Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401818 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
MAC-10 | Neon Rider
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0076
(3% of this wear's listings)
169.11 $
at 169.11
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 324.78 $+155.68 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0168
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007601f′ (normalized) 0.016891wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 65 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 527.40 $ · little data, days: 3
×4
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0076
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
448.02 $
at 112.00
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) — 505.84 $+393.84 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.0500–0.0582
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007601f′ (normalized) 0.012668wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs617.13 $
−159.95
(−25.9%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 18.4% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
MAC-10 | Neon Rider
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0071
(3% of this wear's listings)
338.22 $
at 169.11
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 324.78 $+155.68 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0158
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007154f′ (normalized) 0.015898wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 65 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 527.40 $ · little data, days: 3
×3
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0071
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
336.01 $
at 112.00
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) — 505.84 $+393.84 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.0500–0.0577
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007154f′ (normalized) 0.011923wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs674.23 $
−227.21
(−33.7%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 14.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
MAC-10 | Neon Rider
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(3% of this wear's listings)
507.32 $
at 169.11
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 324.78 $+155.68 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0150
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 65 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 527.40 $ · little data, days: 3
×2
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0067
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
224.01 $
at 112.00
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) — 505.84 $+393.84 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.0500–0.0573
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006756f′ (normalized) 0.011261wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs731.33 $
−294.48
(−40.3%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 10.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
MAC-10 | Neon Rider
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0064
(3% of this wear's listings)
676.43 $
at 169.11
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 324.78 $+155.68 $ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0142
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006401f′ (normalized) 0.014224wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 65 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 527.40 $ · little data, days: 3
×1
P2000 | Fire Elemental
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0064
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
112.00 $
at 112.00
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) — 505.84 $+393.84 $ per item · on the market 5 · buy0.0500–0.0569
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006401f′ (normalized) 0.010668wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 27 · good ≈ 0
Steam★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)net 314.30 $The Vanguard Collectionsells 8 a weeknow 361.45 $ — cheaper than the month average 452.45 $sell now to a buy order: 356.31 $
(you get 309.84 $)) · buy orders: 1810
month average 402.11 $, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 309.42 $
(you get 269.06 $)) · buy orders: 876
Steam★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 294.21 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 300.21 $listings 3 · you get 294.21 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 1 095.62 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 1 153.29 $listings 3 · you get 1 095.62 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 004.84 $
(you get 873.77 $)) · buy orders: 147
Steam★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 118.84 $The Vanguard Collectionsells 12 a weeknow 136.66 $ — cheaper than the month average 150.78 $sell now to a buy order: 127.62 $
(you get 110.98 $)) · buy orders: 672
Steam★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 104.37 $The Vanguard Collectionsells 7 a weeknow 120.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 147.03 $sell now to a buy order: 125.72 $
(you get 109.32 $)) · buy orders: 251
Steam★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 1 433.82 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 463.08 $listings 187 · you get 1 433.82 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 999.69 $
(you get 1 738.86 $)) · buy orders: 2195
Steam★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)net 1 005.58 $The Vanguard Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 1 156.41 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)net 696.65 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 710.87 $listings 6 · you get 696.65 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 681.12 $
(you get 592.28 $)) · buy orders: 573
Steam★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 1 422.96 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 452.00 $listings 19 · you get 1 422.96 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 903.70 $
(you get 1 655.39 $)) · buy orders: 282
Steam★ Karambit | Night (Factory New)net 2 695.00 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 2 750.00 $listings 3 · you get 2 695.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 767.25 $
(you get 667.17 $)) · buy orders: 108
