The Recoil Collection + The Fracture Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −150 513.00₸

Invest at least 368 499.38₸

Average return 217 986.38₸

ROI −40.8%

Chance of profit 17%

With float: invest at least 368 499.38 ₸, profit at most −150 513.00 ₸

float premium: at least 197 410 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +81 898.13 ₸ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −53 940 ₸

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −51 342.67 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

112 472.15 ₸

at 37 490.72

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 52 130.92 ₸ +14 640.20 ₸ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×2

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

51 725.04 ₸

at 25 862.52

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) — 38 318.73 ₸ +12 456.21 ₸ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 164 197.19 ₸ +53 789.19 (+32.8%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.7% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −40 633 ₸

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈2

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

149 962.87 ₸

at 37 490.72

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 52 130.92 ₸ +14 640.20 ₸ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

25 862.52 ₸

at 25 862.52

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) — 38 318.73 ₸ +12 456.21 ₸ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 175 825.39 ₸ +81 898.13 (+46.6%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 2.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −67 247 ₸

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

74 981.43 ₸

at 37 490.72

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 52 130.92 ₸ +14 640.20 ₸ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0114

Steam

×3

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0094

77 587.56 ₸

at 25 862.52

if this one runs out, you can take

Desert Eagle | Printstream (Factory New) — 38 318.73 ₸ +12 456.21 ₸ per item · on the market 94 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 152 568.99 ₸ +25 680.31 (+16.8%)

What you get 76 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 54%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97 467.69 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

278 195.23 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 293.34 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 235.29 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

354 923.68 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

100 856.61 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98 474.09 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328 094.63 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

793 990.50 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 984.19 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

291 304.20 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

495 111.71 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 798.13 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700 178.64 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

229 795.11 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

441 385.00 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

573 458.28 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294 256.65 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 218 009.83 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

84 348.42 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

271 319.81 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

172 092.11 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

161 744.37 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

66 760.66 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

62 484.62 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

67 520.34 ₸ 0.77%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

50 141.68 ₸ 0.77%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

84 466.52 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 160.14 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 264.20 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 310.30 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

61 781.24 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31 234.66 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 446.41 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 975.21 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

67 918.12 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

76 665.74 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

70 457.89 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

48 674.74 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

96 682.08 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 343.13 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 416.72 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Paracord Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

404 077.80 ₸ 0.77%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 719.72 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 055.31 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81 486.46 ₸ 0.77%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Paracord Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 369.32 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

154 128.79 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

137 498.67 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

118 730.62 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

105 698.70 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

156 542.86 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 315.68 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 892.47 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

363 236.18 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

86 397.16 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 656.07 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 361.62 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

90 330.36 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

230 948.01 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

224 968.20 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Skeleton Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

189 574.70 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

155 916.19 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

304 474.82 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

131 599.85 ₸ 0.77%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Skeleton Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Skeleton Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

588 060.63 ₸ 0.77%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

94 499.77 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112 964.36 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

177 071.59 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

162 427.29 ₸ 0.77%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Paracord Knife

no wear

24 224.16 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Survival Knife

no wear

25 652.58 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Nomad Knife

no wear

65 649.65 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Skeleton Knife

no wear

104 990.08 ₸ 0.77%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) × 3 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 112 472.15 → 254 187.06 ₸

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) × 2 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 51 725.04 → 114 312.34 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Clutch Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +38 433.29 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +50 694.57 ₸ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402073 · The Recoil Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 59 185.87₸ · invest 167 071.69₸
profit on prices without salesat least −52 329 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008154 instead of 0.009459
Craft 3402075 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 59 185.87₸ · invest 167 071.69₸
profit on prices without salesat least −52 329 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.008154 instead of 0.009459
Craft 3402325 · The Fracture Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 53 789.21₸ · invest 164 197.19₸
profit on prices without salesat least −53 940 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 76 outcomes

More

How to build