The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −7 366.93₴

Invest 20 284.06₴

Average return 12 917.13₴

ROI −36.3%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 46 108.53 ₴, profit at most −33 191.40 ₴

float premium: at least 24 725 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −11 722.56 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

9 089.13 ₴

at 9 089.13

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 23 930.46 ₴ +14 841.33 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

11 194.93 ₴

at 2 798.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴ +4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0203

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 284.06 ₴ −7 366.93 (−36.3%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.4% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

36 356.54 ₴

at 9 089.13

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 23 930.46 ₴ +14 841.33 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

2 798.73 ₴

at 2 798.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴ +4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0255

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 39 155.27 ₴ −13 535.07 (−34.6%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.7% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

27 267.40 ₴

at 9 089.13

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 23 930.46 ₴ +14 841.33 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

5 597.46 ₴

at 2 798.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴ +4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0233

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 32 864.86 ₴ −11 479.03 (−34.9%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.9% of the chance

0% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

18 178.27 ₴

at 9 089.13

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 23 930.46 ₴ +14 841.33 ₴ per item · on the market 25 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

8 396.19 ₴

at 2 798.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴ +4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0216

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 26 574.46 ₴ −9 422.98 (−35.5%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 17%
Losing outcome 69%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 13%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 531.50 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

11 092.64 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

9 031.97 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 475.62 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

17 873.12 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 914.81 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 055.90 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 800.55 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 011.29 ₴ 6.15%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 660.63 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

9 955.84 ₴ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 782.32 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 920.98 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 954.61 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 461.54 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 621.81 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 122.44 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 883.32 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 929.12 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 688.62 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 967.34 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 236.66 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 691.74 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 720.52 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70 273.22 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 063.32 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 299.48 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57 554.97 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 532.98 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

122 245.20 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 465.60 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 230.93 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 271.97 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 233.43 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Operation Broken Fang Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8 440.59 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 545.72 ₴ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Operation Broken Fang Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3401716 · The CS20 Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit −7 366.93₴ · invest 20 284.06₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3401681 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −8 102.15₴ · invest 18 833.46₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3401682 · The CS20 Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −8 102.15₴ · invest 18 833.46₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.006756 instead of 0.007507

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build