Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401750 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0070
(1% of this wear's listings)
111 542.46 ₸
at 27 885.61
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸+42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0197
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007065f′ (normalized) 0.014131wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 126 414.93 ₸ · little data, days: 0
×1
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0070
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
40 411.95 ₸
at 40 411.95
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 232 147.31 ₸+191 735.36 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0110
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007065f′ (normalized) 0.011040wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs151 954.41 ₸
−71 812.69
(−47.3%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 21.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0081
(1% of this wear's listings)
27 885.61 ₸
at 27 885.61
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸+42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0213
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008189f′ (normalized) 0.016379wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 126 414.93 ₸ · little data, days: 0
×4
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0081
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
161 647.81 ₸
at 40 411.95
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 232 147.31 ₸+191 735.36 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0127
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008189f′ (normalized) 0.012796wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs189 533.43 ₸
−128 503.15
(−67.8%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 20.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(1% of this wear's listings)
55 771.23 ₸
at 27 885.61
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸+42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0207
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007777f′ (normalized) 0.015555wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 126 414.93 ₸ · little data, days: 0
×3
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0077
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
121 235.86 ₸
at 40 411.95
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 232 147.31 ₸+191 735.36 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0121
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007777f′ (normalized) 0.012152wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs177 007.09 ₸
−109 606.31
(−61.9%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
FAMAS | Commemoration
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0074
(1% of this wear's listings)
83 656.84 ₸
at 27 885.61
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Wildfire (Factory New) — 70 299.07 ₸+42 413.45 ₸ per item · on the market 42 · buy0.0100–0.0202
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007404f′ (normalized) 0.014809wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 59 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 126 414.93 ₸ · little data, days: 0
×2
M4A4 | The Battlestar
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0074
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
80 823.91 ₸
at 40 411.95
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 232 147.31 ₸+191 735.36 ₸ per item · on the market 19 · buy0.0000–0.0115
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007404f′ (normalized) 0.011569wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 39 · good ≈ 0
Steam★ Classic Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 108 573.59 ₸sells 10 a weeknow 124 859.63 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 150 482.69 ₸sell now to a buy order: 118 808.80 ₸
(you get 103 311.96 ₸)) · buy orders: 576
sell on Market.CSGO: 111 396.01 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 122 144.80 · lots 15price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 99 594.54 ₸listings: 118
on CS.Money: ~ 110 907.57 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 110 192.32 ₸listings: 65
month average 110 523.29 ₸, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 90 524.39 ₸
(you get 78 716.85 ₸)) · buy orders: 322
sell on Market.CSGO: 80 730.72 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 88 520.53 · lots 10
on CSFloat: from 74 175.30 ₸listings: 37
on CS.Money: ~ 83 016.62 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 78 285.83 ₸listings: 39
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 89 991.47 ₸sell now to a buy order: 89 961.83 ₸
(you get 78 227.68 ₸)) · buy orders: 165
sell on Market.CSGO: 108 253.53 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 118 699.07 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 95 963.91 ₸listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 90 744.23 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 97 417.07 ₸listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 74 484.56 ₸no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 82 358.62 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 90 305.51 · lots 5
on CSFloat: from 81 785.26 ₸listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 73 690.91 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 82 799.31 ₸listings: 11
rarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the lowest sale 178 081.71 ₸sell now to a buy order: 155 212.13 ₸
(you get 134 967.06 ₸)) · buy orders: 167
sell on Market.CSGO: 170 935.05 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 187 428.78 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 143 547.43 ₸listings: 18
on CS.Money: ~ 155 580.27 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 159 613.86 ₸listings: 21
Steam★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 67 518.82 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 68 896.80 ₸listings 3 · you get 67 518.82 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 68 896.80 ₸listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the buy order 80 266.29 ₸sell now to a buy order: 79 212.65 ₸
(you get 68 880.54 ₸)) · buy orders: 100Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CS.Money: ~ 96 670.10 ₸
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 247 104.31 ₸sell now to a buy order: 243 917.12 ₸
(you get 212 101.84 ₸)) · buy orders: 44Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 394 996.56 ₸listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 453 829.79 ₸listings: 6
Steam★ Classic Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 117 282.91 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 119 676.46 ₸listings 4 · you get 117 282.91 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 83 282.24 ₸
(you get 72 419.29 ₸)) · buy orders: 57not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 119 676.46 ₸listings: 4
