The Huntsman Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −252 390.46₸

Invest at least 338 828.17₸

Average return 86 437.71₸

ROI −74.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 338 828.17 ₸, profit at most −252 390.46 ₸

float premium: at least 182 316 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 16.9% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −71 213.35 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

34 736.23 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0092

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

111 542.46 ₸

at 27 885.61

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸ +42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0198

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 146 278.69 ₸ −59 840.98 (−40.9%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 21.5% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×4

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

138 944.92 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0112

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

27 885.61 ₸

at 27 885.61

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸ +42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0220

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 166 830.54 ₸ −80 616.33 (−48.3%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 20.0% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

104 208.69 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0104

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

55 771.23 ₸

at 27 885.61

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸ +42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0212

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 159 979.92 ₸ −73 691.19 (−46.1%)

The gain is understated: 5 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

69 472.46 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0098

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

83 656.84 ₸

at 27 885.61

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸ +42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0205

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 153 129.31 ₸ −66 766.06 (−43.6%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 15%
Losing outcome 68%
Above the Steam cap 17%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

124 859.63 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

110 523.29 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

89 991.47 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

74 484.56 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

178 081.71 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68 896.80 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

80 266.29 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247 104.31 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

119 676.46 ₸ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 327.97 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

99 196.65 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

126 718.85 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

136 781.46 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

149 015.35 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

131 644.51 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

152 440.21 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68 985.26 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

231 063.41 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

192 953.33 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41 765.97 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

56 420.68 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Huntsman Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 6 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −67 893.38 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −61 152.26 ₸ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3401712 · The CS20 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −59 840.96₸ · invest 146 278.69₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3401529 · The CS20 Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −59 843.06₸ · invest 171 365.67₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007239 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3401530 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −59 843.06₸ · invest 171 365.67₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007239 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3401725 · The Prisma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −61 138.94₸ · invest 153 301.40₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 3401726 · The CS20 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −61 138.94₸ · invest 153 301.40₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New)
Craft 3401753 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −61 145.39₸ · invest 172 668.00₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.005961 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3401754 · The CS20 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit −61 145.39₸ · invest 172 668.00₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.005961 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3401713 · The Kilowatt Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −63 487.98₸ · invest 143 880.03₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3401714 · The CS20 Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit −63 487.98₸ · invest 143 880.03₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3401697 · The Fever Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −65 734.89₸ · invest 151 299.56₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166
Craft 3401698 · The CS20 Collection + The Fever Collection · profit −65 734.89₸ · invest 151 299.56₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007166

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Huntsman Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build