The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −94 553.37₸

Invest 191 015.39₸

Average return 96 462.02₸

ROI −49.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 441 076.93 ₸, profit at most −344 614.96 ₸

float premium: at least 247 800 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −103 000.11 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×1

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0097

52 070.46 ₸

at 52 070.46

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) — 56 576.01 ₸ +4 505.55 ₸ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0121

Steam

×4

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0097

138 944.92 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 191 015.39 ₸ −94 553.37 (−49.5%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3

×3

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0102

156 211.39 ₸

at 52 070.46

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) — 56 576.01 ₸ +4 505.55 ₸ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0127

Steam

×2

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0102

69 472.46 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0131

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 225 683.85 ₸ −108 577.36 (−48.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈3

×2

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0099

104 140.92 ₸

at 52 070.46

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) — 56 576.01 ₸ +4 505.55 ₸ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0099

104 208.69 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0128

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 208 349.62 ₸ −101 565.39 (−48.8%)

What you get 43 outcomes

Profitable outcome 10%
Losing outcome 71%
Above the Steam cap 18%

Order

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

126 718.85 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

136 781.46 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

149 015.35 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

131 644.51 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

152 440.21 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68 985.26 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

231 063.41 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

192 953.33 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41 765.97 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

56 420.68 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

815 017.06 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

368 118.59 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

758 231.50 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

534 637.22 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

382 384.23 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

319 218.44 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

108 683.76 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

50 857.27 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

72 432.39 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

89 090.91 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

56 786.91 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

43 448.65 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

50 695.02 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

27 766.73 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

47 059.94 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

42 346.25 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

30 933.33 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

23 907.31 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

92 888.41 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

36 942.95 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

83 143.77 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

76 711.24 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

43 029.16 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

32 957.72 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

110 936.26 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

41 054.65 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

72 369.80 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

90 037.69 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

49 484.24 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

37 044.23 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 52 070.46 → 112 472.20 ₸

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) × 4 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 138 944.92 → 328 604.74 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 6 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −100 523.73 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −96 076.10 ₸ historical median

6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3401561 · The Huntsman Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit −87 543.52₸ · invest 198 768.14₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3401562 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −87 543.52₸ · invest 198 768.14₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402567 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −88 845.86₸ · invest 200 070.47₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402568 · The Huntsman Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit −88 845.86₸ · invest 200 070.47₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402411 · The Huntsman Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit −92 513.70₸ · invest 205 551.66₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402412 · The Gamma Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −92 513.70₸ · invest 205 551.66₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402197 · The Huntsman Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit −94 553.40₸ · invest 191 015.39₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 43 outcomes

More

How to build