The Danger Zone Collection
+ The Chroma Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401897 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0044
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
241.22 $
at 60.30
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 355.07 $+294.77 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0500–0.0558
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004461f′ (normalized) 0.008923wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 224 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 102.15 $ · little data, days: 3
×1
AWP | Man-o'-war
Minimal Wear
buy0.1000–0.1031
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
151.77 $
at 151.77
if this one runs out, you can take
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) — 194.59 $+42.82 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3500–0.3659
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.103187f′ (normalized) 0.031871wear 0.1000–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 265.55 $
Set · 5 pcs392.99 $
−98.59
(−25.1%)
!
The gain is understated:7 outcomes have no price, that is 8.4% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈5≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0087
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
180.91 $
at 60.30
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 355.07 $+294.77 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0500–0.0613
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008758f′ (normalized) 0.017517wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 224 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 102.15 $ · little data, days: 1
×2
Galil AR | Chatterbox
Field-Tested
buy0.3500–0.3537
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
389.19 $
at 194.59
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) — 151.77 $cheaper by 42.82 $ · on the market 125 · buy0.1000–0.1007
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.353753f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.3500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs570.10 $
−245.17
(−43.0%)
!
The gain is understated:7 outcomes have no price, that is 7.3% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0057
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
60.30 $
at 60.30
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 355.07 $+294.77 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0500–0.0574
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005767f′ (normalized) 0.011535wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 224 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 102.15 $ · little data, days: 3
×1
AWP | Man-o'-war
Minimal Wear
buy0.1000–0.1041
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
151.77 $
at 151.77
if this one runs out, you can take
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) — 194.59 $+42.82 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3500–0.3705
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.104119f′ (normalized) 0.041199wear 0.1000–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 265.55 $
×3
Galil AR | Chatterbox
Field-Tested
buy0.3500–0.3524
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
583.78 $
at 194.59
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) — 151.77 $cheaper by 42.82 $ · on the market 125 · buy0.1000–0.1004
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.352471f′ (normalized) 0.004943wear 0.3500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs795.86 $
−409.86
(−51.5%)
!
The gain is understated:7 outcomes have no price, that is 7.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈4≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0052
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
120.61 $
at 60.30
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 355.07 $+294.77 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0500–0.0568
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005255f′ (normalized) 0.010510wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 224 · good ≈ 4
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 102.15 $ · little data, days: 3
×1
AWP | Man-o'-war
Minimal Wear
buy0.1000–0.1037
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
151.77 $
at 151.77
if this one runs out, you can take
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) — 194.59 $+42.82 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3500–0.3687
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.103753f′ (normalized) 0.037537wear 0.1000–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 265.55 $
×2
Galil AR | Chatterbox
Field-Tested
buy0.3500–0.3522
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
389.19 $
at 194.59
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) — 151.77 $cheaper by 42.82 $ · on the market 125 · buy0.1000–0.1004
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.352252f′ (normalized) 0.004504wear 0.3500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 95.67 $sells 12 a weeknow 110.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 121.78 $sell now to a buy order: 108.81 $
(you get 94.62 $)) · buy orders: 463
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 82.62 $sells 12 a weeknow 95.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 110.40 $sell now to a buy order: 100.99 $
(you get 87.82 $)) · buy orders: 273
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 89.14 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 102.51 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 98.00 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 100.00 $listings 4 · you get 98.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 99.98 $
(you get 86.94 $)) · buy orders: 138
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)net 83.30 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 85.00 $listings 5 · you get 83.30 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 388.65 $sells 5 a weeknow 446.94 $ — cheaper than the month average 558.11 $sell now to a buy order: 415.90 $
(you get 361.66 $)) · buy orders: 552
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 387.34 $sells 3 a weeknow 445.44 $ — cheaper than the month average 537.87 $sell now to a buy order: 438.82 $
(you get 381.58 $)) · buy orders: 293
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 149.59 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 152.64 $listings 4 · you get 149.59 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 150.02 $
(you get 130.46 $)) · buy orders: 65
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 1 305.25 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 331.89 $listings 6 · you get 1 305.25 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 794.79 $
(you get 691.12 $)) · buy orders: 80
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 214.73 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 219.11 $listings 5 · you get 214.73 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 331.31 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 338.07 $listings 6 · you get 331.31 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 190.95 $
