The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −201 615.64₸

Invest at least 467 134.37₸

Average return 265 518.73₸

ROI −43.2%

Chance of profit 19%

With float: invest at least 467 134.37 ₸, profit at most −201 615.64 ₸

float premium: at least 259 162 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −53 772 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 3.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −73 063.62 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×1

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0097

52 070.46 ₸

at 52 070.46

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) — 56 576.01 ₸ +4 505.55 ₸ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0121

Steam

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0097

149 962.87 ₸

at 37 490.72

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 52 130.92 ₸ +14 640.20 ₸ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0117

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 202 033.33 ₸ +63 485.40 (+31.4%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 2.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −80 218 ₸

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈3

×2

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0099

104 140.92 ₸

at 52 070.46

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Nightwish (Factory New) — 56 576.01 ₸ +4 505.55 ₸ per item · on the market 87 · buy 0.0000–0.0124

Steam

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0099

112 472.15 ₸

at 37 490.72

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 52 130.92 ₸ +14 640.20 ₸ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 216 613.08 ₸ +16 963.73 (+7.8%)

What you get 54 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 46%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97 467.69 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

278 195.23 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 293.34 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 235.29 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

354 923.68 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

100 856.61 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98 474.09 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328 094.63 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

793 990.50 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 984.19 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

291 304.20 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

495 111.71 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 798.13 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700 178.64 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

229 795.11 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

441 385.00 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

573 458.28 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294 256.65 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 218 009.83 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

84 348.42 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

271 319.81 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

172 092.11 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

161 744.37 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

815 017.06 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

368 118.59 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

758 231.50 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

534 637.22 ₸ 0.67%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

382 384.23 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

319 218.44 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

108 683.76 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

50 857.27 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

72 432.39 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

89 090.91 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

56 786.91 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

43 448.65 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

50 695.02 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

27 766.73 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

47 059.94 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

42 346.25 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

30 933.33 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

23 907.31 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

92 888.41 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

36 942.95 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

83 143.77 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

76 711.24 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

43 029.16 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

32 957.72 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

110 936.26 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

41 054.65 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

72 369.80 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

90 037.69 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

49 484.24 ₸ 0.67%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

37 044.23 ₸ 0.67%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 52 070.46 → 112 472.20 ₸

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) × 4 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 149 962.87 → 354 662.18 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +46 934.58 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +60 082.25 ₸ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dreams & Nightmares Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402541 · The Recoil Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 70 497.36₸ · invest 184 699.10₸
profit on prices without salesat least −55 842 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402543 · The Huntsman Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 70 497.36₸ · invest 184 699.10₸
profit on prices without salesat least −55 842 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3401577 · The Recoil Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 70 495.26₸ · invest 209 786.08₸
profit on prices without salesat least −55 340 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3401578 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 70 495.26₸ · invest 209 786.08₸
profit on prices without salesat least −55 340 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

CZ75-Auto | Victoria (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009587 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402727 · The Recoil Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 69 199.37₸ · invest 191 721.81₸
profit on prices without salesat least −47 598 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402728 · The Prisma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 69 199.37₸ · invest 191 721.81₸
profit on prices without salesat least −47 598 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.009459 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402773 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 69 192.92₸ · invest 211 088.41₸
profit on prices without salesat least −56 642 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402774 · The Recoil Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 69 192.92₸ · invest 211 088.41₸
profit on prices without salesat least −56 642 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.007467 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402575 · The Recoil Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 66 850.34₸ · invest 182 300.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −50 765 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402577 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 66 850.34₸ · invest 182 300.44₸
profit on prices without salesat least −50 765 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Chrome Cannon (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402417 · The Recoil Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 65 525.08₸ · invest 216 569.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −63 535 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402418 · The Gamma Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 65 525.08₸ · invest 216 569.60₸
profit on prices without salesat least −63 535 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008930 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402293 · The Recoil Collection + The Fever Collection · profit 64 603.42₸ · invest 189 719.97₸
profit on prices without salesat least −52 116 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402294 · The Fever Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 64 603.42₸ · invest 189 719.97₸
profit on prices without salesat least −52 116 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

FAMAS | Bad Trip (Factory New) instead of MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009701
Craft 3402203 · The Recoil Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 63 485.38₸ · invest 202 033.33₸
profit on prices without salesat least −53 772 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 54 outcomes

More

How to build