The Operation Hydra Collection + The Gallery Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −103 485.24₴

Invest at least 200 314.31₴

Average return 96 829.07₴

ROI −51.7%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 200 314.31 ₴, profit at most −103 485.24 ₴

float premium: at least 107 451 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +18 633.38 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −83 336.27 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0117

76 982.88 ₴

at 25 660.96

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 044.39 ₴ +5 383.43 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0117

11 915.38 ₴

at 5 957.69

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) — 7 976.54 ₴ +2 018.85 ₴ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0096

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 88 898.27 ₴ +7 930.80 (+8.9%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 10.0% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0125

102 643.84 ₴

at 25 660.96

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 044.39 ₴ +5 383.43 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0125

5 957.69 ₴

at 5 957.69

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Factory New) — 7 976.54 ₴ +2 018.85 ₴ per item · on the market 49 · buy 0.0000–0.0102

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 108 601.54 ₴ +18 633.38 (+17.2%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 18%
Losing outcome 75%
Above the Steam cap 8%

Order

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

8 162.40 ₴ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

6 708.34 ₴ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

6 523.92 ₴ 3.08%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 183.74 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

11 497.30 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 190.29 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 466.51 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 721.97 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 379.94 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 502.81 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 076.59 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 115.85 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife

no wear

4 362.61 ₴ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 036.08 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 706.43 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 693.66 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 410.14 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 760.16 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247 622.71 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 978.66 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

99 127.67 ₴ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 796.31 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 626.38 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 645.65 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 855.58 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

193 100.28 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 331 256.03 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

404 011.22 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

149 936.68 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

971 634.71 ₴ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 993.87 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 965.90 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 099.27 ₴ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 055.04 ₴ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 6 The Breakout Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7 301.50 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7 814.90 ₴ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gallery Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build