The Winter Offensive Collection
+ The Spectrum Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3402879 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0059
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
208 281.85 ₸
at 52 070.46
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 104 613.56 ₸+52 543.10 ₸ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1921
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005912f′ (normalized) 0.014780wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
USP-S | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0059
(2% of this wear's listings)
65 799.48 ₸
at 65 799.48
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 86 025.75 ₸+20 226.28 ₸ per item · on the market 116 · buy0.0000–0.0038
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005912f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 47 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 126 786.56 ₸ · little data, days: 2
Set · 5 pcs274 081.32 ₸
−71 694.36
(−26.2%)
!
The gain is understated:17 outcomes have no price, that is 5.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0082
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
52 070.46 ₸
at 52 070.46
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 104 613.56 ₸+52 543.10 ₸ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1968
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008225f′ (normalized) 0.020563wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
USP-S | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0082
(2% of this wear's listings)
263 197.90 ₸
at 65 799.48
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 86 025.75 ₸+20 226.28 ₸ per item · on the market 116 · buy0.0000–0.0052
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008225f′ (normalized) 0.011750wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 47 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 126 786.56 ₸ · little data, days: 2
Set · 5 pcs315 268.37 ₸
−140 412.77
(−44.5%)
!
The gain is understated:17 outcomes have no price, that is 10.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0072
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
104 140.92 ₸
at 52 070.46
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 104 613.56 ₸+52 543.10 ₸ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1949
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007276f′ (normalized) 0.018191wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
USP-S | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0072
(2% of this wear's listings)
197 398.43 ₸
at 65 799.48
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 86 025.75 ₸+20 226.28 ₸ per item · on the market 116 · buy0.0000–0.0046
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007276f′ (normalized) 0.010394wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 47 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 126 786.56 ₸ · little data, days: 2
Set · 5 pcs301 539.35 ₸
−117 506.63
(−39.0%)
!
The gain is understated:17 outcomes have no price, that is 15.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0065
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
156 211.39 ₸
at 52 070.46
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 104 613.56 ₸+52 543.10 ₸ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1933
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006523f′ (normalized) 0.016309wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
USP-S | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0065
(2% of this wear's listings)
131 598.95 ₸
at 65 799.48
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 86 025.75 ₸+20 226.28 ₸ per item · on the market 116 · buy0.0000–0.0041
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006523f′ (normalized) 0.009319wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 47 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 126 786.56 ₸ · little data, days: 2
month average 182 037.52 ₸, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 140 074.10 ₸
(you get 121 803.54 ₸)) · buy orders: 876
Steam★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 133 187.65 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 135 905.81 ₸listings 3 · you get 133 187.65 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 495 991.35 ₸no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 522 096.21 ₸listings 3 · you get 495 991.35 ₸ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 454 892.32 ₸
(you get 395 558.50 ₸)) · buy orders: 147
Steam★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 53 798.47 ₸sells 12 a weeknow 61 868.24 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 68 259.44 ₸sell now to a buy order: 57 775.03 ₸
(you get 50 239.14 ₸)) · buy orders: 672
Steam★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 47 247.38 ₸sells 7 a weeknow 54 334.49 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 66 560.45 ₸sell now to a buy order: 56 913.51 ₸
(you get 49 489.98 ₸)) · buy orders: 251
Steam★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 649 093.27 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 662 340.09 ₸listings 187 · you get 649 093.27 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 905 263.97 ₸
(you get 787 186.05 ₸)) · buy orders: 2195
Steam★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)net 455 226.55 ₸sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 523 510.51 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)net 315 376.35 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 321 812.65 ₸listings 6 · you get 315 376.35 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 308 346.44 ₸
(you get 268 127.33 ₸)) · buy orders: 573
Steam★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 644 177.62 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 657 324.11 ₸listings 19 · you get 644 177.62 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 861 811.04 ₸
(you get 749 400.87 ₸)) · buy orders: 282
Steam★ Karambit | Night (Factory New)net 1 220 033.38 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 244 932.07 ₸listings 3 · you get 1 220 033.38 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 347 334.41 ₸
(you get 302 029.87 ₸)) · buy orders: 108
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)net 370 920.37 ₸sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 426 558.42 ₸sell now to a buy order: 420 946.93 ₸
(you get 366 040.77 ₸)) · buy orders: 1050
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)net 203 239.83 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 207 387.59 ₸listings 6 · you get 203 239.83 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 207 164.09 ₸
(you get 180 142.65 ₸)) · buy orders: 90
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 310 110.27 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 316 439.10 ₸listings 3 · you get 310 110.27 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 2 584 239.23 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 2 636 978.83 ₸listings 3 · you get 2 584 239.23 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 546 546.67 ₸
(you get 1 344 823.16 ₸)) · buy orders: 40
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)net 443 204.85 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 452 249.87 ₸listings 6 · you get 443 204.85 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 292 249.02 ₸no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 298 213.31 ₸listings 8 · you get 292 249.02 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 202 785.31 ₸
(you get 176 335.03 ₸)) · buy orders: 46
Steam★ Flip Knifenet 71 733.28 ₸sells 7 a weeknow 82 493.25 ₸ — cheaper than the month average 99 979.67 ₸sell now to a buy order: 83 758.58 ₸
(you get 72 833.54 ₸)) · buy orders: 1379
Steam★ Gut Knifenet 28 681.63 ₸sells 21 a weekmonth average 32 983.87 ₸, sold 63 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 27 493.85 ₸
(you get 23 907.64 ₸)) · buy orders: 1821
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 814 241.41 ₸The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 830 858.59 ₸listings 492 · you get 814 241.41 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 840 713.90 ₸The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 857 871.37 ₸listings 3 · you get 840 713.90 ₸ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 679 809.52 ₸
(you get 591 138.66 ₸)) · buy orders: 73
month average 33 073.12 ₸, sold 31 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 30 696.79 ₸
(you get 26 692.84 ₸)) · buy orders: 267
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 113 743.66 ₸The Spectrum Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 130 805.19 ₸, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) × 48% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37208 281.85 → 492 586.57 ₸
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 18% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.1665 799.48 → 142 126.87 ₸
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Winter Offensive Collection + The Spectrum Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−83 266.66 ₸a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−74 067.26 ₸historical median
7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
11 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401955
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −70 025.95₸
· invest 276 990.58₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.003941 instead of 0.005912
Craft 3401956
· The Chroma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −70 025.95₸
· invest 276 990.58₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.003941 instead of 0.005912
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.005912
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.005912
Craft 3402880
· The Spectrum Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −71 694.33₸
· invest 274 081.32₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3402401
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −71 862.28₸
· invest 285 239.75₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.005912
Craft 3402402
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −71 862.28₸
· invest 285 239.75₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.005912
Craft 3402869
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −74 334.94₸
· invest 276 721.93₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3402870
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −74 334.94₸
· invest 276 721.93₸
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006131 instead of 0.005912
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006131 instead of 0.005912
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.