The Gallery Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −456 025.04₸

Invest at least 1 420 797.16₸

Average return 964 772.07₸

ROI −32.1%

Chance of profit 15%

With float: invest at least 1 420 797.16 ₸, profit at most −456 025.04 ₸

float premium: at least 776 207 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +524 929.20 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −575 880.05 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

118 720.84 ₸

at 59 360.42

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) — 79 475.51 ₸ +20 115.09 ₸ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0063

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0077

512 577.04 ₸

at 170 859.01

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 249 135.45 ₸ +78 276.44 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0108

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 631 297.88 ₸ +333 474.19 (+52.8%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 5.0% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈1

×3

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

178 081.26 ₸

at 59 360.42

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) — 79 475.51 ₸ +20 115.09 ₸ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0068

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0083

341 718.02 ₸

at 170 859.01

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 249 135.45 ₸ +78 276.44 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0116

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 519 799.28 ₸ +142 019.24 (+27.3%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

59 360.42 ₸

at 59 360.42

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) — 79 475.51 ₸ +20 115.09 ₸ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0072

683 436.05 ₸

at 170 859.01

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 249 135.45 ₸ +78 276.44 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0100

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 742 796.47 ₸ +524 929.20 (+70.7%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 73%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

81 327.42 ₸ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

66 839.62 ₸ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

65 002.17 ₸ 3.08%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

51 649.06 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

114 555.20 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41 750.62 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 502.80 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

136 721.05 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 640.20 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 900.84 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 545.04 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

50 972.56 ₸ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife

no wear

43 467.60 ₸ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339 123.99 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

305 948.51 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 530.54 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

522 196.93 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

296 520.17 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 467 228.96 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

348 515.49 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

987 674.55 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

516 080.91 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 405.31 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

853 344.34 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

207 797.91 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 923 985.90 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 264 185.01 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 025 431.16 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 493 918.43 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 681 039.75 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328 739.75 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

139 151.49 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 298.67 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159 966.99 ₸ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Gallery Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 4 The Chroma Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +327 204.08 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +332 319.43 ₸ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gallery Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Gallery Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build