The Snakebite Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −40 499.94₴

Invest at least 95 911.73₴

Average return 55 411.79₴

ROI −42.2%

Chance of profit 8%

With float: invest at least 95 911.73 ₴, profit at most −40 499.94 ₴

float premium: at least 51 042 ₴

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +25 160.18 ₴ по средним

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 5.8% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −30 646.47 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0111

17 117.99 ₴

at 4 279.50

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 5 699.40 ₴ +1 419.90 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0141

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0111

25 660.96 ₴

at 25 660.96

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 044.39 ₴ +5 383.43 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0055

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 42 778.96 ₴ +12 632.84 (+29.5%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 10.8% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0128

4 279.50 ₴

at 4 279.50

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 5 699.40 ₴ +1 419.90 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0162

Steam

×4

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0128

102 643.84 ₴

at 25 660.96

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 044.39 ₴ +5 383.43 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0064

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 106 923.34 ₴ +25 160.18 (+23.5%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

≈3% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈1

×2

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0122

8 559.00 ₴

at 4 279.50

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 5 699.40 ₴ +1 419.90 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0154

Steam

×3

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0122

76 982.88 ₴

at 25 660.96

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 044.39 ₴ +5 383.43 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0061

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 85 541.88 ₴ +20 984.40 (+24.5%)

The gain is understated: 4 outcomes have no price, that is 7.5% of the chance

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0116

12 838.50 ₴

at 4 279.50

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 5 699.40 ₴ +1 419.90 ₴ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0147

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0116

51 321.92 ₴

at 25 660.96

if this one runs out, you can take

AWP | Oni Taiji (Factory New) — 31 044.39 ₴ +5 383.43 ₴ per item · on the market 11 · buy 0.0000–0.0058

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 64 160.42 ₴ +16 808.62 (+26.2%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 25%
Losing outcome 66%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 782.32 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 920.98 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 954.61 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 461.54 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

35 621.81 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 122.44 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 883.32 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 929.12 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 688.62 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 967.34 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 236.66 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 691.74 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 720.52 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

70 273.22 ₴ 3.33%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 063.32 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 299.48 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

57 554.97 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 532.98 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

122 245.20 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 465.60 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 230.93 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 271.97 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 233.43 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 036.08 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 706.43 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 693.66 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 410.14 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 760.16 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

247 622.71 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 978.66 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

99 127.67 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 796.31 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 626.38 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 645.65 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

20 855.58 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

193 100.28 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 331 256.03 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

404 011.22 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

149 936.68 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

971 634.71 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

32 993.87 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 965.90 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 099.27 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 055.04 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Snakebite Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Operation Hydra Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +11 112.60 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +12 327.29 ₴ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402644 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 12 632.84₴ · invest 42 778.96₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Snakebite Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build