The Falchion Collection
+ The Danger Zone Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3402041 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(3% of this wear's listings)
12 533.11 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0075
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 50 000.00 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×4
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
19 416.88 ₽
at 4 854.22
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 28 581.77 ₽+23 727.55 ₽ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0500–0.0597
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 224 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 8 222.50 ₽ · little data, days: 3
Set · 5 pcs31 949.99 ₽
−12 453.90
(−39.0%)
!
The gain is understated:7 outcomes have no price, that is 14.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(10% of this wear's listings)
50 132.44 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0112
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.011261wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 19 824.23 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×1
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
4 854.22 ₽
at 4 854.22
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 28 581.77 ₽+23 727.55 ₽ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0500–0.0646
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.022522wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 224 · good ≈ 6
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · among lots up to 8 222.50 ₽ · little data, days: 0
Set · 5 pcs54 986.66 ₽
−40 722.70
(−74.1%)
!
The gain is understated:7 outcomes have no price, that is 13.1% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(3% of this wear's listings)
37 599.33 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0096
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 50 000.00 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×2
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
9 708.44 ₽
at 4 854.22
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 28 581.77 ₽+23 727.55 ₽ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0500–0.0625
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.019304wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 224 · good ≈ 6
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 8 222.50 ₽ · little data, days: 1
Set · 5 pcs47 307.77 ₽
−31 299.76
(−66.2%)
!
The gain is understated:7 outcomes have no price, that is 11.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(3% of this wear's listings)
25 066.22 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0084
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 50 000.00 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×3
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
14 562.66 ₽
at 4 854.22
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 28 581.77 ₽+23 727.55 ₽ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0500–0.0609
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.016891wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 224 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 8 222.50 ₽ · little data, days: 1
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 20 498.65 ₽sells 8 a weekmonth average 23 573.45 ₽, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 20 275.82 ₽
(you get 17 631.14 ₽)) · buy orders: 381
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Night (Factory New)net 23 665.77 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 24 148.75 ₽listings 3 · you get 23 665.77 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 18 022.95 ₽
(you get 15 672.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 98
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 11 435.30 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 11 668.68 ₽listings 3 · you get 11 435.30 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 7 518.27 ₽
(you get 6 537.62 ₽)) · buy orders: 109
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 7 700.94 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionsells 12 a weeknow 8 856.08 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 9 803.01 ₽sell now to a buy order: 8 759.15 ₽
(you get 7 616.65 ₽)) · buy orders: 463
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 6 650.90 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionsells 12 a weeknow 7 648.54 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 8 886.40 ₽sell now to a buy order: 8 129.25 ₽
(you get 7 068.91 ₽)) · buy orders: 273
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 7 175.07 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 8 251.33 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 7 888.58 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 8 049.58 ₽listings 4 · you get 7 888.58 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 8 048.15 ₽
(you get 6 998.39 ₽)) · buy orders: 138
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)net 6 705.30 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 6 842.15 ₽listings 5 · you get 6 705.30 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 31 284.43 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionsells 5 a weeknow 35 977.10 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 44 925.53 ₽sell now to a buy order: 33 478.53 ₽
(you get 29 111.76 ₽)) · buy orders: 552
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 31 179.49 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionsells 3 a weeknow 35 856.41 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 43 296.14 ₽sell now to a buy order: 35 323.18 ₽
(you get 30 715.80 ₽)) · buy orders: 293
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 12 041.14 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 12 286.88 ₽listings 4 · you get 12 041.14 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 12 076.28 ₽
(you get 10 501.11 ₽)) · buy orders: 65
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 105 067.36 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 107 211.60 ₽listings 6 · you get 105 067.36 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 63 976.97 ₽
(you get 55 632.14 ₽)) · buy orders: 80
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 17 284.69 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 17 637.44 ₽listings 5 · you get 17 284.69 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 26 668.96 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 27 213.23 ₽listings 6 · you get 26 668.96 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 15 370.87 ₽
(you get 13 365.97 ₽)) · buy orders: 95
Steam★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 12 902.75 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionsells 2 a weeknow 14 838.16 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 18 089.49 ₽sell now to a buy order: 14 977.07 ₽
(you get 13 023.53 ₽)) · buy orders: 231
Steam★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 51 294.77 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 52 341.61 ₽listings 3 · you get 51 294.77 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 6 969.57 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 7 111.81 ₽listings 4 · you get 6 969.57 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 7 566.03 ₽
(you get 6 579.15 ₽)) · buy orders: 31
Steam★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 51 959.43 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionsells 2 a weekrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 59 753.34 ₽no buy orders
Steam★ Ursus Knifenet 5 577.37 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionsells 75 a weeknow 6 413.98 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 7 378.54 ₽sell now to a buy order: 6 074.64 ₽
(you get 5 282.29 ₽)) · buy orders: 1103
Steam★ Talon Knifenet 25 902.81 ₽The Danger Zone Collectionsells 40 a weeknow 29 788.23 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 31 573.36 ₽sell now to a buy order: 27 459.77 ₽
(you get 23 878.06 ₽)) · buy orders: 1888
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 111% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1612 533.11 → 27 071.52 ₽
AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 411% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3719 416.88 → 45 920.92 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Falchion Collection + The Danger Zone Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−14 387.45 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−12 854.68 ₽historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3402042
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −12 453.90₽
· invest 31 949.99₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.