Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3402238 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
1% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×1
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0100
(3% of this wear's listings)
12 533.11 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0100
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010063f′ (normalized) 0.010063wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 50 000.00 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×4
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0100
(1% of this wear's listings)
24 706.04 ₽
at 6 176.51
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 64 408.52 ₽+58 232.01 ₽ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.0000–0.0129
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010063f′ (normalized) 0.014375wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 85 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 20 207.89 ₽ · little data, days: 1
Set · 5 pcs37 239.15 ₽
−22 481.84
(−60.4%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 16.9% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×4
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0124
(10% of this wear's listings)
50 132.44 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0124
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012446f′ (normalized) 0.012446wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 19 824.23 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×1
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0124
(2% of this wear's listings)
6 176.51 ₽
at 6 176.51
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 64 408.52 ₽+58 232.01 ₽ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.0000–0.0160
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.012446f′ (normalized) 0.017780wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 85 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 20 207.89 ₽ · little data, days: 1
Set · 5 pcs56 308.95 ₽
−43 229.68
(−76.8%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×3
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0115
(10% of this wear's listings)
37 599.33 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0115
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011535f′ (normalized) 0.011535wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 19 824.23 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×2
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0115
(2% of this wear's listings)
12 353.02 ₽
at 6 176.51
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 64 408.52 ₽+58 232.01 ₽ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.0000–0.0148
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.011535f′ (normalized) 0.016479wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 85 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 20 207.89 ₽ · little data, days: 1
Set · 5 pcs49 952.35 ₽
−36 313.74
(−72.7%)
!
The gain is understated:5 outcomes have no price, that is 20.0% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (by listings)
×2
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0107
(10% of this wear's listings)
25 066.22 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0107
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010749f′ (normalized) 0.010749wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 19 824.23 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×3
M4A4 | Desert-Strike
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0107
(2% of this wear's listings)
18 529.53 ₽
at 6 176.51
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 64 408.52 ₽+58 232.01 ₽ per item · on the market 20 · buy0.0000–0.0138
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010749f′ (normalized) 0.015356wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 85 · good ≈ 2
on the market with this float, usually ~2,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 20 207.89 ₽ · little data, days: 1
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 20 498.65 ₽sells 8 a weekmonth average 23 573.45 ₽, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 20 275.82 ₽
(you get 17 631.14 ₽)) · buy orders: 381
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Night (Factory New)net 23 665.77 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 24 148.75 ₽listings 3 · you get 23 665.77 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 18 022.95 ₽
(you get 15 672.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 98
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 11 435.30 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 11 668.68 ₽listings 3 · you get 11 435.30 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 7 518.27 ₽
(you get 6 537.62 ₽)) · buy orders: 109
Steam★ Falchion Knifenet 8 447.47 ₽sells 16 a weeknow 9 714.59 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 10 779.41 ₽no buy orders
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 114% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1612 533.11 → 27 071.52 ₽
M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) × 414% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3724 706.04 → 58 429.78 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
Average float of the set
average normalized 0.013513414
outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000
How to read float
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Falchion Collection + The Huntsman Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−23 283.39 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−22 723.07 ₽historical median
6% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3402351
· The Huntsman Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −21 019.36₽
· invest 35 261.02₽
no outcome pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.009539 instead of 0.010063
Craft 3402352
· The Gallery Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −21 019.36₽
· invest 35 261.02₽
no outcome pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New): float at most 0.009539 instead of 0.010063
Craft 3402237
· The Huntsman Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −22 481.84₽
· invest 37 239.15₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.