The Shadow Collection
+ The Danger Zone Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3402081 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(5% of this wear's listings)
264.55 $
at 264.55
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 304.99 $+40.44 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0075
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.007507wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 498.83 $ · little data, days: 0
×4
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0075
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
241.22 $
at 60.30
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 355.07 $+294.77 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0500–0.0597
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007507f′ (normalized) 0.015014wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 224 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 102.15 $
Set · 5 pcs505.77 $
−278.92
(−55.1%)
!
The gain is understated:8 outcomes have no price, that is 20.4% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(10% of this wear's listings)
1 058.20 $
at 264.55
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 304.99 $+40.44 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0112
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.011261wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 498.83 $ · little data, days: 0
×1
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0112
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
60.30 $
at 60.30
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 355.07 $+294.77 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0500–0.0646
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011261f′ (normalized) 0.022522wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 224 · good ≈ 6
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 102.15 $
Set · 5 pcs1 118.50 $
−1 002.70
(−89.7%)
!
The gain is understated:8 outcomes have no price, that is 17.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(10% of this wear's listings)
793.65 $
at 264.55
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 304.99 $+40.44 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0096
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.009652wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 498.83 $ · little data, days: 0
×2
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0096
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
120.61 $
at 60.30
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 355.07 $+294.77 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0500–0.0625
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.009652f′ (normalized) 0.019304wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 224 · good ≈ 6
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 102.15 $
Set · 5 pcs914.26 $
−761.44
(−83.3%)
!
The gain is understated:8 outcomes have no price, that is 15.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
USP-S | Kill Confirmed
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(5% of this wear's listings)
529.10 $
at 264.55
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A1-S | Golden Coil (Factory New) — 304.99 $+40.44 $ per item · on the market 24 · buy0.0000–0.0084
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 19 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 498.83 $ · little data, days: 0
×3
AWP | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
180.91 $
at 60.30
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Asiimov (Factory New) — 355.07 $+294.77 $ per item · on the market 16 · buy0.0500–0.0609
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.016891wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 224 · good ≈ 5
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day: fewer than one · among lots up to 102.15 $
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Fade (Factory New)net 146.61 $sells 9 a weeknow 168.60 $ — cheaper than the month average 184.97 $sell now to a buy order: 151.09 $
(you get 131.38 $)) · buy orders: 634
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter (Factory New)net 107.28 $sells 2 a weekmonth average 123.37 $, sold 18 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averageno buy orders
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 95.67 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 12 a weeknow 110.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 121.78 $sell now to a buy order: 108.81 $
(you get 94.62 $)) · buy orders: 463
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 82.62 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 12 a weeknow 95.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 110.40 $sell now to a buy order: 100.99 $
(you get 87.82 $)) · buy orders: 273
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Stained (Factory New)net 89.14 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 102.51 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 98.00 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 100.00 $listings 4 · you get 98.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 99.98 $
(you get 86.94 $)) · buy orders: 138
Steam★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe (Factory New)net 83.30 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 85.00 $listings 5 · you get 83.30 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 388.65 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 5 a weeknow 446.94 $ — cheaper than the month average 558.11 $sell now to a buy order: 415.90 $
(you get 361.66 $)) · buy orders: 552
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 387.34 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 3 a weeknow 445.44 $ — cheaper than the month average 537.87 $sell now to a buy order: 438.82 $
(you get 381.58 $)) · buy orders: 293
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 149.59 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 152.64 $listings 4 · you get 149.59 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 150.02 $
(you get 130.46 $)) · buy orders: 65
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 1 305.25 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 331.89 $listings 6 · you get 1 305.25 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 794.79 $
(you get 691.12 $)) · buy orders: 80
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 214.73 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 219.11 $listings 5 · you get 214.73 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Stiletto Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 331.31 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 338.07 $listings 6 · you get 331.31 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 190.95 $
(you get 166.05 $)) · buy orders: 95
Steam★ Ursus Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 160.29 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 2 a weeknow 184.33 $ — cheaper than the month average 224.73 $sell now to a buy order: 186.06 $
(you get 161.79 $)) · buy orders: 231
Steam★ Ursus Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 637.24 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 650.24 $listings 3 · you get 637.24 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Ursus Knife | Safari Mesh (Factory New)net 86.58 $The Danger Zone Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 88.35 $listings 4 · you get 86.58 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 93.99 $
(you get 81.73 $)) · buy orders: 31
Steam★ Talon Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 645.49 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 2 a weekrarely sells: 7 a month — calculated at the buy order 742.32 $no buy orders
Steam★ Ursus Knifenet 69.29 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 75 a weeknow 79.68 $ — cheaper than the month average 91.66 $sell now to a buy order: 75.47 $
(you get 65.62 $)) · buy orders: 1103
Steam★ Talon Knifenet 321.79 $The Danger Zone Collectionsells 40 a weeknow 370.06 $ — cheaper than the month average 392.24 $sell now to a buy order: 341.13 $
(you get 296.64 $)) · buy orders: 1888
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
USP-S | Kill Confirmed (Factory New) × 111% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16264.55 → 571.43 $
AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 411% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37241.22 → 570.48 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Shadow Collection + The Danger Zone Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−303.02 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−283.77 $historical median
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
1 craft almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3402082
· The Danger Zone Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit −278.92$
· invest 505.77$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.