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 76 327.97 ₸sell now to a buy order: 76 308.68 ₸
(you get 66 355.34 ₸)) · buy orders: 85Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 72 178.92 ₸listings: 5
Steam★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 69 254.03 ₸
(you get 60 220.88 ₸)) · buy orders: 114Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 129 685.69 ₸listings: 7
Steam★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 90 524.39 ₸
(you get 78 716.85 ₸)) · buy orders: 104Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Classic Knifenet 86 257.97 ₸sells 13 a weeknow 99 196.65 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 108 393.57 ₸sell now to a buy order: 85 532.42 ₸
(you get 74 376.02 ₸)) · buy orders: 1042
sell on Market.CSGO: 77 834.34 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 85 344.70 · lots 7
on CSFloat: from 78 996.58 ₸listings: 36
on CS.Money: ~ 85 076.38 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 74 510.32 ₸listings: 45
month average 118 784.39 ₸, sold 12 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 84 721.51 ₸
(you get 73 670.83 ₸)) · buy orders: 365
sell on Market.CSGO: 81 378.26 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 89 230.55 · lots 23
on CSFloat: from 78 471.47 ₸listings: 30
on CS.Money: ~ 84 614.66 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 79 625.84 ₸listings: 53
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 129 174.70 ₸no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right nowLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 62 095.22 ₸The Wildfire Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 71 409.51 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 62 868.34 ₸
(you get 54 668.10 ₸)) · buy orders: 132Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 85 560.77 ₸listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 99 169.04 ₸listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 125 842.25 ₸no buy ordersnot listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 181 081.00 ₸listings: 5
on CS.Money: ~ 178 314.99 ₸
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)The Wildfire Collectionsell now to a buy order: 59 366.38 ₸
(you get 51 622.91 ₸)) · buy orders: 108Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 70 299.74 ₸sell now to a buy order: 68 970.25 ₸
(you get 59 974.10 ₸)) · buy orders: 99Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 69 064.28 ₸listings: 3
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)The Wildfire Collectionsell now to a buy order: 236 903.02 ₸
(you get 206 002.58 ₸)) · buy orders: 70not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 59 788.96 ₸sell now to a buy order: 58 489.61 ₸
(you get 50 860.53 ₸)) · buy orders: 109not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 170 302.19 ₸listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 37 617.14 ₸sell now to a buy order: 37 123.02 ₸
(you get 32 280.88 ₸)) · buy orders: 63not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)The Wildfire Collectionsell now to a buy order: 63 856.63 ₸
(you get 55 527.49 ₸)) · buy orders: 46not listed on Market.CSGO right now
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 70 325.44 ₸sell now to a buy order: 69 395.92 ₸
(you get 60 344.27 ₸)) · buy orders: 33not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Bowie Knifenet 34 866.26 ₸The Wildfire Collectionsells 18 a weeknow 40 096.23 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 46 048.31 ₸sell now to a buy order: 38 471.08 ₸
(you get 33 453.08 ₸)) · buy orders: 1134
sell on Market.CSGO: 34 362.01 ₸ to your card
cheapest lot 37 677.66 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 32 164.52 ₸listings: 24
on CS.Money: ~ 37 334.37 ₸
on Lis-Skins: from 32 015.15 ₸listings: 56
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New) × 410% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37111 542.46 → 263 797.92 ₸
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 110% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1640 411.95 → 87 289.82 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe CS20 Collection + The Wildfire Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−80 476.40 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−73 192.52 ₸historical median
2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
15 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401723
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −71 450.47₸
· invest 163 612.92₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401724
· The CS20 Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −71 450.47₸
· invest 163 612.92₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401737
· The Shattered Web Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −71 555.70₸
· invest 160 520.49₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401738
· The CS20 Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −71 555.70₸
· invest 160 520.49₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401749
· The Wildfire Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −71 812.67₸
· invest 151 954.41₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3401683
· The Chroma Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −73 328.07₸
· invest 180 251.19₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401684
· The CS20 Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −73 328.07₸
· invest 180 251.19₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.004461 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401745
· The Spectrum Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −74 996.46₸
· invest 177 341.94₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401746
· The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −74 996.46₸
· invest 177 341.94₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401703
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −75 164.40₸
· invest 188 500.37₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401704
· The CS20 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −75 164.40₸
· invest 188 500.37₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401743
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −77 637.06₸
· invest 179 982.54₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401744
· The CS20 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −77 637.06₸
· invest 179 982.54₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401453
· The CS20 Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit −78 097.20₸
· invest 189 619.81₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007065
Craft 3401454
· The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit −78 097.20₸
· invest 189 619.81₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New): float at most 0.007490 instead of 0.007065
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.