The Winter Offensive Collection
+ The Spectrum Collection
Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5About the craftCraft 3402879 · ways to build: 4A contract of five Covert. The outcome is a knife or gloves from the inputs' collection, and it has many outcomes: the chance of a particular item is therefore small, and what counts is the average over all outcomes.The Steam fee is included. You can sell the outcome a week after crafting.
How to build
Ways to build
4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.
!
≈2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 4 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×4
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0059
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
460.09 $
at 115.02
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 231.09 $+116.07 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1921
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005912f′ (normalized) 0.014780wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×1
USP-S | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0059
(2% of this wear's listings)
145.35 $
at 145.35
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 190.03 $+44.68 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy0.0000–0.0038
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.005912f′ (normalized) 0.008445wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 47 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 280.07 $ · little data, days: 2
Set · 5 pcs605.43 $
−158.37
(−26.2%)
!
The gain is understated:17 outcomes have no price, that is 5.2% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 1 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×1
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0082
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
115.02 $
at 115.02
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 231.09 $+116.07 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1968
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008225f′ (normalized) 0.020563wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×4
USP-S | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0082
(2% of this wear's listings)
581.39 $
at 145.35
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 190.03 $+44.68 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy0.0000–0.0052
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.008225f′ (normalized) 0.011750wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 47 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 280.07 $ · little data, days: 2
Set · 5 pcs696.41 $
−310.17
(−44.5%)
!
The gain is understated:17 outcomes have no price, that is 10.5% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 2 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×2
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0072
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
230.04 $
at 115.02
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 231.09 $+116.07 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1949
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007276f′ (normalized) 0.018191wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×3
USP-S | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0072
(2% of this wear's listings)
436.04 $
at 145.35
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 190.03 $+44.68 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy0.0000–0.0046
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.007276f′ (normalized) 0.010394wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 47 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 280.07 $ · little data, days: 2
Set · 5 pcs666.09 $
−259.57
(−39.0%)
!
The gain is understated:17 outcomes have no price, that is 15.7% of the chance
They have no price on Steam: they are above its cap. They count as zero in the calculation, so the profit shown is a lower bound, and noticeably so.
!
2% of lots fit:на контракт не хватает: нужно 3 шт., годных ≈0≈ market listings are not enough for even one contract (estimate)
×3
Sawed-Off | The Kraken
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0065
(≈2% of this wear's listings)
345.06 $
at 115.02
if this one runs out, you can take
M4A4 | Asiimov (Field-Tested) — 231.09 $+116.07 $ per item · on the market 55 · buy0.1800–0.1933
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006523f′ (normalized) 0.016309wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 33 · good ≈ 0
Market history: no data yet
×2
USP-S | Neo-Noir
Factory New
buy0.0000–0.0065
(2% of this wear's listings)
290.70 $
at 145.35
if this one runs out, you can take
AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) — 190.03 $+44.68 $ per item · on the market 116 · buy0.0000–0.0041
SteamBuyLis-SkinsCSFloatMarket.CSGOPurchase detailsexact upper edge 0.006523f′ (normalized) 0.009319wear 0.0000–0.0700on the market 47 · good ≈ 1
on the market with this float, usually ~1,
new listings per day: fewer than one, cheapest usually 280.07 $ · little data, days: 2
Steam★ Bayonet | Fade (Factory New)net 314.30 $sells 8 a weeknow 361.45 $ — cheaper than the month average 452.45 $sell now to a buy order: 356.31 $
(you get 309.84 $)) · buy orders: 1810
month average 402.11 $, sold 17 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 309.42 $
(you get 269.06 $)) · buy orders: 876
