The CS20 Collection
+ The Shattered Web Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401738 · ways to build: 3A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(1% of this wear's listings)
246.39 $
at 61.60
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 155.29 $+93.69 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0203
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 279.25 $ · little data, days: 0
×1
MAC-10 | Stalker
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(5% of this wear's listings)
108.19 $
at 108.19
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) — 505.84 $+397.65 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.0000–0.0075
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 17 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 588.97 $ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs354.58 $
−158.06
(−44.6%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(1% of this wear's listings)
123.20 $
at 61.60
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 155.29 $+93.69 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0233
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.019304wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 279.25 $ · little data, days: 0
×3
MAC-10 | Stalker
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(5% of this wear's listings)
324.57 $
at 108.19
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) — 505.84 $+397.65 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.0000–0.0096
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 17 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 588.97 $ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs447.77 $
−240.41
(−53.7%)
!
The gain is understated:3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(1% of this wear's listings)
184.79 $
at 61.60
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 155.29 $+93.69 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0216
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.016891wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 279.25 $ · little data, days: 0
×2
MAC-10 | Stalker
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(5% of this wear's listings)
216.38 $
at 108.19
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Containment Breach (Factory New) — 505.84 $+397.65 $ per item · on the market 8 · buy0.0000–0.0084
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 17 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 588.97 $ · little data, days: 0
Steam★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 239.83 $sells 10 a weeknow 275.81 $ — cheaper than the month average 332.41 $sell now to a buy order: 262.44 $
(you get 228.21 $)) · buy orders: 576
month average 244.14 $, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 199.96 $
(you get 173.88 $)) · buy orders: 322
Steam★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 149.15 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 152.19 $listings 3 · you get 149.15 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 259.07 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 264.36 $listings 4 · you get 259.07 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 183.97 $
(you get 159.97 $)) · buy orders: 57
Steam★ Classic Knifenet 190.54 $sells 13 a weeknow 219.12 $ — cheaper than the month average 239.44 $sell now to a buy order: 188.94 $
(you get 164.29 $)) · buy orders: 1042
Steam★ Survival Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 128.24 $The Shattered Web Collectionsells 42 a weeknow 147.47 $ — cheaper than the month average 164.61 $sell now to a buy order: 143.97 $
(you get 125.19 $)) · buy orders: 537
Steam★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 120.02 $The Shattered Web Collectionsells 18 a weeknow 138.03 $ — cheaper than the month average 151.71 $sell now to a buy order: 134.08 $
(you get 116.59 $)) · buy orders: 275
Steam★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 129.70 $The Shattered Web Collectionsells 2 a weekrarely sells: 4 a month — calculated at the buy order 149.15 $sell now to a buy order: 146.31 $
(you get 127.22 $)) · buy orders: 126
Steam★ Survival Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 96.31 $The Shattered Web Collectionsells 4 a weekrarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the current 110.76 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 111.26 $
(you get 96.74 $)) · buy orders: 112
Steam★ Paracord Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 130.46 $The Shattered Web Collectionsells 31 a weeknow 150.03 $ — cheaper than the month average 185.49 $sell now to a buy order: 152.22 $
(you get 132.36 $)) · buy orders: 754
Steam★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 874.74 $The Shattered Web Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 892.59 $listings 3 · you get 874.74 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)net 176.40 $The Shattered Web Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 180.00 $listings 6 · you get 176.40 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 443.61 $The Shattered Web Collectionsells 18 a weeknow 510.15 $ — cheaper than the month average 626.23 $sell now to a buy order: 507.58 $
(you get 441.37 $)) · buy orders: 862
month average 496.94 $, sold 14 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 465.98 $
(you get 405.20 $)) · buy orders: 714
Steam★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 276.16 $The Shattered Web Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 290.70 $listings 3 · you get 276.16 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 1 273.02 $The Shattered Web Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 299.00 $listings 6 · you get 1 273.02 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 065.78 $
(you get 926.77 $)) · buy orders: 43
Steam★ Paracord Knifenet 46.53 $The Shattered Web Collectionsells 169 a weeknow 53.51 $ — cheaper than the month average 62.25 $sell now to a buy order: 53.94 $
(you get 46.90 $)) · buy orders: 1056
Steam★ Nomad Knifenet 126.10 $The Shattered Web Collectionsells 86 a weeknow 145.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 156.30 $sell now to a buy order: 133.05 $
(you get 115.70 $)) · buy orders: 1013
Steam★ Skeleton Knifenet 201.67 $The Shattered Web Collectionsells 51 a weeknow 231.92 $ — cheaper than the month average 268.55 $sell now to a buy order: 235.12 $
(you get 204.45 $)) · buy orders: 1582
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 411% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37246.39 → 582.72 $
MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) × 111% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16108.19 → 233.69 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe CS20 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−179.24 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−161.40 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Shattered Web Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
15 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401723
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −157.83$
· invest 361.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3401737
· The Shattered Web Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −158.06$
· invest 354.58$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3401749
· The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −158.63$
· invest 335.66$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007065 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3401750
· The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −158.63$
· invest 335.66$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007065 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3401683
· The Chroma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −161.98$
· invest 398.17$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3401684
· The CS20 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −161.98$
· invest 398.17$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3401745
· The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −165.66$
· invest 391.74$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3401746
· The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −165.66$
· invest 391.74$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3401703
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −166.03$
· invest 416.39$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New)
Craft 3401704
· The CS20 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −166.03$
· invest 416.39$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New)
Craft 3401743
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −171.50$
· invest 397.57$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3401744
· The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −171.50$
· invest 397.57$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3401453
· The CS20 Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit −172.51$
· invest 418.86$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007507
Craft 3401454
· The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −172.51$
· invest 418.86$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007507
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.