The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +14 345.69₽

Invest 78 930.17₽

Average return 93 275.86₽

ROI +18.2%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 183 879.29 ₽, profit at most −90 603.43 ₽

float premium: at least 99 222 ₽

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −62 577.05 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0108

65 317.68 ₽

at 16 329.42

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 21 335.86 ₽ +5 006.44 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Neon Rider

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0108

13 612.49 ₽

at 13 612.49

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 26 143.76 ₽ +12 531.27 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0241

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 78 930.17 ₽ +14 345.69 (+18.2%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.4% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −12 047 ₽

3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0090

48 988.26 ₽

at 16 329.42

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 21 335.86 ₽ +5 006.44 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0090

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Neon Rider

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0090

27 224.98 ₽

at 13 612.49

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 26 143.76 ₽ +12 531.27 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0201

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 76 213.24 ₽ +2 126.00 (+2.8%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.8% of the chance

3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

32 658.84 ₽

at 16 329.42

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 21 335.86 ₽ +5 006.44 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0077

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Neon Rider

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

40 837.47 ₽

at 13 612.49

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 26 143.76 ₽ +12 531.27 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0173

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 73 496.31 ₽ −10 093.69 (−13.7%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×1

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

16 329.42 ₽

at 16 329.42

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 21 335.86 ₽ +5 006.44 ₽ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

×4

MAC-10 | Neon Rider

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

54 449.96 ₽

at 13 612.49

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 26 143.76 ₽ +12 531.27 ₽ per item · on the market 23 · buy 0.0000–0.0151

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 70 779.38 ₽ −22 313.39 (−31.5%)

What you get 52 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 41%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

132 772.24 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

105 493.82 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 585.77 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 338.55 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41 268.39 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 857.46 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

135 233.00 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

132 818.13 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

118 972.84 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 564.09 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 614.49 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

358 206.46 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

100 464.44 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

111 808.71 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

129 543.56 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 681.38 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 446.25 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 371.07 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97 871.82 ₽ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

334 509.30 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

151 311.24 ₽ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

32 902.39 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

31 618.41 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

26 971.67 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

16 970.26 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

11 666.54 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 714.37 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

31 500.00 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

20 154.30 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

21 269.74 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

12 455.38 ₽ 0.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

9 798.50 ₽ 0.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 700.00 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 075.18 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

8 856.42 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

5 872.88 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

4 924.82 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 223.97 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

120 767.45 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

about break-even

★ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

92 587.39 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

83 328.78 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

60 393.76 ₽ 0.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

49 858.06 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

132 818.13 ₽ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

90 409.98 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

65 454.16 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

60 454.83 ₽ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

46 087.30 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

28 060.68 ₽ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 4 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 65 317.68 → 154 476.31 ₽

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 13 612.49 → 29 402.98 ₽

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection Variant 6 The CS20 Collection instead of The Chroma 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13 080.23 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +13 908.97 ₽ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402135 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 727.89₽ · invest 81 420.50₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3402137 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 15 727.89₽ · invest 81 420.50₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3402117 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 15 414.44₽ · invest 79 001.70₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3402118 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 15 414.44₽ · invest 79 001.70₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3401465 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 14 892.96₽ · invest 79 200.75₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3401466 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 14 892.96₽ · invest 79 200.75₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3401833 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit 14 425.32₽ · invest 78 850.54₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3401834 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 14 425.32₽ · invest 78 850.54₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.010858
Craft 3401766 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 14 345.69₽ · invest 78 930.17₽
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 52 outcomes

More

How to build