The Kilowatt Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −9 518.13₴

Invest 16 949.98₴

Average return 7 431.84₴

ROI −56.1%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 37 982.39 ₴, profit at most −30 550.55 ₴

float premium: at least 20 278 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: −9 152.10 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈11

×2

AWP | Chrome Cannon

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

6 491.10 ₴

at 3 245.55

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Inheritance (Factory New) — 5 277.57 ₴ +2 032.02 ₴ per item · on the market 155 · buy 0.0000–0.0085

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

10 458.87 ₴

at 3 486.29

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 36 354.98 ₴ +32 868.69 ₴ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0138

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 16 949.98 ₴ −9 518.13 (−56.1%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 5%
Losing outcome 77%
About break-even 5%
Above the Steam cap 14%

Order

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 718.10 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

13 728.03 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

14 955.88 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

13 212.46 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 299.62 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 923.69 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 190.61 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 365.70 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 191.83 ₴ 4.62%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

5 662.65 ₴ 4.62%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

8 162.40 ₴ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

6 708.34 ₴ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

6 523.92 ₴ 3.08%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 183.74 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

11 497.30 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 190.29 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 466.51 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 721.97 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 379.94 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 502.81 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 076.59 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 115.85 ₴ 3.08%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife

no wear

4 362.61 ₴ 3.08%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Kilowatt Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection Variant 5 The Revolution Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 6 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Kilowatt Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −10 083.45 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −9 670.31 ₴ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Kilowatt Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Kilowatt Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

More

How to build