The Falchion Collection
+ The Winter Offensive Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3402278 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0061
(0% of this wear's listings)
12 533.11 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0061
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006142f′ (normalized) 0.006142wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
×4
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0061
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
37 034.96 ₽
at 9 258.74
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 18 601.52 ₽+9 342.78 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1925
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006142f′ (normalized) 0.015356wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs49 568.07 ₽
−16 969.22
(−34.2%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 17.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈3≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0103
(10% of this wear's listings)
50 132.44 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0103
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010394f′ (normalized) 0.010394wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 3
on the market with this float, usually ~3,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 19 824.23 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×1
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0103
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
9 258.74 ₽
at 9 258.74
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 18 601.52 ₽+9 342.78 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.2013
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.010394f′ (normalized) 0.025987wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs59 391.18 ₽
−41 851.53
(−70.5%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 19.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(3% of this wear's listings)
37 599.33 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0084
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day can't be counted yet, cheapest usually 50 000.00 ₽ · little data, days: 0
×2
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0084
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
18 517.48 ₽
at 9 258.74
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 18 601.52 ₽+9 342.78 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1973
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008445f′ (normalized) 0.021114wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
Set · 5 pcs56 116.81 ₽
−33 557.42
(−59.8%)
!
The gain is understated:19 outcomes have no price, that is 21.8% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
0% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
AWP | Hyper Beast
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0071
(0% of this wear's listings)
25 066.22 ₽
at 12 533.11
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) — 17 744.40 ₽+5 211.29 ₽ per item · on the market 30 · buy0.0000–0.0071
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007112f′ (normalized) 0.007112wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
on the market with this float, usually ~0,
new listings per day can't be counted yet · little data, days: 0
×3
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0071
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
27 776.22 ₽
at 9 258.74
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 18 601.52 ₽+9 342.78 ₽ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1945
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007112f′ (normalized) 0.017780wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 20 498.65 ₽sells 8 a weekmonth average 23 573.45 ₽, sold 15 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 20 275.82 ₽
(you get 17 631.14 ₽)) · buy orders: 381
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Night (Factory New)net 23 665.77 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 24 148.75 ₽listings 3 · you get 23 665.77 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 18 022.95 ₽
(you get 15 672.13 ₽)) · buy orders: 98
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Scorched (Factory New)net 11 435.30 ₽no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 11 668.68 ₽listings 3 · you get 11 435.30 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 7 518.27 ₽
(you get 6 537.62 ₽)) · buy orders: 109
month average 32 368.41 ₽, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 24 906.82 ₽
(you get 21 658.10 ₽)) · buy orders: 876
Steam★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 88 193.09 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 92 834.84 ₽listings 3 · you get 88 193.09 ₽ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 80 885.20 ₽
(you get 70 334.95 ₽)) · buy orders: 147
Steam★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 9 566.00 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionsells 12 a weeknow 11 000.90 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 12 137.33 ₽sell now to a buy order: 10 273.08 ₽
(you get 8 933.11 ₽)) · buy orders: 672
Steam★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 8 401.14 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionsells 7 a weeknow 9 661.31 ₽ — cheaper than the month average 11 835.23 ₽sell now to a buy order: 10 119.89 ₽
(you get 8 799.90 ₽)) · buy orders: 251
Steam★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 115 416.41 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 117 771.85 ₽listings 187 · you get 115 416.41 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 160 966.57 ₽
(you get 139 970.93 ₽)) · buy orders: 2195
Steam★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)net 80 944.63 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 93 086.32 ₽, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)net 56 077.62 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 57 222.07 ₽listings 6 · you get 56 077.62 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 54 827.62 ₽
(you get 47 676.19 ₽)) · buy orders: 573
Steam★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 114 542.35 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 116 879.95 ₽listings 19 · you get 114 542.35 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 153 240.13 ₽
(you get 133 252.28 ₽)) · buy orders: 282
Steam★ Karambit | Night (Factory New)net 216 936.27 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 221 363.55 ₽listings 3 · you get 216 936.27 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 61 760.14 ₽
(you get 53 704.46 ₽)) · buy orders: 108
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)net 36 138.43 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 36 875.95 ₽listings 6 · you get 36 138.43 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 36 836.21 ₽
(you get 32 031.48 ₽)) · buy orders: 90
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 459 508.10 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 468 885.82 ₽listings 3 · you get 459 508.10 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 274 994.17 ₽
(you get 239 125.36 ₽)) · buy orders: 40
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)net 78 807.03 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 80 415.34 ₽listings 6 · you get 78 807.03 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 51 965.31 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 53 025.83 ₽listings 8 · you get 51 965.31 ₽ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 36 057.61 ₽
(you get 31 354.44 ₽)) · buy orders: 46
Steam★ Gut Knifenet 5 099.93 ₽The Winter Offensive Collectionsells 21 a weekmonth average 5 864.92 ₽, sold 63 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 4 888.73 ₽
(you get 4 251.06 ₽)) · buy orders: 1821
rarely sells: 9 a month — calculated at the buy order 59 225.62 ₽sell now to a buy order: 58 567.38 ₽
(you get 50 928.15 ₽)) · buy orders: 1384
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 19% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1612 533.11 → 27 071.52 ₽
Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) × 49% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.3737 034.96 → 87 587.68 ₽
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Falchion Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−18 679.74 ₽a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−17 361.34 ₽historical median
7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
3 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3402371
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit −15 506.73₽
· invest 47 589.94₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.005943 instead of 0.006142
Craft 3402372
· The Gallery Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −15 506.73₽
· invest 47 589.94₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New) instead of AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.005943 instead of 0.006142
Craft 3402277
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit −16 969.22₽
· invest 49 568.07₽
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.