The Snakebite Collection + The Recoil Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −320.72$

Invest at least 977.80$

Average return 657.08$

ROI −32.8%

Chance of profit 21%

With float: invest at least 977.80 $, profit at most −320.72 $

float premium: at least 519 $

Hard to build: not enough fitting lots for a single contract

A more profitable set was dropped: +231.63 $ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −83 $

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 4.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −133.46 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0

×2

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0099

188.38 $

at 94.19

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 125.44 $ +31.25 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0125

Steam

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0099

248.45 $

at 82.82

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 115.15 $ +32.34 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0120

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 436.82 $ +220.25 (+50.4%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 4.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −106 $

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0

×4

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0104

376.75 $

at 94.19

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 125.44 $ +31.25 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0131

Steam

×1

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0104

82.82 $

at 82.82

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 115.15 $ +32.34 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0126

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 459.57 $ +197.51 (+43.0%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 4.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −94 $

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0

×3

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

282.57 $

at 94.19

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 125.44 $ +31.25 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0128

Steam

×2

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0101

165.63 $

at 82.82

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 115.15 $ +32.34 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0123

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 448.20 $ +208.88 (+46.6%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 4.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −72 $

1% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0

×1

M4A4 | In Living Color

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

94.19 $

at 94.19

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | The Traitor (Factory New) — 125.44 $ +31.25 $ per item · on the market 22 · buy 0.0000–0.0122

Steam

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

331.26 $

at 82.82

if this one runs out, you can take

USP-S | Printstream (Factory New) — 115.15 $ +32.34 $ per item · on the market 59 · buy 0.0000–0.0117

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 425.45 $ +231.63 (+54.4%)

What you get 48 outcomes

Profitable outcome 54%
Losing outcome 38%
About break-even 4%
Above the Steam cap 4%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

215.30 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

614.52 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

153.07 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

230.25 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

784.01 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

222.79 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

217.52 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

724.75 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 753.89 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

417.46 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

643.48 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 093.68 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

852.21 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 546.66 $ 2.50%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

507.61 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

975.00 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 266.74 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

650.00 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 690.53 $ 2.50%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186.32 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

599.33 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

380.14 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

357.29 $ 2.50%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

215.30 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

614.52 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

153.07 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

230.25 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

784.01 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

222.79 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

217.52 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

724.75 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 753.89 $ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

417.46 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

643.48 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 093.68 $ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

852.21 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 546.66 $ 1.67%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

507.61 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

975.00 $ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 266.74 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

650.00 $ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 690.53 $ 1.67%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.67%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

186.32 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

599.33 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

380.14 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

357.29 $ 1.67%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Snakebite Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Snakebite Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +181.42 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +212.22 $ historical median

8% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Snakebite Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Snakebite Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 48 outcomes

More

How to build