The Chroma 2 Collection
+ The Winter Offensive Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401822 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
MAC-10 | Neon Rider
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0055
(1% of this wear's listings)
7 683.48 ₴
at 7 683.48
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 14 756.68 ₴+7 073.20 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0122
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005528f′ (normalized) 0.012284wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 65 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 23 962.65 ₴ · little data, days: 3
×4
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0055
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
20 904.15 ₴
at 5 226.04
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 10 499.51 ₴+5 273.47 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1913
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005528f′ (normalized) 0.013820wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs28 587.63 ₴
−7 815.69
(−27.3%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 10.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
MAC-10 | Neon Rider
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0059
(1% of this wear's listings)
30 733.93 ₴
at 7 683.48
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 14 756.68 ₴+7 073.20 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0131
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005932f′ (normalized) 0.013183wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 65 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 23 962.65 ₴ · little data, days: 3
×1
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0059
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
5 226.04 ₴
at 5 226.04
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 10 499.51 ₴+5 273.47 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1921
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005932f′ (normalized) 0.014831wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs35 959.97 ₴
−16 572.91
(−46.1%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 14.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
MAC-10 | Neon Rider
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0057
(1% of this wear's listings)
23 050.45 ₴
at 7 683.48
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 14 756.68 ₴+7 073.20 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0128
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005791f′ (normalized) 0.012869wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 65 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 23 962.65 ₴ · little data, days: 3
×2
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0057
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
10 452.07 ₴
at 5 226.04
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 10 499.51 ₴+5 273.47 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1918
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005791f′ (normalized) 0.014478wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs33 502.52 ₴
−13 653.83
(−40.8%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 18.4% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
MAC-10 | Neon Rider
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0056
(1% of this wear's listings)
15 366.97 ₴
at 7 683.48
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Hyper Beast (Factory New) — 14 756.68 ₴+7 073.20 ₴ per item · on the market 23 · buy0.0000–0.0125
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005656f′ (normalized) 0.012570wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 65 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 23 962.65 ₴ · little data, days: 3
×3
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0056
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
15 678.11 ₴
at 5 226.04
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 10 499.51 ₴+5 273.47 ₴ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1915
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005656f′ (normalized) 0.014141wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
month average 18 270.14 ₴, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 14 058.50 ₴
(you get 12 224.78 ₴)) · buy orders: 876
Steam★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 49 780.03 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 52 400.03 ₴listings 3 · you get 49 780.03 ₴ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 45 655.13 ₴
(you get 39 700.11 ₴)) · buy orders: 147
Steam★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 5 399.47 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionsells 12 a weeknow 6 209.39 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 6 850.84 ₴sell now to a buy order: 5 798.57 ₴
(you get 5 042.24 ₴)) · buy orders: 672
Steam★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 4 741.97 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionsells 7 a weeknow 5 453.26 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 6 680.32 ₴sell now to a buy order: 5 712.11 ₴
(you get 4 967.05 ₴)) · buy orders: 251
Steam★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 65 146.06 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 66 475.57 ₴listings 187 · you get 65 146.06 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 90 856.55 ₴
(you get 79 005.70 ₴)) · buy orders: 2195
Steam★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)net 45 688.68 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 52 541.98 ₴, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)net 31 652.65 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 32 298.63 ₴listings 6 · you get 31 652.65 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 30 947.10 ₴
(you get 26 910.52 ₴)) · buy orders: 573
Steam★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 64 652.70 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 65 972.14 ₴listings 19 · you get 64 652.70 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 86 495.41 ₴
(you get 75 213.40 ₴)) · buy orders: 282
Steam★ Karambit | Night (Factory New)net 122 448.29 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 124 947.24 ₴listings 3 · you get 122 448.29 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 34 860.12 ₴
(you get 30 313.14 ₴)) · buy orders: 108
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)net 20 398.11 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 20 814.39 ₴listings 6 · you get 20 398.11 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 20 791.96 ₴
(you get 18 079.96 ₴)) · buy orders: 90
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 259 366.41 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 264 659.60 ₴listings 3 · you get 259 366.41 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 155 218.70 ₴
(you get 134 972.78 ₴)) · buy orders: 40
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)net 44 482.12 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 45 389.92 ₴listings 6 · you get 44 482.12 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 29 331.49 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 29 930.09 ₴listings 8 · you get 29 331.49 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 20 352.49 ₴
(you get 17 697.81 ₴)) · buy orders: 46
Steam★ Gut Knifenet 2 878.62 ₴The Winter Offensive Collectionsells 21 a weekmonth average 3 310.42 ₴, sold 63 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 2 759.41 ₴
(you get 2 399.48 ₴)) · buy orders: 1821
Steam★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 10 439.63 ₴sells 14 a weekmonth average 12 005.57 ₴, sold 64 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 10 325.53 ₴
(you get 8 978.72 ₴)) · buy orders: 636
Steam★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 6 113.36 ₴sells 5 a weekrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 7 030.36 ₴sell now to a buy order: 6 939.47 ₴
(you get 6 034.32 ₴)) · buy orders: 234
Steam★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 4 809.30 ₴sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 5 530.70 ₴sell now to a buy order: 5 447.10 ₴
(you get 4 736.61 ₴)) · buy orders: 101
Steam★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 5 251.78 ₴sells 91 a weeknow 6 039.55 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 6 849.26 ₴sell now to a buy order: 5 798.07 ₴
(you get 5 041.80 ₴)) · buy orders: 6343
Steam★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 4 945.11 ₴sells 36 a weeknow 5 686.87 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 6 249.69 ₴sell now to a buy order: 5 582.40 ₴
(you get 4 854.25 ₴)) · buy orders: 773
Steam★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 4 346.91 ₴sells 37 a weeknow 4 998.95 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 5 230.36 ₴sell now to a buy order: 4 577.82 ₴
(you get 3 980.72 ₴)) · buy orders: 682
Steam★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 2 882.53 ₴sells 8 a weeknow 3 314.91 ₴ — cheaper than the month average 4 000.01 ₴sell now to a buy order: 3 284.33 ₴
(you get 2 855.94 ₴)) · buy orders: 213
Steam★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 29 642.50 ₴sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 34 088.87 ₴, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 34 071.20 ₴
(you get 29 627.13 ₴)) · buy orders: 872
Steam★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 73 468.97 ₴no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 74 968.34 ₴listings 4 · you get 73 468.97 ₴ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 44 155.64 ₴
(you get 38 396.20 ₴)) · buy orders: 94
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 59 237.02 ₴
(you get 51 510.45 ₴)) · buy orders: 48
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) × 18% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.167 683.48 → 16 596.32 ₴
Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) × 48% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3720 904.15 → 49 438.31 ₴
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Chroma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−9 162.97 ₴a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−8 117.46 ₴historical median
7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 2 Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401889
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection · profit −7 770.74₴
· invest 28 542.68₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.005630 instead of 0.005528
Craft 3401890
· The Chroma 3 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −7 770.74₴
· invest 28 542.68₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.005630 instead of 0.005528
Craft 3401821
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit −7 815.68₴
· invest 28 587.63₴
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.