Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401929 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0044
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
446.22 $
at 111.55
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 125.21 $+13.66 $ per item · on the market 169 · buy0.1800–0.1873
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004461f′ (normalized) 0.008923wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 130 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 236.62 $ · little data, days: 0
×1
AWP | Man-o'-war
Minimal Wear
buy0.1000–0.1031
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
151.77 $
at 151.77
if this one runs out, you can take
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) — 194.59 $+42.82 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3500–0.3659
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.103187f′ (normalized) 0.031871wear 0.1000–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 265.55 $
Set · 5 pcs597.99 $
−140.81
(−23.6%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 18.4% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0087
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
334.66 $
at 111.55
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 125.21 $+13.66 $ per item · on the market 169 · buy0.1800–0.1943
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008758f′ (normalized) 0.017517wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 130 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 236.62 $ · little data, days: 0
×2
Galil AR | Chatterbox
Field-Tested
buy0.3500–0.3537
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
389.19 $
at 194.59
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) — 151.77 $cheaper by 42.82 $ · on the market 125 · buy0.1000–0.1007
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.353753f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.3500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs723.85 $
−276.83
(−38.2%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 10.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0057
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
111.55 $
at 111.55
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 125.21 $+13.66 $ per item · on the market 169 · buy0.1800–0.1894
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005767f′ (normalized) 0.011535wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 130 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 236.62 $ · little data, days: 0
×1
AWP | Man-o'-war
Minimal Wear
buy0.1000–0.1041
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
151.77 $
at 151.77
if this one runs out, you can take
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) — 194.59 $+42.82 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3500–0.3705
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.104119f′ (normalized) 0.041199wear 0.1000–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 265.55 $
×3
Galil AR | Chatterbox
Field-Tested
buy0.3500–0.3524
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
583.78 $
at 194.59
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) — 151.77 $cheaper by 42.82 $ · on the market 125 · buy0.1000–0.1004
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.352471f′ (normalized) 0.004943wear 0.3500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs847.11 $
−420.41
(−49.6%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 14.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
AUG | Chameleon
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0052
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
223.11 $
at 111.55
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 125.21 $+13.66 $ per item · on the market 169 · buy0.1800–0.1886
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005255f′ (normalized) 0.010510wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 130 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 236.62 $ · little data, days: 0
×1
AWP | Man-o'-war
Minimal Wear
buy0.1000–0.1037
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
151.77 $
at 151.77
if this one runs out, you can take
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) — 194.59 $+42.82 $ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3500–0.3687
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.103753f′ (normalized) 0.037537wear 0.1000–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 265.55 $
×2
Galil AR | Chatterbox
Field-Tested
buy0.3500–0.3522
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
389.19 $
at 194.59
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) — 151.77 $cheaper by 42.82 $ · on the market 125 · buy0.1000–0.1004
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.352252f′ (normalized) 0.004504wear 0.3500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
Steam★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)net 314.30 $sells 8 a weeknow 361.45 $ — cheaper than the month average 452.45 $sell now to a buy order: 356.31 $
(you get 309.84 $)) · buy orders: 1810
month average 402.11 $, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 309.42 $
(you get 269.06 $)) · buy orders: 876
Steam★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 294.21 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 300.21 $listings 3 · you get 294.21 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 1 095.62 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 1 153.29 $listings 3 · you get 1 095.62 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 004.84 $
(you get 873.77 $)) · buy orders: 147
Steam★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 118.84 $sells 12 a weeknow 136.66 $ — cheaper than the month average 150.78 $sell now to a buy order: 127.62 $
(you get 110.98 $)) · buy orders: 672
Steam★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 104.37 $sells 7 a weeknow 120.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 147.03 $sell now to a buy order: 125.72 $
(you get 109.32 $)) · buy orders: 251
Steam★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 1 433.82 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 463.08 $listings 187 · you get 1 433.82 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 999.69 $
(you get 1 738.86 $)) · buy orders: 2195
Steam★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)net 1 005.58 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 1 156.41 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)net 696.65 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 710.87 $listings 6 · you get 696.65 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 681.12 $
(you get 592.28 $)) · buy orders: 573
Steam★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 1 422.96 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 452.00 $listings 19 · you get 1 422.96 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 903.70 $
(you get 1 655.39 $)) · buy orders: 282
Steam★ Karambit | Night (Factory New)net 2 695.00 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 2 750.00 $listings 3 · you get 2 695.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 767.25 $
(you get 667.17 $)) · buy orders: 108
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)net 819.35 $sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 942.25 $sell now to a buy order: 929.85 $
(you get 808.57 $)) · buy orders: 1050
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)net 448.95 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 458.11 $listings 6 · you get 448.95 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 457.62 $
