474.72 (+20.7%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 11.0% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −35 942 ₸

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

183 670.88 ₸

at 91 835.44

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 119 991.28 ₸ +28 155.84 ₸ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

83 656.84 ₸

at 27 885.61

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸ +42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0216

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 267 327.72 ₸ +28 011.20 (+10.5%)

What you get 35 outcomes

Profitable outcome 23%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 13%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

124 859.63 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

110 523.29 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

89 991.47 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

74 484.56 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

178 081.71 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68 896.80 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 266.29 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247 104.31 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

119 676.46 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 327.97 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

99 196.65 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

746 701.16 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

593 289.36 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200 131.71 ₸ 0.91%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.91%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

277 476.32 ₸ 0.91%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

232 090.34 ₸ 0.91%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

252 275.00 ₸ 0.91%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

760 540.29 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

746 959.24 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

669 094.37 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

588 060.63 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

357 763.14 ₸ 0.91%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 014 526.37 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

565 004.51 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

628 803.83 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

728 543.30 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

481 865.68 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

407 432.30 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339 522.39 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

550 423.80 ₸ 0.91%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 881 255.32 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

850 963.11 ₸ 0.91%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 only The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −20 206.03 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −13 838.12 ₸ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3401691 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit −12 452.32₸ · invest 203 377.90₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 35 outcomes

More

How to build