The CS20 Collection + The Recoil Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −16 020.63₴

Invest at least 41 640.83₴

Average return 25 620.20₴

ROI −38.5%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 41 640.83 ₴, profit at most −16 020.63 ₴

float premium: at least 22 743 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 407 ₴

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.4% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −5 371.81 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

2 798.73 ₴

at 2 798.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴ +4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0220

Steam

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0087

15 050.98 ₴

at 3 762.74

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 5 232.10 ₴ +1 469.36 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0106

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 849.71 ₴ +7 770.49 (+43.5%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 8.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 071 ₴

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

5 597.46 ₴

at 2 798.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴ +4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0212

Steam

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0081

11 288.23 ₴

at 3 762.74

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 5 232.10 ₴ +1 469.36 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0099

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 16 885.70 ₴ +4 500.14 (+26.6%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.9% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 735 ₴

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

8 396.19 ₴

at 2 798.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴ +4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0205

Steam

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0076

7 525.49 ₴

at 3 762.74

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 5 232.10 ₴ +1 469.36 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0092

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 921.68 ₴ +1 229.80 (+7.7%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.1% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

11 194.93 ₴

at 2 798.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴ +4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0198

Steam

×1

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0071

3 762.74 ₴

at 3 762.74

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 5 232.10 ₴ +1 469.36 ₴ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0087

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 14 957.67 ₴ −2 040.54 (−13.6%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 45%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 782.32 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 920.98 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 954.61 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 461.54 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 621.81 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 122.44 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 883.32 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 929.12 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 688.62 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 967.34 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 236.66 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 691.74 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 720.52 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70 273.22 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 063.32 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 299.48 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57 554.97 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 532.98 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

122 245.20 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 465.60 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 230.93 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 271.97 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 233.43 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 531.50 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

11 092.64 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

9 031.97 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 475.62 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

17 873.12 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 914.81 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 055.90 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 800.55 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 011.29 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 660.63 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

9 955.84 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 178.78 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7 452.17 ₴ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402751 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 8 321.58₴ · invest 19 808.77₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 308 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008225 instead of 0.008758
Craft 3402752 · The Recoil Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 8 321.58₴ · invest 19 808.77₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 308 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008225 instead of 0.008758
Craft 3402681 · The Recoil Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 8 010.89₴ · invest 20 119.47₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 619 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3402682 · The Phoenix Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 8 010.89₴ · invest 20 119.47₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 619 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 3402767 · The Vanguard Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 7 990.40₴ · invest 20 139.95₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 639 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009154 instead of 0.008758
Craft 3402768 · The Recoil Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 7 990.40₴ · invest 20 139.95₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 639 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009154 instead of 0.008758
Craft 3402771 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 7 853.34₴ · invest 20 277.02₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 776 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008225 instead of 0.008758
Craft 3402772 · The Recoil Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 7 853.34₴ · invest 20 277.02₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 776 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008225 instead of 0.008758
Craft 3401727 · The Recoil Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 7 770.48₴ · invest 17 849.71₴
profit on prices without salesat least −4 407 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build