(you get 397.93 $)) · buy orders: 90
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 685.02 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 699.00 $listings 3 · you get 685.02 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 5 708.47 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 5 824.97 $listings 3 · you get 5 708.47 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 3 416.25 $
(you get 2 970.66 $)) · buy orders: 40
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)net 979.02 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 999.00 $listings 6 · you get 979.02 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 645.57 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 658.74 $listings 8 · you get 645.57 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 447.94 $
(you get 389.52 $)) · buy orders: 46
Steam★ Flip Knifenet 158.46 $sells 7 a weeknow 182.22 $ — cheaper than the month average 220.85 $sell now to a buy order: 185.02 $
(you get 160.89 $)) · buy orders: 1379
Steam★ Gut Knifenet 63.36 $sells 21 a weekmonth average 72.86 $, sold 63 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 60.73 $
(you get 52.81 $)) · buy orders: 1821
Steam★ Bayonet | Doppler (Factory New)net 355.43 $The Chroma Collectionsells 49 a weeknow 408.75 $ — cheaper than the month average 503.51 $sell now to a buy order: 413.82 $
(you get 359.84 $)) · buy orders: 5878
Steam★ Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 341.56 $The Chroma Collectionsells 14 a weeknow 392.80 $ — cheaper than the month average 430.32 $sell now to a buy order: 386.44 $
(you get 336.03 $)) · buy orders: 1280
Steam★ Flip Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 340.28 $The Chroma Collectionsells 36 a weeknow 391.32 $ — cheaper than the month average 403.12 $sell now to a buy order: 334.36 $
(you get 290.75 $)) · buy orders: 4768
Steam★ Flip Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 217.72 $The Chroma Collectionsells 11 a weeknow 250.38 $ — cheaper than the month average 315.25 $sell now to a buy order: 276.30 $
(you get 240.26 $)) · buy orders: 834
Steam★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 229.77 $The Chroma Collectionsells 14 a weekmonth average 264.23 $, sold 64 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 227.26 $
(you get 197.62 $)) · buy orders: 636
Steam★ Flip Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 134.55 $The Chroma Collectionsells 5 a weekrarely sells: 8 a month — calculated at the buy order 154.73 $sell now to a buy order: 152.73 $
(you get 132.81 $)) · buy orders: 234
Steam★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 105.85 $The Chroma Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 121.73 $sell now to a buy order: 119.89 $
(you get 104.25 $)) · buy orders: 101
Steam★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 115.59 $The Chroma Collectionsells 91 a weeknow 132.93 $ — cheaper than the month average 150.75 $sell now to a buy order: 127.61 $
(you get 110.97 $)) · buy orders: 6343
Steam★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 108.84 $The Chroma Collectionsells 36 a weeknow 125.16 $ — cheaper than the month average 137.55 $sell now to a buy order: 122.86 $
(you get 106.84 $)) · buy orders: 773
Steam★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 95.67 $The Chroma Collectionsells 37 a weeknow 110.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 115.12 $sell now to a buy order: 100.75 $
(you get 87.61 $)) · buy orders: 682
Steam★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 63.44 $The Chroma Collectionsells 8 a weeknow 72.96 $ — cheaper than the month average 88.04 $sell now to a buy order: 72.29 $
(you get 62.86 $)) · buy orders: 213
Steam★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 652.41 $The Chroma Collectionsells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 750.27 $, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 749.88 $
(you get 652.07 $)) · buy orders: 872
Steam★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 1 617.00 $The Chroma Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 650.00 $listings 4 · you get 1 617.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 971.83 $
(you get 845.07 $)) · buy orders: 94
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 707.08 $The Chroma Collectionsells 6 a weeknow 813.14 $ — cheaper than the month average 923.72 $sell now to a buy order: 808.77 $
(you get 703.28 $)) · buy orders: 1537
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New)The Chroma Collectionsell now to a buy order: 1 303.76 $
(you get 1 133.71 $)) · buy orders: 48
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) × 46% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37446.22 → 1 055.30 $
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) × 16% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16151.77 → 327.83 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Phoenix Collection + The Chroma Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−170.47 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−147.46 $historical median
7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
11 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3402677
· The Prisma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit −136.67$
· invest 561.24$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AUG | Chameleon (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402678
· The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit −136.67$
· invest 561.24$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AUG | Chameleon (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3401930
· The Chroma Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit −140.81$
· invest 597.99$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3402599
· The Phoenix Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit −140.98$
· invest 646.26$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AUG | Chameleon (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402600
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit −140.98$
· invest 646.26$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AUG | Chameleon (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402695
· The Spectrum Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit −144.50$
· invest 591.56$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AUG | Chameleon (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402696
· The Phoenix Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −144.50$
· invest 591.56$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AUG | Chameleon (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402385
· The Phoenix Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −144.87$
· invest 616.21$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AUG | Chameleon (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402386
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit −144.87$
· invest 616.21$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AUG | Chameleon (Factory New): float at most 0.007507 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402693
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit −150.33$
· invest 597.40$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AUG | Chameleon (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.004461
Craft 3402694
· The Phoenix Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −150.33$
· invest 597.40$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); AUG | Chameleon (Factory New): float at most 0.007166 instead of 0.004461
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.