(you get 166.05 $)) · buy orders: 95
Steam★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 160.29 $sells 2 a weeknow 184.33 $ — cheaper than the month average 224.73 $sell now to a buy order: 186.06 $
(you get 161.79 $)) · buy orders: 231
Steam★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 637.24 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 650.24 $listings 3 · you get 637.24 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 86.58 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 88.35 $listings 4 · you get 86.58 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 93.99 $
(you get 81.73 $)) · buy orders: 31
Steam★ Ursus Knifenet 69.29 $sells 75 a weeknow 79.68 $ — cheaper than the month average 91.66 $sell now to a buy order: 75.47 $
(you get 65.62 $)) · buy orders: 1103
Steam★ Talon Knifenet 321.79 $sells 40 a weeknow 370.06 $ — cheaper than the month average 392.24 $sell now to a buy order: 341.13 $
(you get 296.64 $)) · buy orders: 1888
Steam★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)net 355.43 $The Chroma Collectionsells 49 a weeknow 408.75 $ — cheaper than the month average 503.51 $sell now to a buy order: 413.82 $
(you get 359.84 $)) · buy orders: 5878
Steam★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 341.56 $The Chroma Collectionsells 14 a weeknow 392.80 $ — cheaper than the month average 430.32 $sell now to a buy order: 386.44 $
(you get 336.03 $)) · buy orders: 1280
Steam★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 340.28 $The Chroma Collectionsells 36 a weeknow 391.32 $ — cheaper than the month average 403.12 $sell now to a buy order: 334.36 $
(you get 290.75 $)) · buy orders: 4768
Steam★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 217.72 $The Chroma Collectionsells 11 a weeknow 250.38 $ — cheaper than the month average 315.25 $sell now to a buy order: 276.30 $
(you get 240.26 $)) · buy orders: 834
Steam★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 229.77 $The Chroma Collectionsells 14 a weekmonth average 264.23 $, sold 64 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 227.26 $
(you get 197.62 $)) · buy orders: 636
Steam★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 134.55 $The Chroma Collectionsells 5 a weekrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 154.73 $sell now to a buy order: 152.73 $
(you get 132.81 $)) · buy orders: 234
Steam★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 105.85 $The Chroma Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 121.73 $sell now to a buy order: 119.89 $
(you get 104.25 $)) · buy orders: 101
Steam★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 115.59 $The Chroma Collectionsells 91 a weeknow 132.93 $ — cheaper than the month average 150.75 $sell now to a buy order: 127.61 $
(you get 110.97 $)) · buy orders: 6343
Steam★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 108.84 $The Chroma Collectionsells 36 a weeknow 125.16 $ — cheaper than the month average 137.55 $sell now to a buy order: 122.86 $
(you get 106.84 $)) · buy orders: 773
Steam★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 95.67 $The Chroma Collectionsells 37 a weeknow 110.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 115.12 $sell now to a buy order: 100.75 $
(you get 87.61 $)) · buy orders: 682
Steam★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 63.44 $The Chroma Collectionsells 8 a weeknow 72.96 $ — cheaper than the month average 88.04 $sell now to a buy order: 72.29 $
(you get 62.86 $)) · buy orders: 213
Steam★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 652.41 $The Chroma Collectionsells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 750.27 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 749.88 $
(you get 652.07 $)) · buy orders: 872
Steam★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 1 617.00 $The Chroma Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 650.00 $listings 4 · you get 1 617.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 971.83 $
(you get 845.07 $)) · buy orders: 94
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 707.08 $The Chroma Collectionsells 6 a weeknow 813.14 $ — cheaper than the month average 923.72 $sell now to a buy order: 808.77 $
(you get 703.28 $)) · buy orders: 1537
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New)The Chroma Collectionsell now to a buy order: 1 303.76 $
(you get 1 133.71 $)) · buy orders: 48
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 46% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37241.22 → 570.48 $
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) × 16% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16151.77 → 327.83 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Danger Zone Collection + The Chroma Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−131.01 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−105.34 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Danger Zone Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
11 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3402069
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −94.44$
· invest 356.24$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402070
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −94.44$
· invest 356.24$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402083
· The Shattered Web Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −94.68$
· invest 349.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402084
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit −94.68$
· invest 349.41$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
MAC-10 | Stalker (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402095
· The Wildfire Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −95.24$
· invest 330.48$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.007065 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402096
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit −95.24$
· invest 330.48$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.007065 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3401898
· The Chroma Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −98.59$
· invest 392.99$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3402091
· The Spectrum Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −102.28$
· invest 386.56$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402092
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −102.28$
· invest 386.56$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402049
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit −102.65$
· invest 411.21$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402050
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −102.65$
· invest 411.21$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.004461
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.