Steam★ Flip Knife | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 294.21 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 300.21 $listings 3 · you get 294.21 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Flip Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 1 095.62 $no price on Steam, listing on Market.CSGO from 1 153.29 $listings 3 · you get 1 095.62 $ (5.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 004.84 $
(you get 873.77 $)) · buy orders: 147
Steam★ Gut Knife | Fade (Factory New)net 118.84 $sells 12 a weeknow 136.66 $ — cheaper than the month average 150.78 $sell now to a buy order: 127.62 $
(you get 110.98 $)) · buy orders: 672
Steam★ Gut Knife | Slaughter (Factory New)net 104.37 $sells 7 a weeknow 120.02 $ — cheaper than the month average 147.03 $sell now to a buy order: 125.72 $
(you get 109.32 $)) · buy orders: 251
Steam★ Karambit | Fade (Factory New)net 1 433.82 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 463.08 $listings 187 · you get 1 433.82 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 999.69 $
(you get 1 738.86 $)) · buy orders: 2195
Steam★ Karambit | Slaughter (Factory New)net 1 005.58 $sells 1 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the current 1 156.41 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
Steam★ Karambit | Stained (Factory New)net 696.65 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 710.87 $listings 6 · you get 696.65 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 681.12 $
(you get 592.28 $)) · buy orders: 573
Steam★ Karambit | Case Hardened (Factory New)net 1 422.96 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 452.00 $listings 19 · you get 1 422.96 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 903.70 $
(you get 1 655.39 $)) · buy orders: 282
Steam★ Karambit | Night (Factory New)net 2 695.00 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 2 750.00 $listings 3 · you get 2 695.00 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 767.25 $
(you get 667.17 $)) · buy orders: 108
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Slaughter (Factory New)net 819.35 $sells 3 a weekrarely sells: 3 a month — calculated at the buy order 942.25 $sell now to a buy order: 929.85 $
(you get 808.57 $)) · buy orders: 1050
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Stained (Factory New)net 448.95 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 458.11 $listings 6 · you get 448.95 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 457.62 $
(you get 397.93 $)) · buy orders: 90
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Forest DDPAT (Factory New)net 685.02 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 699.00 $listings 3 · you get 685.02 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Factory New)net 5 708.47 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 5 824.97 $listings 3 · you get 5 708.47 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 3 416.25 $
(you get 2 970.66 $)) · buy orders: 40
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Night (Factory New)net 979.02 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 999.00 $listings 6 · you get 979.02 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ M9 Bayonet | Urban Masked (Factory New)net 645.57 $no price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 658.74 $listings 8 · you get 645.57 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 447.94 $
(you get 389.52 $)) · buy orders: 46
Steam★ Flip Knifenet 158.46 $sells 7 a weeknow 182.22 $ — cheaper than the month average 220.85 $sell now to a buy order: 185.02 $
(you get 160.89 $)) · buy orders: 1379
Steam★ Gut Knifenet 63.36 $sells 21 a weekmonth average 72.86 $, sold 63 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 60.73 $
(you get 52.81 $)) · buy orders: 1821
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 1 798.62 $The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 835.33 $listings 492 · you get 1 798.62 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternno buy orders
Steam★ Butterfly Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 1 857.10 $The Spectrum Collectionno price on Steam, listing on CSFloat from 1 895.00 $listings 3 · you get 1 857.10 $ (2.0% fee from the price)ignoring float and patternsell now to a buy order: 1 501.67 $
(you get 1 305.80 $)) · buy orders: 73
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 173.95 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 36 a weeknow 200.05 $ — cheaper than the month average 204.43 $sell now to a buy order: 187.06 $
(you get 162.66 $)) · buy orders: 724
Steam★ Falchion Knife | Damascus Steel (Factory New)net 111.19 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 12 a weeknow 127.86 $ — cheaper than the month average 150.09 $sell now to a buy order: 118.29 $
(you get 102.86 $)) · buy orders: 170
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Doppler (Factory New)net 119.64 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 32 a weeknow 137.59 $ — cheaper than the month average 168.94 $sell now to a buy order: 131.07 $
(you get 113.97 $)) · buy orders: 2173
Steam★ Shadow Daggers | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 80.90 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 39 a weeknow 93.03 $ — cheaper than the month average 114.16 $sell now to a buy order: 93.52 $
(you get 81.32 $)) · buy orders: 714
month average 73.06 $, sold 31 — it costs more now, the calculation uses the averagesell now to a buy order: 67.81 $
(you get 58.96 $)) · buy orders: 267
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Doppler (Factory New)net 255.05 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 24 a weeknow 293.30 $ — cheaper than the month average 318.07 $sell now to a buy order: 265.90 $
