The Clutch Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −94 305.30₸

Invest at least 450 597.22₸

Average return 356 291.92₸

ROI −20.9%

Chance of profit 24%

With float: invest at least 450 597.22 ₸, profit at most −94 305.30 ₸

float premium: at least 253 376 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 0.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −78 458.82 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈4

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

151 583.91 ₸

at 37 895.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 47 154.20 ₸ +9 258.22 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0126

Steam

×1

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0091

42 639.48 ₸

at 42 639.48

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 56 786.91 ₸ +14 147.43 ₸ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0115

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 194 223.39 ₸ +162 068.54 (+83.4%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 3.3% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −27 245 ₸

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×1

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0102

37 895.98 ₸

at 37 895.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 47 154.20 ₸ +9 258.22 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0141

Steam

×4

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0102

170 557.91 ₸

at 42 639.48

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 56 786.91 ₸ +14 147.43 ₸ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0129

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 208 453.88 ₸ +103 714.57 (+49.8%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 2.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 421 ₸

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈4

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0098

75 791.95 ₸

at 37 895.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 47 154.20 ₸ +9 258.22 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

×3

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0098

127 918.43 ₸

at 42 639.48

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 56 786.91 ₸ +14 147.43 ₸ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 203 710.38 ₸ +123 165.88 (+60.5%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.7% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈4

×3

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

113 687.93 ₸

at 37 895.98

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) — 47 154.20 ₸ +9 258.22 ₸ per item · on the market 51 · buy 0.0000–0.0130

Steam

×2

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

85 278.95 ₸

at 42 639.48

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 56 786.91 ₸ +14 147.43 ₸ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0119

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 198 966.88 ₸ +142 617.23 (+71.7%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 44%
About break-even 7%
Above the Steam cap 1%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 353.24 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

470 914.77 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 509.23 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 277.85 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

168 708.87 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

338 625.99 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

274 416.00 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

126 638.14 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

510 136.65 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

862 919.01 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

135 383.40 ₸ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 289.54 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

717 922.86 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 596.14 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

429 614.75 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

288 276.90 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

562 143.39 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 445 105.40 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

894 087.54 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

224 937.67 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91 660.31 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

227 777.19 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 469.43 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 225.31 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97 467.69 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

278 195.23 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 293.34 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 235.29 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

354 923.68 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

100 856.61 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98 474.09 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328 094.63 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

793 990.50 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 984.19 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

291 304.20 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

495 111.71 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 798.13 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700 178.64 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

229 795.11 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

441 385.00 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

573 458.28 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294 256.65 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 218 009.83 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

84 348.42 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

271 319.81 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

172 092.11 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

161 744.37 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Clutch Collection + The Snakebite Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Clutch Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 5 only The Clutch Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +143 306.17 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +159 502.51 ₸ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Clutch Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402015 · The Snakebite Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 162 068.55₸ · invest 194 223.39₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Clutch Collection + The Snakebite Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build