The Winter Offensive Collection
+ The Chroma Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3401955 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
≈1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0039
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
37 034.96 ₽
at 9 258.74
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 18 601.52 ₽+9 342.78 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1880
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.003941f′ (normalized) 0.009853wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
AWP | Man-o'-war
Minimal Wear
buy0.1000–0.1028
(1% of this wear's listings)
12 217.22 ₽
at 12 217.22
if this one runs out, you can take
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) — 15 664.00 ₽+3 446.78 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3500–0.3640
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.102815f′ (normalized) 0.028152wear 0.1000–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 21 375.59 ₽
Set · 5 pcs49 252.18 ₽
−12 451.44
(−25.3%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 18.4% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0073
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
27 776.22 ₽
at 9 258.74
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 18 601.52 ₽+9 342.78 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1950
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007332f′ (normalized) 0.018332wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
Galil AR | Chatterbox
Field-Tested
buy0.3500–0.3531
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
31 328.00 ₽
at 15 664.00
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) — 12 217.22 ₽cheaper by 3 446.78 ₽ · on the market 125 · buy0.1000–0.1006
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.353142f′ (normalized) 0.006285wear 0.3500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs59 104.22 ₽
−23 121.32
(−39.1%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 10.6% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0055
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
9 258.74 ₽
at 9 258.74
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 18 601.52 ₽+9 342.78 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1913
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005531f′ (normalized) 0.013829wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
AWP | Man-o'-war
Minimal Wear
buy0.1000–0.1039
(1% of this wear's listings)
12 217.22 ₽
at 12 217.22
if this one runs out, you can take
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) — 15 664.00 ₽+3 446.78 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3500–0.3697
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.103951f′ (normalized) 0.039512wear 0.1000–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 21 375.59 ₽
×3
Galil AR | Chatterbox
Field-Tested
buy0.3500–0.3523
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
46 992.00 ₽
at 15 664.00
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) — 12 217.22 ₽cheaper by 3 446.78 ₽ · on the market 125 · buy0.1000–0.1004
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.352370f′ (normalized) 0.004741wear 0.3500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs68 467.96 ₽
−34 120.75
(−49.8%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 14.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
Less than 1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0048
(≈1% of this wear's listings)
18 517.48 ₽
at 9 258.74
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 18 601.52 ₽+9 342.78 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1899
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.004875f′ (normalized) 0.012189wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
AWP | Man-o'-war
Minimal Wear
buy0.1000–0.1034
(1% of this wear's listings)
12 217.22 ₽
at 12 217.22
if this one runs out, you can take
Galil AR | Chatterbox (Field-Tested) — 15 664.00 ₽+3 446.78 ₽ per item · on the market 11 · buy0.3500–0.3674
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.103482f′ (normalized) 0.034828wear 0.1000–0.1500on the market 125 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 21 375.59 ₽
×2
Galil AR | Chatterbox
Field-Tested
buy0.3500–0.3520
(under 1% of this wear's listings)
31 328.00 ₽
at 15 664.00
if this one runs out, you can take
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) — 12 217.22 ₽cheaper by 3 446.78 ₽ · on the market 125 · buy0.1000–0.1004
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.352089f′ (normalized) 0.004179wear 0.3500–0.3800on the market 11 · good ≈ 0
month average 32 368.41 ₽, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 24 906.82 ₽
(you get 21 658.10 ₽)) · buy orders: 876
Steam★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 23 682.33 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 24 165.65 ₽listings 3 · you get 23 682.33 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 88 193.09 ₽no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 92 834.84 ₽listings 3 · you get 88 193.09 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 80 885.20 ₽
(you get 70 334.95 ₽)) · buy orders: 147
Steam★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 9 566.00 ₽sells 12 a weeknow 11 000.90 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 12 137.33 ₽sell now to a buy order: 10 273.08 ₽
(you get 8 933.11 ₽)) · buy orders: 672
Steam★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 8 401.14 ₽sells 7 a weeknow 9 661.31 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 11 835.23 ₽sell now to a buy order: 10 119.89 ₽
(you get 8 799.90 ₽)) · buy orders: 251
Steam★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 115 416.41 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 117 771.85 ₽listings 187 · you get 115 416.41 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 160 966.57 ₽
(you get 139 970.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 2195
Steam★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)net 80 944.63 ₽sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 93 086.32 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)net 56 077.62 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 57 222.07 ₽listings 6 · you get 56 077.62 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 54 827.62 ₽
(you get 47 676.19 ₽)) · buy orders: 573
Steam★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 114 542.35 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 116 879.95 ₽listings 19 · you get 114 542.35 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 153 240.13 ₽
