Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401749 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0070
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
89.27 $
at 89.27
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 512.80 $+423.53 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0110
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007065f′ (normalized) 0.011040wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0070
(1% of this wear's listings)
246.39 $
at 61.60
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 155.29 $+93.69 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0197
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007065f′ (normalized) 0.014131wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 279.25 $ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs335.66 $
−158.63
(−47.3%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 21.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0081
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
357.07 $
at 89.27
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 512.80 $+423.53 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0127
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008189f′ (normalized) 0.012796wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0081
(1% of this wear's listings)
61.60 $
at 61.60
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 155.29 $+93.69 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0213
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008189f′ (normalized) 0.016379wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 279.25 $ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs418.67 $
−283.86
(−67.8%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 20.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
267.80 $
at 89.27
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 512.80 $+423.53 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0121
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007777f′ (normalized) 0.012152wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(1% of this wear's listings)
123.20 $
at 61.60
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 155.29 $+93.69 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0207
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007777f′ (normalized) 0.015555wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 279.25 $ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs391.00 $
−242.12
(−61.9%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0074
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
178.54 $
at 89.27
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 512.80 $+423.53 $ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0115
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007404f′ (normalized) 0.011569wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0074
(1% of this wear's listings)
184.79 $
at 61.60
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 155.29 $+93.69 $ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0202
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007404f′ (normalized) 0.014809wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 279.25 $ · little data, days: 0
Steam★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 239.83 $The CS20 Collectionsells 10 a weeknow 275.81 $ — cheaper than the month average 332.41 $sell now to a buy order: 262.44 $
(you get 228.21 $)) · buy orders: 576
month average 244.14 $, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 199.96 $
(you get 173.88 $)) · buy orders: 322
Steam★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 149.15 $The CS20 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 152.19 $listings 3 · you get 149.15 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 259.07 $The CS20 Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 264.36 $listings 4 · you get 259.07 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 183.97 $
(you get 159.97 $)) · buy orders: 57
Steam★ Classic Knifenet 190.54 $The CS20 Collectionsells 13 a weeknow 219.12 $ — cheaper than the month average 239.44 $sell now to a buy order: 188.94 $
(you get 164.29 $)) · buy orders: 1042
month average 262.39 $, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 187.15 $
(you get 162.74 $)) · buy orders: 365
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 137.17 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 157.74 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 138.87 $
(you get 120.76 $)) · buy orders: 132
Steam★ Bowie Knifenet 77.02 $sells 18 a weeknow 88.57 $ — cheaper than the month average 101.72 $sell now to a buy order: 84.98 $
(you get 73.90 $)) · buy orders: 1134
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 110% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1689.27 → 192.82 $
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 410% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37246.39 → 582.72 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−177.77 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−161.68 $historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
15 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401723
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −157.83$
· invest 361.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401724
· The CS20 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −157.83$
· invest 361.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401737
· The Shattered Web Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −158.06$
· invest 354.58$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401738
· The CS20 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −158.06$
· invest 354.58$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401750
· The CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −158.63$
· invest 335.66$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3401683
· The Chroma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −161.98$
· invest 398.17$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401684
· The CS20 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −161.98$
· invest 398.17$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401745
· The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −165.66$
· invest 391.74$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401746
· The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −165.66$
· invest 391.74$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401703
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −166.03$
· invest 416.39$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401704
· The CS20 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −166.03$
· invest 416.39$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401743
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −171.50$
· invest 397.57$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401744
· The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −171.50$
· invest 397.57$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401453
· The CS20 Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit −172.51$
· invest 418.86$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401454
· The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −172.51$
· invest 418.86$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007065
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.