The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit · by float −600 913.83₸ by average prices it would be +130 068.23

Invest 942 497.95₸

Average return 341 584.12₸

ROI −63.8% market check 24.10 15:45 MSK

Chance of profit 4%

With float: invest at least 465 206.66 ₸, profit at most −123 622.60 ₸

float premium: at least 248 948 ₸

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +139 326.68 ₸ по средним

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −90 359.27 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈5

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0183

74 981.43 ₸

at 37 490.72

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 52 130.92 ₸ +14 640.20 ₸ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0222

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0033

44 868.63 ₸

at 44 868.63

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 45 832.91 ₸ +964.28 ₸ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0000–0.0026

Steam

×2

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

91 665.82 ₸

at 45 832.91

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) — 44 868.63 ₸ cheaper by 964.28 ₸ · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0059

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 211 515.89 ₸ +130 068.23 (+61.5%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 0.8% of the chance

2% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (estimate)

×1

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0109

37 490.72 ₸

at 37 490.72

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 52 130.92 ₸ +14 640.20 ₸ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0132

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0109

44 868.63 ₸

at 44 868.63

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 45 832.91 ₸ +964.28 ₸ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0000–0.0087

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0109

137 498.73 ₸

at 45 832.91

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) — 44 868.63 ₸ cheaper by 964.28 ₸ · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0136

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 219 858.08 ₸ +136 433.84 (+62.1%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 49%
Losing outcome 49%
Above the Steam cap 2%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 353.24 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

470 914.77 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 509.23 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 277.85 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

168 708.87 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

338 625.99 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

274 416.00 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

126 638.14 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

510 136.65 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

862 919.01 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

135 383.40 ₸ 2.50%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 289.54 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

717 922.86 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

85 596.14 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

429 614.75 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

288 276.90 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

562 143.39 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 445 105.40 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

894 087.54 ₸ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

224 937.67 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91 660.31 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

227 777.19 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 469.43 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 225.31 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

97 467.69 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

278 195.23 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 293.34 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 235.29 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

354 923.68 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

100 856.61 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98 474.09 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328 094.63 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

793 990.50 ₸ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

188 984.19 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

291 304.20 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

495 111.71 ₸ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

385 798.13 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

700 178.64 ₸ 1.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

229 795.11 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

441 385.00 ₸ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

573 458.28 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

294 256.65 ₸ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 218 009.83 ₸ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

84 348.42 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

271 319.81 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

172 092.11 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

161 744.37 ₸ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) × 2 26% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 74 981.43 → 165 708.97 ₸

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 44 868.63 → 96 916.25 ₸

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) × 2 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 91 665.82 → 202 581.46 ₸

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

all outcomes come out up to 0.069999

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +111 601.51 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +127 234.95 ₸ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build