(you get 133 252.28 ₽)) · buy orders: 282
Steam★ Karambit | Night (Factory New)net 216 936.27 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 221 363.55 ₽listings 3 · you get 216 936.27 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 61 760.14 ₽
(you get 53 704.46 ₽)) · buy orders: 108
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)net 65 954.00 ₽sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 75 847.10 ₽sell now to a buy order: 74 849.31 ₽
(you get 65 086.35 ₽)) · buy orders: 1050
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)net 36 138.43 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 36 875.95 ₽listings 6 · you get 36 138.43 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 36 836.21 ₽
(you get 32 031.48 ₽)) · buy orders: 90
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 55 141.25 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 56 266.59 ₽listings 3 · you get 55 141.25 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 459 508.10 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 468 885.82 ₽listings 3 · you get 459 508.10 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 274 994.17 ₽
(you get 239 125.36 ₽)) · buy orders: 40
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)net 78 807.03 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 80 415.34 ₽listings 6 · you get 78 807.03 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 51 965.31 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 53 025.83 ₽listings 8 · you get 51 965.31 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 36 057.61 ₽
(you get 31 354.44 ₽)) · buy orders: 46
Steam★ Flip Knifenet 12 755.02 ₽sells 7 a weeknow 14 668.27 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 17 777.56 ₽sell now to a buy order: 14 893.26 ₽
(you get 12 950.66 ₽)) · buy orders: 1379
Steam★ Gut Knifenet 5 099.93 ₽sells 21 a weekmonth average 5 864.92 ₽, sold 63 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 4 888.73 ₽
(you get 4 251.06 ₽)) · buy orders: 1821
Steam★ Flip Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 18 495.43 ₽The Chroma Collectionsells 14 a weekmonth average 21 269.74 ₽, sold 64 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 18 293.29 ₽
(you get 15 907.20 ₽)) · buy orders: 636
Steam★ Flip Knife | Rust Coat (Well-Worn)net 8 520.43 ₽The Chroma Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 2 a month — calculated at the buy order 9 798.50 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 650.39 ₽
(you get 8 391.64 ₽)) · buy orders: 101
Steam★ Gut Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 9 304.35 ₽The Chroma Collectionsells 91 a weeknow 10 700.00 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 12 134.54 ₽sell now to a buy order: 10 272.18 ₽
(you get 8 932.33 ₽)) · buy orders: 6343
Steam★ Gut Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 8 761.03 ₽The Chroma Collectionsells 36 a weeknow 10 075.18 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 11 072.30 ₽sell now to a buy order: 9 890.09 ₽
(you get 8 600.07 ₽)) · buy orders: 773
Steam★ Gut Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 7 701.23 ₽The Chroma Collectionsells 37 a weeknow 8 856.42 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 9 266.40 ₽sell now to a buy order: 8 110.33 ₽
(you get 7 052.46 ₽)) · buy orders: 682
Steam★ Gut Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 5 106.85 ₽The Chroma Collectionsells 8 a weeknow 5 872.88 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 7 086.64 ₽sell now to a buy order: 5 818.71 ₽
(you get 5 059.74 ₽)) · buy orders: 213
Steam★ Karambit | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 52 516.31 ₽The Chroma Collectionsells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 60 393.76 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowersell now to a buy order: 60 362.46 ₽
(you get 52 489.09 ₽)) · buy orders: 872
Steam★ Karambit | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 130 161.76 ₽The Chroma Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 132 818.13 ₽listings 4 · you get 130 161.76 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 78 228.61 ₽
(you get 68 024.87 ₽)) · buy orders: 94
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Factory New)The Chroma Collectionsell now to a buy order: 104 947.64 ₽
(you get 91 258.81 ₽)) · buy orders: 48
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) × 46% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3737 034.96 → 87 587.68 ₽
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) × 16% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1612 217.22 → 26 389.20 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Winter Offensive Collection + The Chroma Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−14 838.36 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−12 986.07 ₽historical median
7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
11 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401956
· The Chroma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −12 451.44₽
· invest 49 252.18₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.003941
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.003941
Craft 3402879
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit −12 748.09₽
· invest 48 734.88₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.005912 instead of 0.003941
Craft 3402880
· The Spectrum Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −12 748.09₽
· invest 48 734.88₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.005912 instead of 0.003941
Craft 3402401
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −12 777.96₽
· invest 50 718.98₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.003941
Craft 3402402
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −12 777.96₽
· invest 50 718.98₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.003941
Craft 3402869
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −13 217.62₽
· invest 49 204.41₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.005912 instead of 0.003941
Craft 3402870
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −13 217.62₽
· invest 49 204.41₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.005912 instead of 0.003941
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006131 instead of 0.003941
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006131 instead of 0.003941
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.