Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3402238 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0100
(3% of this wear's listings)
155.70 $
at 155.70
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 220.44 $+64.74 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0100
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010063f′ (normalized) 0.010063wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 621.15 $ · little data, days: 0
×4
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0100
(1% of this wear's listings)
306.92 $
at 76.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 800.15 $+723.42 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.0000–0.0129
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010063f′ (normalized) 0.014375wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 85 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 251.04 $
Set · 5 pcs462.62 $
−279.29
(−60.4%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 16.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0124
(10% of this wear's listings)
622.80 $
at 155.70
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 220.44 $+64.74 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012446f′ (normalized) 0.012446wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 246.28 $ · little data, days: 0
×1
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0124
(2% of this wear's listings)
76.73 $
at 76.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 800.15 $+723.42 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.0000–0.0160
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012446f′ (normalized) 0.017780wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 85 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 251.04 $
Set · 5 pcs699.53 $
−537.04
(−76.8%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0115
(10% of this wear's listings)
467.10 $
at 155.70
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 220.44 $+64.74 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0115
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011535f′ (normalized) 0.011535wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 246.28 $ · little data, days: 0
×2
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0115
(2% of this wear's listings)
153.46 $
at 76.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 800.15 $+723.42 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.0000–0.0148
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011535f′ (normalized) 0.016479wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 85 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 251.04 $
Set · 5 pcs620.56 $
−451.13
(−72.7%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 20.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0107
(10% of this wear's listings)
311.40 $
at 155.70
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 220.44 $+64.74 $ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0107
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010749f′ (normalized) 0.010749wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 246.28 $ · little data, days: 0
×3
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0107
(2% of this wear's listings)
230.19 $
at 76.73
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 800.15 $+723.42 $ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.0000–0.0138
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010749f′ (normalized) 0.015356wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 85 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 251.04 $
now 279.92 $ — cheaper than the month average 293.71 $sell now to a buy order: 239.94 $
(you get 208.64 $)) · buy orders: 1074
sell on Market.CSGO: 203.94 $ to your card
cheapest lot 223.61 · lots 28price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 189.96 $listings: 105
on CS.Money: ~ 215.33 $
on Lis-Skins: from 206.18 $listings: 70
rarely sells: 5 a month — calculated at the lowest sale 302.14 $sell now to a buy order: 289.96 $
(you get 252.14 $)) · buy orders: 413
sell on Market.CSGO: 244.72 $ to your card
cheapest lot 268.34 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 233.21 $listings: 44
on CS.Money: ~ 247.57 $
on Lis-Skins: from 236.54 $listings: 48
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 329.17 $sell now to a buy order: 329.09 $
(you get 286.16 $)) · buy orders: 140not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 473.57 $listings: 4
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 290.80 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 336.73 $no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 384.76 $listings: 4
on CS.Money: ~ 375.05 $Lis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 152.39 $sell now to a buy order: 150.38 $
(you get 130.77 $)) · buy orders: 130not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest (Factory New)The Huntsman Collectionsell now to a buy order: 146.90 $
(you get 127.74 $)) · buy orders: 65not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 510.41 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 555.16 $ to your card
cheapest lot 608.73 · lots 3
on CSFloat: from 682.00 $listings: 6
on Lis-Skins: from 659.94 $listings: 4
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 426.23 $sell now to a buy order: 420.62 $
(you get 365.75 $)) · buy orders: 92Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched (Factory New)The Huntsman Collectionsell now to a buy order: 216.80 $
(you get 188.52 $)) · buy orders: 63not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)The Huntsman Collectionsell now to a buy order: 151.98 $
(you get 132.16 $)) · buy orders: 74not listed on Market.CSGO right nowLis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Huntsman Knifenet 108.37 $The Huntsman Collectionsells 10 a weeknow 124.63 $ — cheaper than the month average 160.07 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 105.85 $ to your card
cheapest lot 116.06 · lots 16
on CSFloat: from 106.58 $listings: 27
on CS.Money: ~ 119.11 $
on Lis-Skins: from 105.73 $listings: 46
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 198.46 $sells 16 a weeknow 228.23 $ — cheaper than the month average 275.89 $sell now to a buy order: 217.97 $
(you get 189.54 $)) · buy orders: 814
sell on Market.CSGO: 188.07 $ to your card
cheapest lot 206.22 · lots 15price ignores float
on CSFloat: from 170.30 $listings: 98
on CS.Money: ~ 190.45 $
on Lis-Skins: from 178.09 $listings: 51
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 254.65 $sells 8 a weekmonth average 292.85 $, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 251.89 $
(you get 219.03 $)) · buy orders: 381Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 208.00 $listings: 21
on CS.Money: ~ 229.14 $
on Lis-Skins: from 226.79 $listings: 11
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel (Factory New)net 262.12 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 301.44 $sell now to a buy order: 295.68 $
(you get 257.11 $)) · buy orders: 158not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 319.99 $listings: 3
on CS.Money: ~ 304.48 $
rarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 156.45 $sell now to a buy order: 154.39 $
(you get 134.25 $)) · buy orders: 124Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on Lis-Skins: from 193.11 $listings: 3
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 314.53 $
by lot · 0 sales per day
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 361.71 $sell now to a buy order: 356.94 $
(you get 310.38 $)) · buy orders: 160Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no price
on CSFloat: from 308.00 $listings: 11
on CS.Money: ~ 314.20 $
on Lis-Skins: from 338.43 $listings: 3
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 139.80 $sell now to a buy order: 137.96 $
(you get 119.96 $)) · buy orders: 139Market.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no price
rarely sells: 0 a month — calculated at the buy order 99.36 $sell now to a buy order: 103.06 $
(you get 89.62 $)) · buy orders: 93Market.CSGO: 2 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)no buy ordersMarket.CSGO: 1 listings, too few, no priceCSFloat: 2 listings, too few, no priceLis-Skins: 2 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Night (Factory New)net 294.00 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 300.00 $listings 3 · you get 294.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 223.90 $
(you get 194.69 $)) · buy orders: 98
sell on Market.CSGO: 381.04 $ to your card
cheapest lot 417.80 · lots 6
on CSFloat: from 300.00 $listings: 3
on Lis-Skins: from 342.59 $listings: 3
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 142.06 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 144.96 $listings 3 · you get 142.06 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 93.40 $
(you get 81.22 $)) · buy orders: 109not listed on Market.CSGO right now
on CSFloat: from 144.96 $listings: 3Lis-Skins: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked (Factory New)sell now to a buy order: 112.13 $
(you get 97.50 $)) · buy orders: 45not listed on Market.CSGO right nowCSFloat: 1 listings, too few, no price
Steam★ Falchion Knifenet 104.94 $sells 16 a weeknow 120.68 $ — cheaper than the month average 133.91 $no buy orders
sell on Market.CSGO: 94.18 $ to your card
cheapest lot 103.27 · lots 8
on CSFloat: from 93.63 $listings: 29
on CS.Money: ~ 103.67 $
on Lis-Skins: from 90.99 $listings: 41
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 114% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16155.70 → 336.31 $
M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) × 414% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37306.92 → 725.87 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−289.25 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−282.29 $historical median
6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3402351
· The Huntsman Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −261.12$
· invest 438.05$
no outcome pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.009539 instead of 0.010063
Craft 3402352
· The Gallery Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −261.12$
· invest 438.05$
no outcome pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.009539 instead of 0.010063
Craft 3402237
· The Huntsman Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −279.29$
· invest 462.62$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.