The Huntsman Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit −11 574.43₸

Invest 394 622.07₸

Average return 383 047.63₸

ROI −2.9%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 880 867.38 ₸, profit at most −497 819.74 ₸

float premium: at least 475 916 ₸

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +216 326.59 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 21.0% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −314 692.53 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈1

×4

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

138 944.92 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0129

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

255 677.14 ₸

at 255 677.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 309 315.84 ₸ +53 638.69 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0050

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 394 622.07 ₸ −11 574.43 (−2.9%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 14.6% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈2

×1

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0124

34 736.23 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0160

Steam

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0124

1 022 708.57 ₸

at 255 677.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 309 315.84 ₸ +53 638.69 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0062

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 1 057 444.80 ₸ +216 326.59 (+20.5%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 16.7% of the chance

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈2

×2

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0115

69 472.46 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0148

Steam

×3

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0115

767 031.42 ₸

at 255 677.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 309 315.84 ₸ +53 638.69 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0057

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 836 503.89 ₸ +140 359.57 (+16.8%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 18.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 062 ₸

2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈2

×3

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

104 208.69 ₸

at 34 736.23

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Vulcan (Factory New) — 362 228.71 ₸ +327 492.47 ₸ per item · on the market 20 · buy 0.0000–0.0138

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

511 354.28 ₸

at 255 677.14

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 309 315.84 ₸ +53 638.69 ₸ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0053

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 615 562.98 ₸ +64 392.59 (+10.5%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 8%
Losing outcome 70%
About break-even 1%
Above the Steam cap 21%

Order

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

126 718.85 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

136 781.46 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

149 015.35 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

131 644.51 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

152 440.21 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

68 985.26 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

231 063.41 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

192 953.33 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

41 765.97 ₸ 6.15%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

56 420.68 ₸ 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

339 123.99 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

305 948.51 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 530.54 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

522 196.93 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

296 520.17 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 467 228.96 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

348 515.49 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

987 674.55 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

516 080.91 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 405.31 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

853 344.34 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

207 797.91 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 923 985.90 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 264 185.01 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 025 431.16 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 493 918.43 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 681 039.75 ₸ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328 739.75 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

139 151.49 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 298.67 ₸ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

159 966.99 ₸ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Huntsman Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 3 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 6 The Operation Riptide Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −16 141.12 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −12 738.36 ₸ historical median

7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Operation Hydra Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402531 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −11 574.42₸ · invest 394 622.07₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Huntsman Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build