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)net 819.35 $The Vanguard Collectionsells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 942.25 $sell now to a buy order: 929.85 $
(you get 808.57 $)) · buy orders: 1050
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)net 448.95 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 458.11 $listings 6 · you get 448.95 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 457.62 $
(you get 397.93 $)) · buy orders: 90
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 685.02 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 699.00 $listings 3 · you get 685.02 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 5 708.47 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 5 824.97 $listings 3 · you get 5 708.47 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 3 416.25 $
(you get 2 970.66 $)) · buy orders: 40
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)net 979.02 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 999.00 $listings 6 · you get 979.02 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 645.57 $The Vanguard Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 658.74 $listings 8 · you get 645.57 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 447.94 $
(you get 389.52 $)) · buy orders: 46
Steam★ Flip Knifenet 158.46 $The Vanguard Collectionsells 7 a weeknow 182.22 $ — cheaper than the month average 220.85 $sell now to a buy order: 185.02 $
(you get 160.89 $)) · buy orders: 1379
Steam★ Gut Knifenet 63.36 $The Vanguard Collectionsells 21 a weekmonth average 72.86 $, sold 63 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 60.73 $
(you get 52.81 $)) · buy orders: 1821
Steam★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)net 355.43 $sells 49 a weeknow 408.75 $ — cheaper than the month average 503.51 $sell now to a buy order: 413.82 $
(you get 359.84 $)) · buy orders: 5878
Steam★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 341.56 $sells 14 a weeknow 392.80 $ — cheaper than the month average 430.32 $sell now to a buy order: 386.44 $
(you get 336.03 $)) · buy orders: 1280
Steam★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 340.28 $sells 36 a weeknow 391.32 $ — cheaper than the month average 403.12 $sell now to a buy order: 334.36 $
(you get 290.75 $)) · buy orders: 4768
Steam★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 217.72 $sells 11 a weeknow 250.38 $ — cheaper than the month average 315.25 $sell now to a buy order: 276.30 $
(you get 240.26 $)) · buy orders: 834
Steam★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 229.77 $sells 14 a weekmonth average 264.23 $, sold 64 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 227.26 $
(you get 197.62 $)) · buy orders: 636
Steam★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 134.55 $sells 5 a weekrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 154.73 $sell now to a buy order: 152.73 $
(you get 132.81 $)) · buy orders: 234
Steam★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 105.85 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 121.73 $sell now to a buy order: 119.89 $
(you get 104.25 $)) · buy orders: 101
Steam★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 115.59 $sells 91 a weeknow 132.93 $ — cheaper than the month average 150.75 $sell now to a buy order: 127.61 $
(you get 110.97 $)) · buy orders: 6343
Steam★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 108.84 $sells 36 a weeknow 125.16 $ — cheaper than the month average 137.55 $sell now to a buy order: 122.86 $
(you get 106.84 $)) · buy orders: 773
Steam★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 95.67 $sells 37 a weeknow 110.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 115.12 $sell now to a buy order: 100.75 $
(you get 87.61 $)) · buy orders: 682
Steam★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 63.44 $sells 8 a weeknow 72.96 $ — cheaper than the month average 88.04 $sell now to a buy order: 72.29 $
(you get 62.86 $)) · buy orders: 213
Steam★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 900.17 $sells 4 a weeknow 1 035.19 $ — cheaper than the month average 1 127.91 $sell now to a buy order: 951.71 $
(you get 827.57 $)) · buy orders: 2172
Steam★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 652.41 $sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 750.27 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 749.88 $
(you get 652.07 $)) · buy orders: 872
Steam★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 1 617.00 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 650.00 $listings 4 · you get 1 617.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 971.83 $
(you get 845.07 $)) · buy orders: 94
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 707.08 $sells 6 a weeknow 813.14 $ — cheaper than the month average 923.72 $sell now to a buy order: 808.77 $
(you get 703.28 $)) · buy orders: 1537
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 1 303.76 $
(you get 1 133.71 $)) · buy orders: 48
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) × 111% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16169.11 → 365.27 $
P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New) × 411% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37448.02 → 1 059.56 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Chroma 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−189.60 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−166.59 $historical median
7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
5 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401517
· The Vanguard Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit −153.15$
· invest 620.49$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New): float at most 0.008789 instead of 0.007601
Craft 3401518
· The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit −153.15$
· invest 620.49$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New): float at most 0.008789 instead of 0.007601
Craft 3401885
· The Vanguard Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −158.96$
· invest 616.14$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.007601
Craft 3401886
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit −158.96$
· invest 616.14$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); P2000 | Fire Elemental (Factory New): float at most 0.007796 instead of 0.007601
Craft 3401817
· The Vanguard Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −159.95$
· invest 617.13$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.