The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +8 526.23₴

Invest 22 359.18₴

Average return 30 885.41₴

ROI +38.1%

Chance of profit 37%

With float: invest at least 49 675.83 ₴, profit at most −18 790.42 ₴

float premium: at least 26 915 ₴

To build: medium

A more profitable set was dropped: +8 816.56 ₴ по средним

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −763 ₴

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −12 399.99 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0161

4 055.93 ₴

at 4 055.93

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 23 299.40 ₴ +19 243.46 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0253

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

4 503.23 ₴

at 4 503.23

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 4 600.01 ₴ +96.78 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×3

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

13 800.02 ₴

at 4 600.01

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) — 4 503.23 ₴ cheaper by 96.78 ₴ · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0111

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 22 359.18 ₴ +8 526.23 (+38.1%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

≈2% of lots fit: на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈1

×1

M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0161

4 055.93 ₴

at 4 055.93

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Factory New) — 23 299.40 ₴ +19 243.46 ₴ per item · on the market 19 · buy 0.0000–0.0253

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Fuel Injector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0111

23 299.40 ₴

at 23 299.40

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) — 4 055.93 ₴ cheaper by 19 243.46 ₴ · on the market 39 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

4 503.23 ₴

at 4 503.23

if this one runs out, you can take

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) — 4 600.01 ₴ +96.78 ₴ per item · on the market 118 · buy 0.0000–0.0071

Steam

×2

M4A4 | Temukau

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0088

9 200.01 ₴

at 4 600.01

if this one runs out, you can take

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) — 4 503.23 ₴ cheaper by 96.78 ₴ · on the market 68 · buy 0.0000–0.0110

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 41 058.57 ₴ −16 523.04 (−40.2%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 59%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 079.22 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 263.22 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

19 120.40 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 755.97 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 932.42 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 986.10 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

27 541.68 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 710.00 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 199.71 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

86 606.61 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 587.72 ₴ 3.33%

rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 653.13 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 054.12 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 590.83 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 118.16 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28 932.83 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

56 419.36 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

245 402.28 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

89 734.83 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 575.80 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 199.46 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22 860.79 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 663.89 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 349.24 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals rarely sells

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 416.75 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

11 921.76 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

12 964.58 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 166.99 ₴ 1.54%

rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

12 630.12 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 055.61 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 000.70 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 775.43 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 058.19 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals rarely sells pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife

no wear

4 024.25 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 1 23% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 055.93 → 8 760.82 ₴

AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New) × 1 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 503.23 → 9 726.97 ₴

M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New) × 3 13% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 13 800.02 → 31 188.04 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.013378, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.013513, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6 847.27 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8 308.99 ₴ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Revolution Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 3402709 · The Revolution Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 8 562.58₴ · invest 23 529.28₴
profit on prices without salesat least −601 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3402710 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 8 562.58₴ · invest 23 529.28₴
profit on prices without salesat least −601 ₴ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.011750 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3402794 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 8 526.23₴ · invest 22 359.18₴
profit on prices without salesat least −763 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 3402605 · The Revolution Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit 8 366.75₴ · invest 27 392.38₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 858 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009611 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.009611 instead of 0.008897
Craft 3402606 · The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 8 366.75₴ · invest 27 392.38₴
profit on prices without salesat least −2 858 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009611 instead of 0.008897; M4A4 | Temukau (Factory New): float at most 0.009611 instead of 0.008897

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build