The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +6 707.14₴

Invest 19 107.14₴

Average return 25 814.28₴

ROI +35.1%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest at least 42 902.28 ₴, profit at most −17 087.99 ₴

float premium: at least 22 896 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +10 713.14 ₴ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 945 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −9 558.23 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

5 597.46 ₴

at 2 798.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴ +4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0233

Steam

×3

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

13 509.68 ₴

at 4 503.23

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 4 600.01 ₴ +96.78 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 19 107.14 ₴ +6 707.14 (+35.1%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

2 798.73 ₴

at 2 798.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴ +4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0255

Steam

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

18 012.91 ₴

at 4 503.23

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 4 600.01 ₴ +96.78 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 20 811.64 ₴ +10 713.14 (+51.5%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 984 ₴

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

8 396.19 ₴

at 2 798.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴ +4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0216

Steam

×2

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

9 006.45 ₴

at 4 503.23

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 4 600.01 ₴ +96.78 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0000–0.0067

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 402.65 ₴ +2 701.13 (+15.5%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

11 194.93 ₴

at 2 798.73

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 7 055.55 ₴ +4 256.81 ₴ per item · on the market 42 · buy 0.0100–0.0203

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

4 503.23 ₴

at 4 503.23

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 4 600.01 ₴ +96.78 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0000–0.0060

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 698.15 ₴ −1 304.88 (−8.3%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 31%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 5%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 531.50 ₴ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

11 092.64 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

9 031.97 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 475.62 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

17 873.12 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 914.81 ₴ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 055.90 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 800.55 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 011.29 ₴ 3.08%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 660.63 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

9 955.84 ₴ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 079.22 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 263.22 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 120.40 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 755.97 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 932.42 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 986.10 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 541.68 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 710.00 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 199.71 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

86 606.61 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 587.72 ₴ 2.50%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 653.13 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 054.12 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 590.83 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 118.16 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28 932.83 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 419.36 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

245 402.28 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 734.83 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 575.80 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 199.46 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 860.79 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 663.89 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 349.24 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 5 only The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5 199.10 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6 515.79 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The CS20 Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build