(you get 231.22 $)) · buy orders: 1880
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 151.18 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 50 a weeknow 173.85 $ — cheaper than the month average 193.78 $sell now to a buy order: 161.54 $
(you get 140.47 $)) · buy orders: 875
Steam★ Bowie Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 95.68 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 55 a weeknow 110.03 $ — cheaper than the month average 148.88 $sell now to a buy order: 128.88 $
(you get 112.07 $)) · buy orders: 1062
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Marble Fade (Factory New)net 190.13 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 36 a weeknow 218.64 $ — cheaper than the month average 222.42 $sell now to a buy order: 181.69 $
(you get 157.99 $)) · buy orders: 770
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Tiger Tooth (Factory New)net 129.53 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 35 a weeknow 148.96 $ — cheaper than the month average 173.29 $sell now to a buy order: 148.99 $
(you get 129.56 $)) · buy orders: 635
Steam★ Huntsman Knife | Ultraviolet (Factory New)net 251.25 $The Spectrum Collectionsells 1 a weekrarely sells: 1 a month — calculated at the current 288.94 $, buy orders and sales are not lowerno buy orders
float markup by input
how many times more the lots with the needed float cost
Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) × 48% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.37460.09 → 1 088.10 $
USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New) × 18% of the wear range fitsat least ×2.16145.35 → 313.95 $
The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.
«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.
f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.
Craft variants
Craft variants
One of this craft's two collections paired with another collection, same rarity. Click a variant to open its page with all the numbers. The variants may include a craft at a small loss: no more than 15% of the investment, if its most expensive outcome brings at least three investments after the fee and that outcome's price is confirmed by sales.
Variant 1 this oneThe Winter Offensive Collection + The Spectrum Collection
In a week, when the outcome can be sold
from outcome price history
In a bad week−183.93 $a worse week happens one time in ten
In a typical week−163.61 $historical median
7% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.
If you repeat
10 000 simulations over the outcome odds
I already have items
Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy
Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Spectrum Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.
Third collection
Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable
All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.
Similar
11 crafts almost like this one
One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.
Craft 3401955
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit −154.68$
· invest 611.86$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.003941 instead of 0.005912
Craft 3401956
· The Chroma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −154.68$
· invest 611.86$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.003941 instead of 0.005912
Craft 3402619
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Operation Broken Fang Collection · profit −154.85$
· invest 660.13$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.005912
Craft 3402620
· The Operation Broken Fang Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −154.85$
· invest 660.13$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Glock-18 | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.005912
Craft 3402880
· The Spectrum Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −158.37$
· invest 605.43$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
Craft 3402401
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit −158.74$
· invest 630.08$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.005912
Craft 3402402
· The Gamma 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −158.74$
· invest 630.08$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
FAMAS | Roll Cage (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006142 instead of 0.005912
Craft 3402869
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit −164.20$
· invest 611.27$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3402870
· The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −164.20$
· invest 611.27$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
P250 | See Ya Later (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New)
Craft 3401521
· The Winter Offensive Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit −165.22$
· invest 632.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006131 instead of 0.005912
Craft 3401522
· The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −165.22$
· invest 632.55$
no outcome pricemarketplace pricesells slowlyrare inputspricier variants exist
SSG 08 | Blood in the Water (Factory New) instead of USP-S | Neo-Noir (Factory New); Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New): float at most 0.006131 instead of 0.005912
How to read these numbers
Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.
The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.
Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.