The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −51 043.44₴

Invest at least 103 692.41₴

Average return 52 648.96₴

ROI −49.2%

Chance of profit 7%

With float: invest at least 103 692.41 ₴, profit at most −51 043.44 ₴

float premium: at least 56 071 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −35 276.27 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×4

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

36 868.15 ₴

at 9 217.04

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 12 042.89 ₴ +2 825.85 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0112

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

7 638.54 ₴

at 7 638.54

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) — 13 546.65 ₴ +5 908.11 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0222

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 44 506.68 ₴ +8 142.28 (+18.3%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.4% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 710 ₴

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

27 651.11 ₴

at 9 217.04

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 12 042.89 ₴ +2 825.85 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

Steam

×2

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

15 277.07 ₴

at 7 638.54

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) — 13 546.65 ₴ +5 908.11 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0191

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 42 928.18 ₴ +1 289.90 (+3.0%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.8% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

18 434.07 ₴

at 9 217.04

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 12 042.89 ₴ +2 825.85 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0084

Steam

×3

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

22 915.61 ₴

at 7 638.54

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) — 13 546.65 ₴ +5 908.11 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0167

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 41 349.68 ₴ −5 562.48 (−13.4%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×1

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

9 217.04 ₴

at 9 217.04

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Queen's Gambit (Factory New) — 12 042.89 ₴ +2 825.85 ₴ per item · on the market 35 · buy 0.0000–0.0075

Steam

×4

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

30 554.15 ₴

at 7 638.54

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Chantico's Fire (Factory New) — 13 546.65 ₴ +5 908.11 ₴ per item · on the market 12 · buy 0.0000–0.0148

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 39 771.18 ₴ −12 414.86 (−31.2%)

What you get 52 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 41%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 942.44 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 545.31 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 086.16 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.64%

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 848.83 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 293.68 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 319.51 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 331.40 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 968.34 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 153.46 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 020.53 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 906.79 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

202 187.35 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 706.51 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 109.71 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 120.03 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

48 362.31 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 891.82 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 076.06 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

55 243.12 ₴ 3.64%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 811.64 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 406.66 ₴ 3.64%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

18 571.54 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

17 846.81 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

15 223.99 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

9 578.75 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

6 585.10 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 674.30 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

17 779.97 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

11 375.97 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 005.57 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

7 030.36 ₴ 0.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

5 530.70 ₴ 0.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Flip Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

6 039.55 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 686.87 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

4 998.95 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 314.91 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Gut Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

2 779.78 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Gut Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 770.85 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

68 166.42 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

about break-even

★ Karambit | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

52 260.36 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

47 034.40 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

34 088.87 ₴ 0.67%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Karambit | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

28 142.06 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Karambit | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 968.34 ₴ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ M9 Bayonet | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

51 031.34 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

36 945.18 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

34 123.34 ₴ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

26 013.68 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ M9 Bayonet | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

15 838.67 ₴ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 4 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 36 868.15 → 87 193.17 ₴

PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) × 1 16% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 7 638.54 → 16 499.24 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 6 The CS20 Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7 428.00 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7 895.78 ₴ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 9 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402135 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 8 877.51₴ · invest 45 957.28₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3402137 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 8 877.51₴ · invest 45 957.28₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3402117 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 8 700.58₴ · invest 44 592.00₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3402118 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 8 700.58₴ · invest 44 592.00₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013513 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3401465 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 8 406.23₴ · invest 44 704.36₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3401466 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 8 406.23₴ · invest 44 704.36₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.013458 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3401834 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 8 142.28₴ · invest 44 506.68₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3401765 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 8 097.33₴ · invest 44 551.63₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.011261
Craft 3401766 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 8 097.33₴ · invest 44 551.63₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of PP-Bizon | Judgement of Anubis (Factory New); Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.011261

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Chroma 3 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 52 outcomes

More

How to build