The Operation Hydra Collection + The Glove Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +631 566.08₸

Invest 939 113.19₸

Average return 1 570 679.27₸

ROI +67.2%

Chance of profit 25%

With float: invest at least 2 168 588.86 ₸, profit at most −597 909.59 ₸

float premium: at least 1 211 694 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 12.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −884 024.37 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

255 677.14 ₸

at 255 677.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 309 315.84 ₸ +53 638.69 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0037

Steam

×4

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0075

683 436.05 ₸

at 170 859.01

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 249 135.45 ₸ +78 276.44 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0105

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 939 113.19 ₸ +631 566.08 (+67.2%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 12.5% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

1 022 708.57 ₸

at 255 677.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 309 315.84 ₸ +53 638.69 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0056

Steam

×1

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0112

170 859.01 ₸

at 170 859.01

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 249 135.45 ₸ +78 276.44 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0157

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 193 567.58 ₸ +377 111.69 (+31.6%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 12.5% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

767 031.42 ₸

at 255 677.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 309 315.84 ₸ +53 638.69 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0048

Steam

×2

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

341 718.02 ₸

at 170 859.01

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 249 135.45 ₸ +78 276.44 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0135

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 108 749.45 ₸ +461 929.82 (+41.7%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 12.5% of the chance

Less than 1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

511 354.28 ₸

at 255 677.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 309 315.84 ₸ +53 638.69 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0042

Steam

×3

SSG 08 | Dragonfire

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0084

512 577.04 ₸

at 170 859.01

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Factory New) — 249 135.45 ₸ +78 276.44 ₸ per item · on the market 45 · buy 0.0000–0.0118

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 023 931.32 ₸ +546 747.95 (+53.4%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 58%
About break-even 4%
Above the Steam cap 12%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339 123.99 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

305 948.51 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 530.54 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

522 196.93 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

296 520.17 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 467 228.96 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

348 515.49 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

987 674.55 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

516 080.91 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 405.31 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

853 344.34 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

207 797.91 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 923 985.90 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 264 185.01 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 025 431.16 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 493 918.43 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 681 039.75 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328 739.75 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

139 151.49 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 298.67 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159 966.99 ₸ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339 123.99 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

305 948.51 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 530.54 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

522 196.93 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

296 520.17 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 467 228.96 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

348 515.49 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

987 674.55 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

516 080.91 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 405.31 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

853 344.34 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

207 797.91 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 923 985.90 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 264 185.01 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 025 431.16 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 493 918.43 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 681 039.75 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328 739.75 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

139 151.49 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 298.67 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159 966.99 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Operation Hydra Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 only The Glove Collection Variant 3 The Chroma Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Falchion Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Glove Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +626 149.40 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +630 884.12 ₸ historical median

4% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Glove Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402446 · The Glove Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 631 566.09₸ · invest 939 113.19₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Operation Hydra Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build