Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401736 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(1% of this wear's listings)
19 833.56 ₽
at 4 958.39
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 500.00 ₽+7 541.61 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0203
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×1
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(5% of this wear's listings)
21 295.13 ₽
at 21 295.13
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 24 550.74 ₽+3 255.61 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0075
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 40 153.87 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs41 128.69 ₽
−27 554.05
(−67.0%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 21.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(1% of this wear's listings)
4 958.39 ₽
at 4 958.39
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 500.00 ₽+7 541.61 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0255
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.022522wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×4
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(10% of this wear's listings)
85 180.52 ₽
at 21 295.13
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 24 550.74 ₽+3 255.61 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0112
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.011261wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 40 153.87 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs90 138.91 ₽
−81 989.01
(−91.0%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 20.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(1% of this wear's listings)
9 916.78 ₽
at 4 958.39
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 500.00 ₽+7 541.61 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0233
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.019304wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×3
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(10% of this wear's listings)
63 885.39 ₽
at 21 295.13
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 24 550.74 ₽+3 255.61 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0096
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 40 153.87 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs73 802.17 ₽
−63 844.02
(−86.5%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(1% of this wear's listings)
14 875.17 ₽
at 4 958.39
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 12 500.00 ₽+7 541.61 ₽ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0216
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.016891wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 22 478.06 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×2
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(5% of this wear's listings)
42 590.26 ₽
at 21 295.13
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 24 550.74 ₽+3 255.61 ₽ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0084
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 40 153.87 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Steam★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 19 305.66 ₽sells 10 a weeknow 22 201.51 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 26 757.59 ₽sell now to a buy order: 21 125.60 ₽
(you get 18 370.08 ₽)) · buy orders: 576
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 807.52 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 21 718.78 · lots 15price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 17 709.08 ₽listings: 118
on CS.Money: ~ 19 720.67 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 19 593.49 ₽listings: 65
month average 19 652.34 ₽, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 16 096.30 ₽
(you get 13 996.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 322
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 354.87 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 739.99 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 13 189.24 ₽listings: 37
on CS.Money: ~ 14 761.33 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 13 920.14 ₽listings: 39
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 16 001.54 ₽sell now to a buy order: 15 996.27 ₽
(you get 13 909.80 ₽)) · buy orders: 165
sell on Market.CSGO: 19 248.75 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 21 106.09 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 17 063.51 ₽listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 16 135.39 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 17 321.90 ₽listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 244.23 ₽no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 644.33 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 16 057.38 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 14 542.38 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 13 103.11 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 14 722.69 ₽listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the lowest sale 31 665.02 ₽sell now to a buy order: 27 598.54 ₽
(you get 23 998.73 ₽)) · buy orders: 167
sell on Market.CSGO: 30 394.26 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 33 327.04 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 25 524.42 ₽listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 27 664.00 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 28 381.22 ₽listings: 21
Steam★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 12 005.64 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 12 250.66 ₽listings 3 · you get 12 005.64 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 12 250.66 ₽listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 14 272.29 ₽sell now to a buy order: 14 084.94 ₽
(you get 12 247.77 ₽)) · buy orders: 100Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 17 189.08 ₽
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 43 938.05 ₽sell now to a buy order: 43 371.33 ₽
(you get 37 714.20 ₽)) · buy orders: 44Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 70 235.03 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 80 696.27 ₽listings: 6
Steam★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 20 854.28 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 21 279.88 ₽listings 4 · you get 20 854.28 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 14 808.56 ₽
(you get 12 877.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 57not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 21 279.88 ₽listings: 4
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 13 572.01 ₽sell now to a buy order: 13 568.58 ₽
(you get 11 798.76 ₽)) · buy orders: 85Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 12 834.26 ₽listings: 5
Steam★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 12 314.18 ₽
(you get 10 707.98 ₽)) · buy orders: 114Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 23 059.64 ₽listings: 7
Steam★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 16 096.30 ₽
(you get 13 996.78 ₽)) · buy orders: 104Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Classic Knifenet 15 337.68 ₽sells 13 a weeknow 17 638.33 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 19 273.65 ₽sell now to a buy order: 15 208.67 ₽
(you get 13 224.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 1042
sell on Market.CSGO: 13 839.86 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 175.29 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 14 046.52 ₽listings: 36
on CS.Money: ~ 15 127.58 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 13 248.81 ₽listings: 45
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New)net 11 801.31 ₽The Shadow Collectionsells 9 a weeknow 13 571.51 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 14 889.31 ₽sell now to a buy order: 12 161.89 ₽
(you get 10 575.55 ₽)) · buy orders: 634
sell on Market.CSGO: 10 790.66 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 11 831.87 · lots 20price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 9 848.67 ₽listings: 79
on CS.Money: ~ 10 199.63 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 9 909.84 ₽listings: 81
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Factory New)net 8 635.20 ₽The Shadow Collectionsells 2 a weekmonth average 9 930.48 ₽, sold 18 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averageno buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 7 343.36 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 8 051.94 · lots 20
on CSFloat: from 7 527.17 ₽listings: 32
on CS.Money: ~ 7 771.87 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 7 567.41 ₽listings: 57
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 11 640.06 ₽sell now to a buy order: 11 265.24 ₽
(you get 9 795.86 ₽)) · buy orders: 140
sell on Market.CSGO: 14 538.35 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 15 941.18 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 12 983.98 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 12 764.22 ₽listings: 6
rarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 8 971.31 ₽no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 11 519.76 ₽listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 13 578.84 ₽
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 15 489.91 ₽sell now to a buy order: 15 486.22 ₽
(you get 13 466.27 ₽)) · buy orders: 172not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 19 479.19 ₽listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 17 560.97 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 19 324.64 ₽listings: 7
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)The Shadow Collectionno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 502.26 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 403.83 ₽
(you get 6 438.11 ₽)) · buy orders: 104Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web (Factory New)The Shadow Collectionsell now to a buy order: 20 128.93 ₽
(you get 17 503.41 ₽)) · buy orders: 139
sell on Market.CSGO: 911 999.08 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 999 999.00 · lots 3CSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 38 538.19 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 4 327.70 ₽sell now to a buy order: 4 186.73 ₽
(you get 3 640.63 ₽)) · buy orders: 90not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 276.75 ₽sell now to a buy order: 7 182.15 ₽
(you get 6 245.34 ₽)) · buy orders: 121Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 13 684.29 ₽listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 10 411.33 ₽listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 898.02 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 894.60 ₽
(you get 8 604.00 ₽)) · buy orders: 52Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 9 578.20 ₽listings: 5
on Lis-Skins: from 10 099.81 ₽listings: 4
now 6 199.66 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 6 657.53 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 567.29 ₽
(you get 4 841.12 ₽)) · buy orders: 1031
sell on Market.CSGO: 4 974.23 ₽ to your card
cheapest lot 5 454.21 · lots 21
on CSFloat: from 4 934.39 ₽listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 5 191.98 ₽
on Lis-Skins: from 4 804.80 ₽listings: 68
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 411% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3719 833.56 → 46 906.37 ₽
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) × 111% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1621 295.13 → 45 997.48 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−29 020.02 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−27 790.35 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401735
· The Shadow Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −27 554.05₽
· invest 41 128.69₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.